🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
Geodis Park
Referee: M. De Oliveira
Nashville SC
Match Timeline
CF Montreal
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
57'
J. Bauer ↔ A. Najar
Nashville SC
🔄
66'
E. Tagseth ↔ B. Acosta
Nashville SC
🔄
66'
A. Muyl ↔ A. Qasem
Nashville SC
68'
S. Surridge
Nashville SC
🔄
74'
F. Herbers ↔ D. Rios
CF Montreal
🔄
74'
J. Neal ↔ E. Morales
CF Montreal
🔄
82'
N. Streit ↔ O. Escobar
CF Montreal
🟨
86'
Sam Surridge
Nashville SC
🔄
88'
M. Longstaff ↔ F. Amaya
CF Montreal
🔄
89'
S. Mohammed ↔ J. Maher
Nashville SC
🟨
90+7'
Prince Owusu
CF Montreal
🔄
90'
M. Corcoran ↔ C. Brunet
Nashville SC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 84.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
84.3%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Nashville SC Win 84.3%
Draw 5%
CF Montreal Win 10.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nashville SC1.91
CF Montreal1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nashville SC Nashville SC
WWDLW
48 GF / 19 GA
CF Montreal CF Montreal
WLDWL
32 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.78
Average Goals Scored
1.6
0.7
Average Goals Conceded
2.1
11
BTTS Yes
11
13
Over 2.5
15
4.52
Shots on Goal
4.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nashville SC Nashville SC 27 matches
CF Montreal CF Montreal 20 matches
Nashville SC Statistic CF Montreal
16 Wins 6
7 Draws 3
4 Losses 11
48 Goals For 32
19 Goals Against 42
1.78 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
0.7 Avg Goals Conceded 2.1
11 BTTS Yes 11
16 Over 1.5 18
13 Over 2.5 15
9 Over 3.5 9
13 Clean Sheets 4
7 Failed To Score 6
4.52 Shots On Goal 4.8
11.3 Total Shots 13.67
4.65 Corners 5.4
51.9% Ball Possession 48.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Nashville SC's more proactive style and CF Montreal's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Nashville SC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 33 points compared to CF Montreal in 11 on 14, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors CF Montreal.

Nashville SC Analysis

Nashville SC approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 33 points after 14 outings. They have recorded 10 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, with a 31:11 goal return and good form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on S. Surridge (9 goals), H. Mukhtar (6 goals), W. Madrigal (5 goals), with creative support from C. Espinoza (6 assists), H. Mukhtar (3 assists), P. Yazbek (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

