ITALY › SERIE A
24.05.2026 16:00
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Referee: A. Zanotti
Napoli
Match Timeline
Udinese
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
10'
Alisson Santos ↔ K. De Bruyne
Napoli
⚽
24'
R. Hojlund · Assist: K. De Bruyne
Napoli
🔄
37'
S. Lobotka ↔ B. Gilmour
Napoli
🔄
46'
M. Olivera ↔ Juan Jesus
Napoli
🟨
51'
Jesper Karlström
Udinese
🔄
54'
J. Piotrowski ↔ I. Gueye
Udinese
🔄
59'
J. Karlstrom ↔ A. Buksa
Udinese
🔄
59'
T. Kristensen ↔ N. Bertola
Udinese
🟥
64'
Christian Kabasele
Udinese
VAR
64'
Christian Kabasele
Udinese
🔄
80'
A. Meret ↔ N. Contini
Napoli
🔄
80'
M. Politano ↔ P. Mazzocchi
Napoli
🔄
80'
J. Zemura ↔ B. Mlacic
Udinese
🔄
80'
K. Davis ↔ O. Zarraga
Udinese
🟨
81'
Adam Buksa
Udinese
🟨
90'
Lennon Miller
Udinese

Napoli vs Udinese Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 91.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 64.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 60.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
91.5%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
64.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
60.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Napoli Win 49.8%
Draw 8.5%
Udinese Win 41.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Napoli1.38
Udinese1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Napoli Napoli
WWDLW
72 GF / 53 GA
Udinese Udinese
WLDWL
49 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
1.23
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
24
BTTS Yes
18
23
Over 2.5
18
4.53
Shots on Goal
4.08

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Napoli Napoli 49 matches
Udinese Udinese 40 matches
Napoli Statistic Udinese
26 Wins 16
11 Draws 8
12 Losses 16
72 Goals For 49
53 Goals Against 50
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.23
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
24 BTTS Yes 18
37 Over 1.5 29
23 Over 2.5 18
12 Over 3.5 8
18 Clean Sheets 12
11 Failed To Score 11
4.53 Shots On Goal 4.08
12.8 Total Shots 11.68
5.67 Corners 4.35
56.8% Ball Possession 46.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Napoli's more proactive style and Udinese's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Napoli arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 73 points compared to Udinese in 10 on 50, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Udinese. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Napoli Analysis

Napoli come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 73 points from 37 matches. Their overall return of 22 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 57:36 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by R. Hojlund (11 goals), S. McTominay (10 goals), K. De Bruyne (5 goals), with creative support from R. Hojlund (5 assists), M. Politano (5 assists), S. McTominay (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 12 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Udinese Analysis

Udinese sit 10 with 50 points after 37 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 8 draws, and 15 losses, while the 45:47 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Keinan Davis (10 goals), A. Atta (5 goals), J. Ekkelenkamp (5 goals), with creative support from Nicolò Zaniolo (6 assists), Keinan Davis (4 assists), A. Atta (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Napoli won 10 times, Udinese won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 34:15 from Napoli's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.5%)
Predicted formations: Napoli 3-4-2-1 / Udinese 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Napoli 2, Udinese 5
H2H summary: Napoli wins 10, draws 4, Udinese wins 1

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B