Napoli vs Cremonese Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
84.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
52%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
62.2%
|
- |
Napoli
Cremonese
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Napoli
45 matches
Cremonese
34 matches
| Napoli | Statistic | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wins | 6 |
| 10 | Draws | 11 |
| 11 | Losses | 17 |
| 63 | Goals For | 26 |
| 50 | Goals Against | 47 |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.76 |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
| 23 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 34 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 15 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 17 |
| 4.49 | Shots On Goal | 3.09 |
| 12.67 | Total Shots | 9.09 |
| 5.69 | Corners | 3.38 |
| 56.8% | Ball Possession | 46.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Napoli's more proactive style and Cremonese's more cautious structure. Napoli appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Cremonese. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Cremonese. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Napoli expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Cremonese in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cremonese having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Cremonese arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Napoli arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 66 points compared to Cremonese in 17 on 28, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
Operating from 3 place with 66 points from 33 games, Napoli bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 20 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 48:31, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by R. Hojlund (10 goals), S. McTominay (8 goals), F. Anguissa (4 goals), with creative support from M. Politano (5 assists), R. Hojlund (3 assists), S. McTominay (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have managed 11 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with David Neres, G. Di Lorenzo, A. Vergara unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Cremonese sit 17 with 28 points after 33 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 6 wins, 10 draws, and 17 losses, together with goals at 26:47, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through F. Bonazzoli (7 goals), Jamie Vardy (5 goals), Filippo Terracciano (3 goals), with creative support from J. Vandeputte (4 assists), F. Bonazzoli (2 assists), Jamie Vardy (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with F. Moumbagna, J. Vardy unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Napoli won 4 times, Cremonese won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:3 from Napoli's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89:35 | 54 | 87 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 |
Napoli
Home
|
38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58:36 | 22 | 76 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
| 3 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59:31 | 28 | 73 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65:29 | 36 | 71 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53:35 | 18 | 70 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61:34 | 27 | 69 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51:36 | 15 | 59 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49:46 | 3 | 56 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41:40 | 1 | 54 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45:48 | -3 | 50 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46:50 | -4 | 49 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44:63 | -19 | 45 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28:46 | -18 | 45 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40:53 | -13 | 43 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41:50 | -9 | 42 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41:51 | -10 | 41 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28:50 | -22 | 38 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 |
Cremonese
Away
|
38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32:57 | -25 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 19 | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25:61 | -36 | 21 |
L
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26:71 | -45 | 18 |
L
L
L
L
L
|