SERBIA › SUPER LIGA
03.05.2026 17:30
Referee: M. Markovic
Napredak
Match Timeline
Radnicki NIS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
10'
U. Vitas ↔ R. Jokic
Radnicki NIS
🟨
41'
Vasil Tasovski
Napredak
🔄
46'
L. Balevic ↔ V. Savic
Napredak
🔄
46'
S. Nikolic ↔ L. Izderic
Radnicki NIS
🟨
49'
Stefan Bukorac
Napredak
🔄
61'
S. Ristic ↔ L. Miladinovic
Napredak
VAR
63'
Radomir Milosavljević
Radnicki NIS
🟨
64'
Miloš Tošeski
Napredak
⚽
65'
A. Shestyuk
Radnicki NIS
🔄
73'
M. Toseski ↔ D. Bojat
Napredak
🔄
73'
V. Tasovski ↔ U. Sremcevic
Napredak
🔄
74'
I. Abass ↔ N. Sreckovic
Radnicki NIS
🔄
74'
A. Shestyuk ↔ I. Mustapha
Radnicki NIS
🔄
77'
U. Ignjatovic ↔ N. Bogdanovski
Napredak
🟨
88'
Franck Kanouté
Radnicki NIS
🔄
90+1'
M. Spasic ↔ M. Petkovic
Radnicki NIS

Napredak vs Radnicki NIS Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw or Away
Probability 81.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw or Away
81.5%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
26%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
76.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Napredak Win 18.5%
Draw 30.8%
Radnicki NIS Win 50.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Napredak1.06
Radnicki NIS1.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Napredak Napredak
WWDLW
27 GF / 74 GA
Radnicki NIS Radnicki NIS
WLDWL
40 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
0.82
Average Goals Scored
1.21
2.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
19
BTTS Yes
18
21
Over 2.5
17
2.55
Shots on Goal
3.91

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Napredak Napredak 33 matches
Radnicki NIS Radnicki NIS 33 matches
Napredak Statistic Radnicki NIS
2 Wins 10
8 Draws 7
23 Losses 16
27 Goals For 40
74 Goals Against 47
0.82 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
2.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
19 BTTS Yes 18
26 Over 1.5 24
21 Over 2.5 17
13 Over 3.5 8
3 Clean Sheets 6
14 Failed To Score 11
2.55 Shots On Goal 3.91
9.52 Total Shots 11.67
3.79 Corners 3.73
45.5% Ball Possession 49.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Radnicki NIS. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Radnicki NIS carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 13 with 33 points while Napredak sit 16 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Napredak Analysis

With 14 points from 30 games and a place of 16, Napredak still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 8 draws, and 20 defeats with a 26:65 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Andrija Majdevac (9 goals), Miloš Vulić (3 goals), N. Bogdanovski (3 goals), with creative support from M. Toseski (4 assists), Aleksandar Lutovac (3 assists), Nebojša Bastajić (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Radnicki NIS Analysis

Radnicki NIS sit 13 with 33 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 36:42, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through R. Bosic (9 goals), A. Shestyuk (7 goals), M. Spasic (5 goals), with creative support from G. Ariyibi (5 assists), R. Bosic (3 assists), I. Abass (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Napredak won 5 times, Radnicki NIS won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:29 from Napredak's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

1X2: Draw or Away
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (81.5%)
Predicted formations: Napredak 4-2-3-1 / Radnicki NIS 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Napredak wins 5, draws 2, Radnicki NIS wins 8

Standings

Superliga , Relegation Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 37 13 11 13 41:51 -10 50
D W D D W
2 37 14 7 16 46:49 -3 49
W W W W L
3 37 11 13 13 33:52 -19 46
W W L W W
4 37 11 12 14 45:45 0 45
D L W D L
5 37 9 18 10 41:42 -1 45
D D D D W
6 37 10 12 15 41:54 -13 42
D L L D W
7 37 4 9 24 37:72 -35 21
L L L L L
8 37 3 9 25 30:76 -46 18
L D W L L
Relegation