Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
88.1%
|
1.30 | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
13.3%
|
2.20 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
12.4%
|
2.13 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.32 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
6.50 | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
10.00 |
Nantes
Toulouse
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Nantes
35 matches
Toulouse
38 matches
| Nantes | Statistic | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 14 |
| 9 | Draws | 10 |
| 20 | Losses | 14 |
| 35 | Goals For | 54 |
| 56 | Goals Against | 54 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.42 |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.42 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 21 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 14 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 3.46 | Shots On Goal | 4.42 |
| 11.31 | Total Shots | 13.03 |
| 3.51 | Corners | 4.58 |
| 42.7% | Ball Possession | 43% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Toulouse's more proactive style and Nantes's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Toulouse carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 10 with 44 points while Nantes sit 17 on 23, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nantes expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Toulouse in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Toulouse having the stronger overall control. Nantes have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Toulouse.
Nantes approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 23 points from 33 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 8 draws, and 20 defeats, and the 29:52 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Abline (6 goals), Mostafa Mohamed (4 goals), Fabien Centonze (3 goals), with creative support from M. Abline (4 assists), Chidozie Awaziem (2 assists), M. Kaba (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 33 matches, Toulouse have collected 44 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 8 draws, and 13 losses, while the 47:46 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Y. Gboho (8 goals), Emersonn (6 goals), F. Magri (5 goals), with creative support from S. Hidalgo (6 assists), Aron Dønnum (4 assists), Y. Gboho (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Nantes won 5 times, Toulouse won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:15 from Nantes's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.14 goals per game.
Nantes
La Roche VF
Nantes
Lorient
Nantes
Fleury 91
Nantes
Lens
Nantes
Marseille
Nantes
Rennes
Nantes
Paris Saint Germain
Nantes
Stade Brestois 29
Nantes
Auxerre
Nantes
Metz
Nantes
Strasbourg
Nantes
Angers
Nantes
Lille
Nantes
Le Havre
Nantes
Monaco
Nantes
Lyon
Nantes
Lorient
Nantes
Nice
Nantes
Paris FC
Nantes
Nice
Toulouse
Lyon
Toulouse
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Monaco
Toulouse
Lens
Toulouse
Lens
Toulouse
Lille
Toulouse
Paris Saint Germain
Toulouse
Lorient
Toulouse
Metz
Toulouse
Marseille
Toulouse
Marseille
Toulouse
Rennes
Toulouse
Paris FC
Toulouse
Le Havre
Toulouse
Angers
Toulouse
Amiens
Toulouse
Auxerre
Toulouse
Stade Brestois 29
Toulouse
Nice
Toulouse
Angers
Nantes
La Roche VF
Nantes
Marseille
Nantes
Stade Brestois 29
Nantes
Strasbourg
Nantes
Angers
Nantes
Le Havre
Nantes
Lyon
Nantes
Nice
Nantes
Paris FC
Nantes
Nice
Nantes
Lens
Nantes
Lorient
Nantes
Metz
Nantes
Monaco
Nantes
Lille
Nantes
Rennes
Nantes
Auxerre
Nantes
Paris Saint Germain
Nantes
Montpellier
Nantes
Angers
Toulouse
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lens
Toulouse
Lens
Toulouse
Paris Saint Germain
Toulouse
Metz
Toulouse
Marseille
Toulouse
Rennes
Toulouse
Le Havre
Toulouse
Angers
Toulouse
Stade Brestois 29
Toulouse
Angers
Toulouse
Lyon Duchere
Toulouse
Paris FC
Toulouse
Marseille
Toulouse
Lorient
Toulouse
Monaco
Toulouse
Lyon
Toulouse
Auxerre
Toulouse
Lille
Toulouse
Nice
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 45 | 76 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 31 | 70 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 60 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 18 | 59 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 9 | 59 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 6 | 54 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 11 | 53 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | -3 | 45 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 |
Toulouse
Away
|
33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 44 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | -3 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 39 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | -19 | 36 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | -12 | 35 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | -10 | 34 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 |
Nantes
Home
|
33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | -44 | 17 |
D
L
L
D
L
|