SERBIA SUPER LIGA
23.04.2026 16:00
Referee: S. Jeknic
Napredak
Match Timeline
IMT Novi Beograd
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
38'
Stefan Bukorac
Napredak
🔄
57'
N. Krstic ↔ D. Zagar
IMT Novi Beograd
🔄
62'
N. Bogdanovski ↔ N. Bastajic
Napredak
🔄
63'
M. Vulic ↔ M. Toseski
Napredak
🟨
65'
Vladimir Miletić
Napredak
🟨
65'
Dušan Zagar
IMT Novi Beograd
🔄
69'
O. Lebi ↔ N. Glisic
IMT Novi Beograd
🔄
76'
F. Krstic ↔ N. Stevanovic
Napredak
🔄
82'
V. Miletic ↔ N. Vukajlovic
Napredak
🔄
82'
V. Tasovski ↔ U. Ignjatovic
Napredak
🔄
82'
S. Sapic ↔ L. Lukovic
IMT Novi Beograd
🔄
82'
F. Boulaya ↔ V. Kiankaulua
IMT Novi Beograd
85'
N. Glisic · Assist: L. Lukovic
IMT Novi Beograd
🟨
88'
Luka Drobnjak
Napredak
🟨
90+4'
Uroš Ignjatović
Napredak
🟨
90'
Andrija Majdevac
Napredak

Napredak vs IMT Novi Beograd Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 85.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 90.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
85.1%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
90.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Probability Distribution
Napredak Win 14.9%
Draw 0%
IMT Novi Beograd Win 85.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Napredak1.17
IMT Novi Beograd1.59
Recent Form (Last 5)
Napredak Napredak
WWDLW
27 GF / 69 GA
IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd
WLDWL
36 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
0.87
Average Goals Scored
1.16
2.23
Average Goals Conceded
1.61
19
BTTS Yes
19
20
Over 2.5
14
2.61
Shots on Goal
4.16

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Napredak Napredak 31 matches
IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 31 matches
Napredak Statistic IMT Novi Beograd
2 Wins 10
8 Draws 8
21 Losses 13
27 Goals For 36
69 Goals Against 50
0.87 Avg Goals Scored 1.16
2.23 Avg Goals Conceded 1.61
19 BTTS Yes 19
25 Over 1.5 23
20 Over 2.5 14
12 Over 3.5 11
3 Clean Sheets 9
12 Failed To Score 5
2.61 Shots On Goal 4.16
9.65 Total Shots 12.16
3.74 Corners 4.42
45.5% Ball Possession 48%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. IMT Novi Beograd carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 37 points while Napredak sit 16 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Napredak have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward IMT Novi Beograd. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Napredak expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and IMT Novi Beograd in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward IMT Novi Beograd having the stronger overall control.

Napredak Analysis

Napredak sit 16 with 14 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 8 draws, and 20 losses, together with goals at 26:65, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Andrija Majdevac (9 goals), Miloš Vulić (3 goals), N. Bogdanovski (3 goals), with creative support from M. Toseski (4 assists), Aleksandar Lutovac (3 assists), Nebojša Bastajić (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

IMT Novi Beograd Analysis

IMT Novi Beograd sit 9 with 37 points after 30 league matches. The record of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 35:49 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Sankara Karamoko (8 goals), V. Novicic (8 goals), Charly Keita (4 goals), with creative support from V. Novicic (4 assists), Nikola Krstić (4 assists), Charly Keita (2 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Napredak won 2 times, IMT Novi Beograd won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:16 from Napredak's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.89 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Napredak 4-2-3-1 / IMT Novi Beograd 4-4-2
H2H summary: Napredak wins 2, draws 2, IMT Novi Beograd wins 5

Standings

Superliga , Relegation Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 37 13 11 13 41:51 -10 50
D W D D W
2 37 14 7 16 46:49 -3 49
W W W W L
3 37 11 13 13 33:52 -19 46
W W L W W
4 37 11 12 14 45:45 0 45
D L W D L
5 37 9 18 10 41:42 -1 45
D D D D W
6 37 10 12 15 41:54 -13 42
D L L D W
7 37 4 9 24 37:72 -35 21
L L L L L
8 37 3 9 25 30:76 -46 18
L D W L L
Relegation