Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
61.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
65.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Naivas
Mombasa Elite
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Naivas
37 matches
Mombasa Elite
36 matches
| Naivas | Statistic | Mombasa Elite |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wins | 23 |
| 9 | Draws | 3 |
| 11 | Losses | 10 |
| 46 | Goals For | 48 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 0.78 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.86 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 16 | Clean Sheets | 16 |
| 13 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Mombasa Elite having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Mombasa Elite.
From their first 37 matches, Naivas have collected 60 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 17 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses, while the 46:29 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Mombasa Elite arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 75 points after 37 matches. Their overall return of 24 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 50:31 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 10 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Naivas won 5 times, Mombasa Elite won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:8 from Naivas's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.