ITALY SERIE A
24.04.2026 18:45
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Referee: D. Doveri
Napoli
Match Timeline
Cremonese
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
S. McTominay · Assist: K. De Bruyne
Napoli
45'
F. Terracciano
Napoli
45'
K. De Bruyne
Napoli
🔄
46'
D. Okereke ↔ J. Vandeputte
Cremonese
🔄
46'
W. Bondo ↔ A. Grassi
Cremonese
🔄
46'
R. Floriani ↔ A. Zerbin
Cremonese
52'
Alisson Santos · Assist: V. Milinkovic-Savic
Napoli
🔄
53'
M. Politano ↔ P. Mazzocchi
Napoli
🔄
53'
M. Olivera ↔ S. Beukema
Napoli
🔄
54'
S. Lobotka ↔ B. Gilmour
Napoli
🔄
61'
R. Hojlund ↔ Giovane
Napoli
🔄
61'
S. Luperto ↔ F. Folino
Cremonese
🔄
75'
K. De Bruyne ↔ E. Elmas
Napoli
🔄
78'
Y. Maleh ↔ T. Barbieri
Cremonese

Napoli vs Cremonese Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 84.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 52%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
84.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
52%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.2%
-
Probability Distribution
Napoli Win 84.9%
Draw 5.1%
Cremonese Win 10%
Expected Goals (xG)
Napoli1.39
Cremonese0.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Napoli Napoli
WWDLW
63 GF / 50 GA
Cremonese Cremonese
WLDWL
26 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
0.76
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
23
BTTS Yes
14
20
Over 2.5
13
4.49
Shots on Goal
3.09

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Napoli Napoli 45 matches
Cremonese Cremonese 34 matches
Napoli Statistic Cremonese
24 Wins 6
10 Draws 11
11 Losses 17
63 Goals For 26
50 Goals Against 47
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 0.76
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
23 BTTS Yes 14
34 Over 1.5 22
20 Over 2.5 13
10 Over 3.5 7
15 Clean Sheets 10
10 Failed To Score 17
4.49 Shots On Goal 3.09
12.67 Total Shots 9.09
5.69 Corners 3.38
56.8% Ball Possession 46.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Napoli's more proactive style and Cremonese's more cautious structure. Napoli appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Cremonese. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Cremonese. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Napoli expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Cremonese in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cremonese having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Cremonese arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Napoli arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 66 points compared to Cremonese in 17 on 28, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Napoli Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 66 points from 33 games, Napoli bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 20 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 48:31, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by R. Hojlund (10 goals), S. McTominay (8 goals), F. Anguissa (4 goals), with creative support from M. Politano (5 assists), R. Hojlund (3 assists), S. McTominay (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have managed 11 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with David Neres, G. Di Lorenzo, A. Vergara unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Cremonese Analysis

Cremonese sit 17 with 28 points after 33 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 6 wins, 10 draws, and 17 losses, together with goals at 26:47, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through F. Bonazzoli (7 goals), Jamie Vardy (5 goals), Filippo Terracciano (3 goals), with creative support from J. Vandeputte (4 assists), F. Bonazzoli (2 assists), Jamie Vardy (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with F. Moumbagna, J. Vardy unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Napoli won 4 times, Cremonese won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:3 from Napoli's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
Predicted formations: Napoli 3-4-2-1 / Cremonese 4-4-2
Missing players: Napoli 4, Cremonese 2
H2H summary: Napoli wins 4, draws 1, Cremonese wins 0

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B