Napoli vs AC Milan Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Napoli Win 0%
Draw 0%
AC Milan Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Napoli1.85
AC Milan1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
Napoli
WWDLW
17 GF / 12 GA
AC Milan
WLDWL
12 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
2.13
Average Goals Scored
1.71
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
6
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
4
3
Shots on Goal
3.33
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Napoli
8 matches
AC Milan
7 matches
| Napoli | Statistic | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 3 |
| 1 | Draws | 3 |
| 3 | Losses | 1 |
| 17 | Goals For | 12 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 10 |
| 2.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.71 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.43 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 3 | Shots On Goal | 3.33 |
| 13 | Total Shots | 12.67 |
| 3.5 | Corners | 2.33 |
| 48% | Ball Possession | 56% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Napoli won 7 times, AC Milan won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:17 from Napoli's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Napoli 4-3-3 / AC Milan 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Napoli wins 7, draws 2, AC Milan wins 6
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 9 | 9 |
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 9 |
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 |
AC Milan
Away
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
D
W
W
|
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 6 |
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
L
W
|
|
| 13 |
Napoli
Home
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
L
L
W
|
| 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 1 |
D
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:9 | -8 | 0 |
L
L
L
|
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Play-offs
Relegation