KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 76.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 78%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
76.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
78%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Naivas Win 70.1%
Draw 0%
Kisumu All Stars Win 29.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Naivas1.18
Kisumu All Stars0.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
Naivas Naivas
WWDLW
33 GF / 27 GA
Kisumu All Stars Kisumu All Stars
WLDWL
19 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
0.63
0.9
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
12
BTTS Yes
9
10
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Naivas Naivas 30 matches
Kisumu All Stars Kisumu All Stars 30 matches
Naivas Statistic Kisumu All Stars
12 Wins 8
8 Draws 6
10 Losses 16
33 Goals For 19
27 Goals Against 39
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 0.63
0.9 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
12 BTTS Yes 9
14 Over 1.5 19
10 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 3
10 Clean Sheets 9
12 Failed To Score 15
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Naivas's more proactive style and Kisumu All Stars's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Kisumu All Stars. Kisumu All Stars arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kisumu All Stars having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Naivas Analysis

Naivas sit 8 with 44 points after 30 league matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 33:27 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Kisumu All Stars Analysis

Kisumu All Stars approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 30 points from 30 matches. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 6 draws, and 16 defeats, and the 19:39 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Naivas won 5 times, Kisumu All Stars won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:7 from Naivas's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Naivas wins 5, draws 1, Kisumu All Stars wins 4
Last matches: Naivas
13.06.26
Sup
Naivas
Mombasa Elite
1
1
D
07.06.26
Sup
Naivas
Kabati Youth FC
1
2
L
01.06.26
Sup
Naivas
Vihiga United FC
2
0
W
28.05.26
Sup
Naivas
Mwatate United
2
0
W
24.05.26
Sup
Naivas
Nzoia Sugar
1
0
W
16.05.26
Sup
Naivas
Darajani Gogo
3
0
W
09.05.26
Sup
Naivas
Gucha Stars
0
0
D
25.04.26
Sup
Naivas
Talanta
4
1
W
18.04.26
Sup
Naivas
3K
1
2
L
12.04.26
Sup
Naivas
Migori Youth
0
1
L
03.04.26
Sup
Naivas
Kibera Black Stars
2
1
W
28.03.26
Sup
Naivas
Fortune Sacco
3
3
D
21.03.26
Sup
Naivas
MCF
1
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Naivas
Nairobi City Stars
3
1
W
07.03.26
Sup
Naivas
MOFA
0
1
L
28.02.26
Sup
Naivas
Luanda Villa
3
0
W
22.02.26
Sup
Naivas
Soy United
1
0
W
14.02.26
Sup
Naivas
Equity Bank
1
1
D
31.01.26
Sup
Naivas
Nairobi City Stars
0
0
D
24.01.26
Sup
Naivas
Kibera Black Stars
1
1
D
Last matches: Kisumu All Stars
13.06.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Vihiga United FC
1
0
W
07.06.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Darajani Gogo
1
2
L
01.06.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Migori Youth
0
1
L
28.05.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Soy United
0
0
D
24.05.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
MOFA
1
0
W
17.05.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Equity Bank
0
0
D
10.05.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Kabati Youth FC
1
1
D
26.04.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Luanda Villa
0
2
L
19.04.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Fortune Sacco
1
2
L
12.04.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Nairobi City Stars
1
0
W
03.04.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
MCF
0
2
L
29.03.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Gucha Stars
2
0
W
21.03.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
14.03.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Mwatate United
1
0
W
08.03.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Nzoia Sugar
0
1
L
28.02.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Talanta
1
5
L
21.02.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
3K
0
2
L
15.02.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Mombasa Elite
0
4
L
01.02.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Mwatate United
0
0
D
25.01.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
MCF
2
1
W
H2H: Naivas vs Kisumu All Stars
01.05.26
H2H
Naivas
Kisumu All Stars
4
0
W
12.12.25
H2H
Kisumu All Stars
Naivas
1
0
L
12.04.25
H2H
Kisumu All Stars
Naivas
1
0
L
02.02.25
H2H
Naivas
Kisumu All Stars
2
1
W
10.03.24
H2H
Kisumu All Stars
Naivas
0
2
W
18.11.23
H2H
Naivas
Kisumu All Stars
3
1
W
11.06.23
H2H
Kisumu All Stars
Naivas
2
1
L
18.02.23
H2H
Naivas
Kisumu All Stars
0
0
D
18.07.22
H2H
Kisumu All Stars
Naivas
1
0
L
05.12.21
H2H
Naivas
Kisumu All Stars
1
0
W
Last matches: Naivas
13.06.26
Sup
Naivas
Mombasa Elite
1
1
D
01.06.26
Sup
Naivas
Vihiga United FC
2
0
W
16.05.26
Sup
Naivas
Darajani Gogo
3
0
W
18.04.26
Sup
Naivas
3K
1
2
L
03.04.26
Sup
Naivas
Kibera Black Stars
2
1
W
28.03.26
Sup
Naivas
Fortune Sacco
3
3
D
14.03.26
Sup
Naivas
Nairobi City Stars
3
1
W
28.02.26
Sup
Naivas
Luanda Villa
3
0
W
14.02.26
Sup
Naivas
Equity Bank
1
1
D
17.01.26
Sup
Naivas
Migori Youth
2
4
L
20.12.25
Sup
Naivas
Talanta
1
0
W
17.12.25
Sup
Naivas
Gucha Stars
0
1
L
07.12.25
Sup
Naivas
Nzoia Sugar
0
1
L
22.11.25
Sup
Naivas
MOFA
0
0
D
08.11.25
Sup
Naivas
Soy United
2
1
W
03.11.25
Sup
Naivas
Kabati Youth FC
1
1
D
25.10.25
Sup
Naivas
Mwatate United
3
1
W
04.10.25
Sup
Naivas
MCF
1
0
W
H2H at home: Naivas
01.05.26
H2H
Naivas
Kisumu All Stars
4
0
W
02.02.25
H2H
Naivas
Kisumu All Stars
2
1
W
18.11.23
H2H
Naivas
Kisumu All Stars
3
1
W
18.02.23
H2H
Naivas
Kisumu All Stars
0
0
D
05.12.21
H2H
Naivas
Kisumu All Stars
1
0
W
Last matches: Kisumu All Stars
07.06.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Darajani Gogo
1
2
L
28.05.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Soy United
0
0
D
17.05.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Equity Bank
0
0
D
19.04.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Fortune Sacco
1
2
L
03.04.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
MCF
0
2
L
21.03.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
14.03.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Mwatate United
1
0
W
28.02.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Talanta
1
5
L
15.02.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Mombasa Elite
0
4
L
18.01.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Nairobi City Stars
1
1
D
21.12.25
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Luanda Villa
1
3
L
17.12.25
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
MOFA
1
1
D
07.12.25
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Kabati Youth FC
0
2
L
27.11.25
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Gucha Stars
0
2
L
23.11.25
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Nzoia Sugar
0
2
L
09.11.25
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
3K
0
2
L
29.10.25
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Vihiga United FC
0
0
D
12.10.25
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Migori Youth
1
2
L
H2H away: Kisumu All Stars
01.05.26
H2H
Naivas
Kisumu All Stars
4
0
L
02.02.25
H2H
Naivas
Kisumu All Stars
2
1
L
18.11.23
H2H
Naivas
Kisumu All Stars
3
1
L
18.02.23
H2H
Naivas
Kisumu All Stars
0
0
D
05.12.21
H2H
Naivas
Kisumu All Stars
1
0
L

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 25 6 7 57:29 28 81
D W W W W
2 38 23 8 7 62:26 36 77
D W W D D
3 38 24 4 10 51:32 19 76
D W L D W
4 38 21 11 6 56:28 28 74
W L W W D
5 38 16 16 6 51:30 21 64
D D D D L
6 38 18 9 11 61:41 20 63
W W L L L
7 38 17 10 11 47:30 17 61
D L W W W
8 38 16 9 13 53:41 12 57
L W L W W
9 38 15 8 15 32:33 -1 53
L L D D L
10 38 14 10 14 31:27 4 52
W D L D W
11 38 12 14 12 37:36 1 50
W L W L L
12 38 12 8 18 35:41 -6 44
W L W L W
13 38 12 7 19 30:51 -21 43
L D W L L
14 38 10 9 19 32:52 -20 39
D W W W L
15 38 10 9 19 23:47 -24 39
W L L D W
16 38 9 12 17 32:44 -12 39
L L L D D
17 38 10 8 20 27:48 -21 38
W W L D W
18 38 9 10 19 24:42 -18 34
L W W L D
19 38 9 9 20 29:55 -26 30
L D L W L
20 38 6 7 25 27:64 -37 25
L L L L L
Promotion - Premier League
Relegation