Napoli vs Bologna Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
63%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
62.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Napoli
Bologna
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Napoli
47 matches
Bologna
53 matches
| Napoli | Statistic | Bologna |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | Wins | 22 |
| 11 | Draws | 13 |
| 11 | Losses | 18 |
| 67 | Goals For | 68 |
| 50 | Goals Against | 64 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.28 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
| 23 | BTTS Yes | 26 |
| 35 | Over 1.5 | 39 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 24 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 17 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 15 |
| 4.51 | Shots On Goal | 4.47 |
| 12.83 | Total Shots | 14.32 |
| 5.64 | Corners | 5.4 |
| 56.5% | Ball Possession | 54.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Bologna seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Napoli arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 70 points compared to Bologna in 10 on 49, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Bologna. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Napoli expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Bologna in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Bologna having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Placed 2 with 70 points from 35 outings, Napoli continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 21 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, while the 52:33 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on R. Hojlund (10 goals), S. McTominay (9 goals), K. De Bruyne (5 goals), with creative support from M. Politano (5 assists), R. Hojlund (3 assists), S. McTominay (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 12 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with David Neres, R. Lukaku unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
So far, Bologna have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 49 points from 35 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 7 draws, and 14 losses, while the 42:41 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on R. Orsolini (8 goals), S. Castro (7 goals), J. Odgaard (5 goals), with creative support from Nicolò Cambiaghi (4 assists), E. Holm (4 assists), B. Dominguez (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with N. Casale, M. Vitik, N. Cambiaghi unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Napoli won 7 times, Bologna won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:16 from Napoli's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89:35 | 54 | 87 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 |
Napoli
Home
|
38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58:36 | 22 | 76 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
| 3 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59:31 | 28 | 73 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65:29 | 36 | 71 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53:35 | 18 | 70 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61:34 | 27 | 69 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51:36 | 15 | 59 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 |
Bologna
Away
|
38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49:46 | 3 | 56 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41:40 | 1 | 54 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45:48 | -3 | 50 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46:50 | -4 | 49 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44:63 | -19 | 45 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28:46 | -18 | 45 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40:53 | -13 | 43 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41:50 | -9 | 42 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41:51 | -10 | 41 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28:50 | -22 | 38 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32:57 | -25 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25:61 | -36 | 21 |
L
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26:71 | -45 | 18 |
L
L
L
L
L
|