CF Montreal Analysis

From their first 14 matches, CF Montreal have collected 14 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, while the 22:31 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on P. Owusu (9 goals), W. Carmona (4 goals), D. Rios (2 goals), with creative support from P. Owusu (4 assists), M. Longstaff (3 assists), W. Carmona (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Nashville SC won 7 times, CF Montreal won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:7 from Nashville SC's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.08 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
Predicted formations: Nashville SC 4-3-3 / CF Montreal 4-3-3
Missing players: Nashville SC 4, CF Montreal 3
H2H summary: Nashville SC wins 7, draws 4, CF Montreal wins 1
Stats
Nashville SC Nashville SC
CF Montreal CF Montreal
Shots on Goal
1
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
3
3 Corner Kicks 2
9 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 0
63% Ball Possession 37%
10 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Goal 2
5 Shots off Goal 2
4 Blocked Shots 3
6 Shots insidebox 6
4 Shots outsidebox 1
2 Goalkeeper Saves 0
641 Total passes 364
573 Passes accurate 311
1.70 expected_goals 0.71
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Nashville SC
Formation
CF Montreal
B. Schwake
B. Schwake
J. Bauer
J. Bauer
J. Palacios
J. Palacios
M. Woledzi
M. Woledzi
D. Lovitz
D. Lovitz
S. Mohammed
S. Mohammed
M. Corcoran
M. Corcoran
E. Tagseth
E. Tagseth
H. Mukhtar
H. Mukhtar
A. Muyl
A. Muyl
S. Surridge
S. Surridge
S. Breza
S. Breza
D. Bugaj
D. Bugaj
J. Neal
J. Neal
B. Vera
B. Vera
L. Petrasso
L. Petrasso
F. Herbers
F. Herbers
M. Longstaff
M. Longstaff
V. Loturi
V. Loturi
G. Synchuk
G. Synchuk
P. Owusu
P. Owusu
N. Streit
N. Streit
Nashville SC 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
99
B. Schwake
G
22
J. Bauer
↓ 57'
D
4
J. Palacios
D
3
M. Woledzi
D
2
D. Lovitz
D
14
S. Mohammed
↓ 89'
M
16
M. Corcoran
↓ 90'
M
20
E. Tagseth
↓ 66'
M
10
H. Mukhtar
M
19
A. Muyl
↓ 66'
M
9
S. Surridge
⚽ 68' 🟨 86'
F
Substitutes
1
J. Willis
G
31
A. Najar
↑ 57'
D
6
B. Acosta
↑ 66'
M
37
A. Qasem
↑ 66'
F
5
J. Maher
↑ 89'
D
21
T. Williams
D
17
W. Pacius
F
23
J. Knight
D
12
C. Brunet
↑ 90'
M
CF Montreal 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
S. Breza
G
27
D. Bugaj
D
2
J. Neal
↓ 74'
D
4
B. Vera
D
13
L. Petrasso
D
21
F. Herbers
↓ 74'
M
8
M. Longstaff
↓ 88'
M
22
V. Loturi
M
18
G. Synchuk
F
9
P. Owusu
🟨 90+7'
F
23
N. Streit
↓ 82'
Substitutes
41
S. Keita
G
17
D. Thorhallsson
D
25
F. Amaya
↑ 88'
M
26
I. Losenko
M
29
O. Escobar
↑ 82'
F
6
S. Piette
M
14
D. Rios
↑ 74'
F
5
B. Craig
D
24
E. Morales
↑ 74'
D
Last matches: Nashville SC
19.08.26
Maj
Nashville SC
New York Red Bulls
1
0
W
16.08.26
Maj
Nashville SC
Inter Miami
4
1
W
01.08.26
Maj
Nashville SC
DC United
2
2
D
25.07.26
Maj
Nashville SC
Orlando City SC
0
1
L
18.07.26
Maj
Nashville SC
Atlanta United FC
1
0
W
24.05.26
Maj
Nashville SC
New York City FC
2
1
W
18.05.26
Maj
Nashville SC
Los Angeles FC
3
2
W
13.05.26
Maj
Nashville SC
New England Revolution
3
0
W
10.05.26
Maj
Nashville SC
DC United
2
2
D
06.05.26
CON
Nashville SC
Tigres UANL
0
1
L
02.05.26
Maj
Nashville SC
Philadelphia Union
0
0
D
29.04.26
CON
Nashville SC
Tigres UANL
0
1
L
26.04.26
Maj
Nashville SC
Charlotte
4
2
W
18.04.26
Maj
Nashville SC
Atlanta United FC
2
0
W
15.04.26
CON
Nashville SC
Club America
1
0
W
11.04.26
Maj
Nashville SC
Charlotte
2
1
W
08.04.26
CON
Nashville SC
Club America
0
0
D
05.04.26
Maj
Nashville SC
Chicago Fire
0
1
L
21.03.26
Maj
Nashville SC
Orlando City SC
5
0
W
18.03.26
CON
Nashville SC
Inter Miami
1
1
D
Last matches: CF Montreal
19.08.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Columbus Crew
2
1
W
15.08.26
Maj
CF Montreal
DC United
1
1
D
01.08.26
Maj
CF Montreal
New England Revolution
2
2
D
25.07.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Inter Miami
0
1
L
16.07.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Toronto FC
0
0
D
23.05.26
Maj
CF Montreal
DC United
4
4
D
16.05.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Chicago Fire
0
2
L
13.05.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Portland Timbers
2
2
D
09.05.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Orlando City SC
2
0
W
02.05.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Atlanta United FC
1
3
L
25.04.26
Maj
CF Montreal
New York City FC
1
0
W
18.04.26
Maj
CF Montreal
New York Red Bulls
4
1
W
