KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
56.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
60.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Nairobi City Stars Win 60.8%
Draw 12.8%
Vihiga United FC Win 26.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nairobi City Stars1.13
Vihiga United FC0.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars
WWDLW
25 GF / 30 GA
Vihiga United FC Vihiga United FC
WLDWL
25 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
0.83
Average Goals Scored
0.83
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
11
BTTS Yes
15
6
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars 30 matches
Vihiga United FC Vihiga United FC 30 matches
Nairobi City Stars Statistic Vihiga United FC
8 Wins 6
10 Draws 8
12 Losses 16
25 Goals For 25
30 Goals Against 47
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57
11 BTTS Yes 15
16 Over 1.5 19
6 Over 2.5 15
4 Over 3.5 10
10 Clean Sheets 9
12 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Vihiga United FC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Nairobi City Stars arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 12 with 37 points compared to Vihiga United FC in 20 on 20, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Vihiga United FC having the stronger overall control.

Nairobi City Stars Analysis

Nairobi City Stars approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 37 points from 31 matches. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 10 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 28:30 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Vihiga United FC Analysis

Vihiga United FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 20 points from 31 matches. The overall return of 6 wins, 8 draws, and 17 defeats with a 25:50 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Nairobi City Stars won 1 times, Vihiga United FC won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:1 from Nairobi City Stars's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.2%)
H2H summary: Nairobi City Stars wins 1, draws 1, Vihiga United FC wins 1
Last matches: Nairobi City Stars
13.06.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Darajani Gogo
0
3
L
07.06.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Talanta
1
5
L
01.06.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Kabati Youth FC
1
2
L
27.05.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Kibera Black Stars
1
1
D
23.05.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
MCF
0
0
D
17.05.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Mombasa Elite
1
2
L
03.05.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Equity Bank
0
1
L
26.04.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Soy United
1
2
L
18.04.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Gucha Stars
2
0
W
12.04.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Kisumu All Stars
0
1
L
03.04.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
3K
0
3
L
28.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
MOFA
1
1
D
22.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Luanda Villa
0
1
L
14.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Naivas
1
3
L
07.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Mwatate United
1
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Nzoia Sugar
0
0
D
21.02.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Fortune Sacco
3
2
W
15.02.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Migori Youth
0
1
L
31.01.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Naivas
0
0
D
25.01.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
3K
1
1
D
Last matches: Vihiga United FC
13.06.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Kisumu All Stars
0
1
L
07.06.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Luanda Villa
1
1
D
01.06.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Naivas
0
2
L
27.05.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
23.05.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Darajani Gogo
0
1
L
17.05.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Soy United
1
0
W
01.05.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
3K
2
3
L
26.04.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Equity Bank
0
4
L
18.04.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Mwatate United
1
3
L
12.04.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
MCF
0
0
D
03.04.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Mombasa Elite
1
3
L
29.03.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Kabati Youth FC
2
1
W
21.03.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
MOFA
2
3
L
14.03.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Kibera Black Stars
1
0
W
08.03.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Migori Youth
0
2
L
01.03.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Fortune Sacco
0
0
D
20.02.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Nzoia Sugar
0
4
L
14.02.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Talanta
1
3
L
01.02.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Kibera Black Stars
2
1
W
24.01.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Mombasa Elite
1
3
L
H2H: Nairobi City Stars vs Vihiga United FC
09.05.26
H2H
Nairobi City Stars
Vihiga United FC
0
1
L
17.12.25
H2H
Vihiga United FC
Nairobi City Stars
0
3
W
21.07.21
H2H
Vihiga United FC
Nairobi City Stars
0
0
D
Last matches: Nairobi City Stars
13.06.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Darajani Gogo
0
3
L
01.06.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Kabati Youth FC
1
2
L
23.05.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
MCF
0
0
D
18.04.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Gucha Stars
2
0
W
03.04.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
3K
0
3
L
28.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
MOFA
1
1
D
07.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Mwatate United
1
0
W
21.02.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Fortune Sacco
3
2
W
31.01.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Naivas
0
0
D
18.01.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Kisumu All Stars
1
1
D
21.12.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Soy United
1
1
D
12.12.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Equity Bank
2
0
W
02.12.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Mombasa Elite
1
0
W
29.11.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Nzoia Sugar
1
1
D
15.11.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Migori Youth
0
2
L
04.11.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Talanta
0
1
L
26.10.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Kibera Black Stars
2
3
L
05.10.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Luanda Villa
1
0
W
H2H at home: Nairobi City Stars
09.05.26
H2H
Nairobi City Stars
Vihiga United FC
0
1
L
Last matches: Vihiga United FC
13.06.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Kisumu All Stars
0
1
L
01.06.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Naivas
0
2
L
23.05.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Darajani Gogo
0
1
L
18.04.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Mwatate United
1
3
L
03.04.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Mombasa Elite
1
3
L
21.03.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
MOFA
2
3
L
14.03.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Kibera Black Stars
1
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Fortune Sacco
0
0
D
14.02.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Talanta
1
3
L
17.01.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
MCF
3
1
W
21.12.25
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Equity Bank
1
2
L
13.12.25
Sup
Vihiga United FC
3K
2
4
L
03.12.25
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Soy United
0
0
D
23.11.25
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Migori Youth
1
1
D
09.11.25
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Nzoia Sugar
0
0
D
02.11.25
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Luanda Villa
1
0
W
25.10.25
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Gucha Stars
1
2
L
28.09.25
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Kabati Youth FC
1
1
D
H2H away: Vihiga United FC
09.05.26
H2H
Nairobi City Stars
Vihiga United FC
0
1
W

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 25 6 7 57:29 28 81
D W W W W
2 38 23 8 7 62:26 36 77
D W W D D
3 38 24 4 10 51:32 19 76
D W L D W
4 38 21 11 6 56:28 28 74
W L W W D
5 38 16 16 6 51:30 21 64
D D D D L
6 38 18 9 11 61:41 20 63
W W L L L
7 38 17 10 11 47:30 17 61
D L W W W
8 38 16 9 13 53:41 12 57
L W L W W
9 38 15 8 15 32:33 -1 53
L L D D L
10 38 14 10 14 31:27 4 52
W D L D W
11 38 12 14 12 37:36 1 50
W L W L L
12 38 12 8 18 35:41 -6 44
W L W L W
13 38 12 7 19 30:51 -21 43
L D W L L
14 38 10 9 19 32:52 -20 39
D W W W L
15 38 10 9 19 23:47 -24 39
W L L D W
16 38 9 12 17 32:44 -12 39
L L L D D
17 38 10 8 20 27:48 -21 38
W W L D W
18 38 9 10 19 24:42 -18 34
L W W L D
19 38 9 9 20 29:55 -26 30
L D L W L
20 38 6 7 25 27:64 -37 25
L L L L L
Promotion - Premier League
Relegation