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NIGERIA › NPFL
11.10.2026 15:00
Lafia Township Stadium
Nasarawa United
Match Timeline
Doma United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
9'
Doma United
Doma United
⚽
10'
Nasarawa United
Nasarawa United
🟨
53'
Nasarawa United
Nasarawa United
⚽
55'
Nasarawa United
Nasarawa United
🟨
89'
Nasarawa United
Nasarawa United
🟨
90+1'
Doma United
Doma United
🟨
90+5'
Doma United
Doma United

Nasarawa United vs Doma United Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.5%
Odds 1.55
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 2.11
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 2.20
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.5%
1.55 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
2.11 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
2.20 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.40 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
23.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Nasarawa United Win 63.5%
Draw 4.7%
Doma United Win 31.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nasarawa United0.97
Doma United1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nasarawa United Nasarawa United
WWDLW
6 GF / 8 GA
Doma United Doma United
WLDWL
10 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
0.86
Average Goals Scored
1.43
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
4
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nasarawa United Nasarawa United 7 matches
Doma United Doma United 7 matches
Nasarawa United Statistic Doma United
2 Wins 4
2 Draws 1
3 Losses 2
6 Goals For 10
8 Goals Against 8
0.86 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
4 BTTS Yes 3
4 Over 1.5 5
3 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 4
1 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Doma United's more proactive style and Nasarawa United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Doma United. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Doma United having the stronger overall control. Doma United carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 13 points while Nasarawa United sit 13 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Nasarawa United Analysis

So far, Nasarawa United have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 8 points from 7 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 6:8 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Doma United Analysis

Doma United come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 13 points from 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, while the 10:8 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 5 2 1 14:9 5 17
D W W L W
2 8 4 4 0 13:2 11 16
D W D D W
3 8 4 2 2 13:8 5 14
W L W D W
4 9 4 2 3 11:11 0 14
D L W L D
5 8 3 4 1 12:9 3 13
D L D W D
6 8 3 3 2 10:7 3 12
W L D W L
7 8 4 0 4 14:13 1 12
L W L W L
8 8 3 3 2 10:9 1 12
W D D D W
9 8 3 3 2 10:11 -1 12
W D D W L
10 8 2 5 1 11:11 0 11
L D D D D
11 9 3 2 4 10:10 0 11
D L W L W
12 8 3 2 3 8:8 0 11
W D W L D
13 9 3 2 4 10:12 -2 11
W L D D L
14 8 3 1 4 6:7 -1 10
W L L W D
15 9 2 4 3 9:12 -3 10
D D L W L
16 8 2 3 3 6:7 -1 9
D W L D L
17 9 2 3 4 8:15 -7 9
D W L W L
18 9 2 2 5 10:13 -3 8
L D L D L
19 8 2 1 5 11:14 -3 7
L W W D L
20 8 1 2 5 5:13 -8 2
L D L D W
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation