Napoli
Match Timeline
Arsenal
Napoli vs Arsenal Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
56.9%
|
1.64 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
1.95 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
1.98 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.83 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
4.33 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
8.00 |
Probability Distribution
Napoli Win 39.8%
Draw 3.4%
Arsenal Win 56.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Napoli1.68
Arsenal1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Napoli
WWDLW
17 GF / 12 GA
Arsenal
WLDWL
12 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
2.13
Average Goals Scored
2
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1
6
BTTS Yes
4
5
Over 2.5
4
4.33
Shots on Goal
5.67
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Napoli
8 matches
Arsenal
6 matches
| Napoli | Statistic | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 4 |
| 1 | Draws | 1 |
| 3 | Losses | 1 |
| 17 | Goals For | 12 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 6 |
| 2.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 4.33 | Shots On Goal | 5.67 |
| 14 | Total Shots | 14.33 |
| 4 | Corners | 5.67 |
| 44.3% | Ball Possession | 60% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Napoli won 1 times, Arsenal won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:5 from Napoli's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.7%)
Predicted formations: Napoli 4-3-3 / Arsenal 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Napoli 6, Arsenal 2
H2H summary: Napoli wins 1, draws 0, Arsenal wins 3
Standings
UEFA Champions League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 15 |
Arsenal
Away
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
| 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 26 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 27 |
Napoli
Home
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
| 28 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 32 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 35 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 36 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)