11.04.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Philadelphia Union
1
2
L
04.04.26
Maj
CF Montreal
New England Revolution
0
3
L
22.03.26
Maj
CF Montreal
FC Cincinnati
3
4
L
14.03.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Orlando City SC
1
2
L
08.03.26
Maj
CF Montreal
New York Red Bulls
3
0
W
28.02.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Chicago Fire
0
3
L
22.02.26
Maj
CF Montreal
San Diego
0
5
L
14.02.26
Fri
CF Montreal
Tampa Bay Rowdies
0
2
L
H2H: Nashville SC vs CF Montreal
23.07.26
H2H
Nashville SC
CF Montreal
1
0
W
04.10.25
H2H
CF Montreal
Nashville SC
1
1
D
23.03.25
H2H
Nashville SC
CF Montreal
3
0
W
25.05.24
H2H
CF Montreal
Nashville SC
0
0
D
05.05.24
H2H
Nashville SC
CF Montreal
4
1
W
21.06.23
H2H
CF Montreal
Nashville SC
1
0
L
12.03.23
H2H
Nashville SC
CF Montreal
2
0
W
19.05.22
H2H
Nashville SC
CF Montreal
2
1
W
12.09.21
H2H
CF Montreal
Nashville SC
0
1
W
27.06.21
H2H
Nashville SC
CF Montreal
1
1
D
24.04.21
H2H
Nashville SC
CF Montreal
2
2
D
28.10.20
H2H
CF Montreal
Nashville SC
0
1
W
Last matches: Nashville SC
16.08.26
Maj
Nashville SC
Inter Miami
4
1
W
18.07.26
Maj
Nashville SC
Atlanta United FC
1
0
W
24.05.26
Maj
Nashville SC
New York City FC
2
1
W
18.05.26
Maj
Nashville SC
Los Angeles FC
3
2
W
10.05.26
Maj
Nashville SC
DC United
2
2
D
29.04.26
CON
Nashville SC
Tigres UANL
0
1
L
26.04.26
Maj
Nashville SC
Charlotte
4
2
W
08.04.26
CON
Nashville SC
Club America
0
0
D
21.03.26
Maj
Nashville SC
Orlando City SC
5
0
W
11.03.26
CON
Nashville SC
Inter Miami
0
0
D
08.03.26
Maj
Nashville SC
Minnesota United FC
3
1
W
25.02.26
CON
Nashville SC
Atlético Ottawa
5
0
W
22.02.26
Maj
Nashville SC
New England Revolution
4
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
Nashville SC
Lexington
1
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Nashville SC
Columbus Crew
1
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Nashville SC
Colorado Rapids
3
1
W
H2H at home: Nashville SC
23.07.26
H2H
Nashville SC
CF Montreal
1
0
W
23.03.25
H2H
Nashville SC
CF Montreal
3
0
W
05.05.24
H2H
Nashville SC
CF Montreal
4
1
W
12.03.23
H2H
Nashville SC
CF Montreal
2
0
W
19.05.22
H2H
Nashville SC
CF Montreal
2
1
W
27.06.21
H2H
Nashville SC
CF Montreal
1
1
D
24.04.21
H2H
Nashville SC
CF Montreal
2
2
D
Last matches: CF Montreal
19.08.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Columbus Crew
2
1
W
23.05.26
Maj
CF Montreal
DC United
4
4
D
02.05.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Atlanta United FC
1
3
L
04.04.26
Maj
CF Montreal
New England Revolution
0
3
L
22.03.26
Maj
CF Montreal
FC Cincinnati
3
4
L
14.03.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Orlando City SC
1
2
L
08.03.26
Maj
CF Montreal
New York Red Bulls
3
0
W
28.02.26
Maj
CF Montreal
Chicago Fire
0
3
L
22.02.26
Maj
CF Montreal
San Diego
0
5
L
14.02.26
Fri
CF Montreal
Tampa Bay Rowdies
0
2
L
10.02.26
Fri
CF Montreal
Philadelphia Union
4
2
W
07.02.26
Fri
CF Montreal
New England Revolution
2
1
W
29.01.26
Fri
CF Montreal
FC Kharkiv
2
3
L
23.01.26
Fri
CF Montreal
Slovan Liberec
2
3
L
H2H away: CF Montreal
23.07.26
H2H
Nashville SC
CF Montreal
1
0
L
23.03.25
H2H
Nashville SC
CF Montreal
3
0
L
05.05.24
H2H
Nashville SC
CF Montreal
4
1
L
12.03.23
H2H
Nashville SC
CF Montreal
2
0
L
19.05.22
H2H
Nashville SC
CF Montreal
2
1
L
27.06.21
H2H
Nashville SC
CF Montreal
1
1
D
24.04.21
H2H
Nashville SC
CF Montreal
2
2
D

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 14 4 2 40:15 25 46
W W D L W
2 20 11 6 3 48:38 10 39
D L D W W
3 19 11 2 6 36:25 11 35
W W W L L
4 20 10 3 7 32:25 7 33
W L L D W
5 20 8 6 6 48:46 2 30
W D W L W
6 20 8 5 7 35:31 4 29
D W L W D
7 20 7 5 8 34:29 5 26
L L D W W
8 20 7 4 9 30:42 -12 25
L L W L L
9 20 5 9 6 27:33 -6 24
L D D W D
10 20 6 3 11 32:50 -18 21
L D L W W
11 20 4 9 7 29:36 -7 21
D W D L D
12 20 5 5 10 28:33 -5 20
L L D W L
13 20 5 5 10 30:37 -7 20
D W W W W
14 20 5 5 10 27:37 -10 20
W D D L L
15 20 5 3 12 23:35 -12 18
W W L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

Nashville SC 4 missing
-
P. Yazbek
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
R. Baker-Whiting
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
C. Espinoza
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
W. Madrigal
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT
CF Montreal 3 missing
-
T. Gillier
Missing Fixture Concussion
OUT
-
B. Hidalgo
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
-
W. Carmona
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT