Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
58.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Nautico Recife
Fortaleza EC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Nautico Recife
11 matches
Fortaleza EC
11 matches
| Nautico Recife | Statistic | Fortaleza EC |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 5 |
| 1 | Draws | 3 |
| 4 | Losses | 3 |
| 16 | Goals For | 14 |
| 11 | Goals Against | 11 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.27 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3.73 | Shots On Goal | 3.82 |
| 14.45 | Total Shots | 12.91 |
| 5.55 | Corners | 4.27 |
| 58.4% | Ball Possession | 42.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nautico Recife expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Fortaleza EC in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fortaleza EC having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Fortaleza EC. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
Operating from 5 place with 19 points from 11 games, Nautico Recife bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, with a 16:11 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Vinícius (5 goals), Dodo (2 goals), Junior Todinho (2 goals), with creative support from Vinícius (2 assists), Wenderson (2 assists), Yuri (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Fortaleza EC are currently 7 in the standings with 18 points from 11 matches. The record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 14:11 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. B. Miritello (3 goals), Vitinho (3 goals), Luiz Fernando (2 goals), with creative support from Maílton (1 assists), Ruan Carvalho (1 assists), Emanuel Brítez (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Nautico Recife won 0 times, Fortaleza EC won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:10 from Nautico Recife's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Nautico Recife
10
1
13
2
8
1
Lineups
Nautico Recife
Atletico Goianiense
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
Londrina
Nautico Recife
CRB
Nautico Recife
Avai
Nautico Recife
Juventude
Nautico Recife
Goias
Nautico Recife
Vila Nova
Nautico Recife
Novorizontino
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
Cuiaba
Nautico Recife
Operario-PR
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
Nautico Recife
Botafogo SP
Nautico Recife
Athletic Club
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
Nautico Recife
Ceara
Nautico Recife
Ponte Preta
Nautico Recife
Atletico Goianiense
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
Cuiaba
Fortaleza EC
Botafogo SP
Fortaleza EC
Vila Nova
Fortaleza EC
Novorizontino
Fortaleza EC
Atletico Goianiense
Fortaleza EC
Ponte Preta
Fortaleza EC
Sport Recife
Fortaleza EC
CRB
Fortaleza EC
America Mineiro
Fortaleza EC
Athletic Club
Fortaleza EC
Londrina
Fortaleza EC
Ceara
Fortaleza EC
Avai
Fortaleza EC
Goias
Fortaleza EC
Operario-PR
Fortaleza EC
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
São Bernardo
Fortaleza EC
Juventude
Fortaleza EC
Cuiaba
Fortaleza EC
Botafogo SP
Nautico Recife
Atletico Goianiense
Nautico Recife
Londrina
Nautico Recife
Juventude
Nautico Recife
Goias
Nautico Recife
Cuiaba
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
Nautico Recife
Ponte Preta
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
Cuiaba
Fortaleza EC
Vila Nova
Fortaleza EC
Atletico Goianiense
Fortaleza EC
CRB
Fortaleza EC
Athletic Club
Fortaleza EC
Ceara
Fortaleza EC
Avai
Fortaleza EC
Operario-PR
Fortaleza EC
São Bernardo
Fortaleza EC
Botafogo SP
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 23:14 | 9 | 40 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 23:12 | 11 | 38 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
Fortaleza EC
Away
|
21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 35 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
| 4 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 29:28 | 1 | 35 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 27:25 | 2 | 34 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 32:20 | 12 | 33 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 22:26 | -4 | 32 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 24:21 | 3 | 32 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 26:19 | 7 | 32 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 31 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 31:24 | 7 | 30 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 31:32 | -1 | 29 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 26:22 | 4 | 27 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 14 |
Nautico Recife
Home
|
21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 25:25 | 0 | 26 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
| 15 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 26 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 22:25 | -3 | 25 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 17 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 20 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 18 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 21:27 | -6 | 20 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 19 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 15:33 | -18 | 11 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 20 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15:41 | -26 | 9 |
L
D
L
L
L
|