KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 93.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 61.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
93.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
61.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Nairobi City Stars Win 93.2%
Draw 0%
MCF Win 6.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nairobi City Stars0.91
MCF0.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars
WWDLW
26 GF / 33 GA
MCF MCF
WLDWL
19 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
0.81
Average Goals Scored
0.59
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
12
BTTS Yes
9
7
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars 32 matches
MCF MCF 32 matches
Nairobi City Stars Statistic MCF
8 Wins 7
10 Draws 9
14 Losses 16
26 Goals For 19
33 Goals Against 34
0.81 Avg Goals Scored 0.59
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
12 BTTS Yes 9
17 Over 1.5 15
7 Over 2.5 9
4 Over 3.5 3
10 Clean Sheets 12
13 Failed To Score 17
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward MCF. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward MCF having the stronger overall control. Nairobi City Stars have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Nairobi City Stars Analysis

Nairobi City Stars approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 37 points from 33 matches. Their record of 9 wins, 10 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 29:33, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

MCF Analysis

MCF sit 18 with 27 points after 33 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 9 draws, and 17 defeats, and the 19:36 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Nairobi City Stars won 0 times, MCF won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:0 from Nairobi City Stars's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Nairobi City Stars wins 0, draws 2, MCF wins 0
Last matches: Nairobi City Stars
13.06.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Darajani Gogo
0
3
L
07.06.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Talanta
1
5
L
01.06.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Kabati Youth FC
1
2
L
27.05.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Kibera Black Stars
1
1
D
17.05.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Mombasa Elite
1
2
L
09.05.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Vihiga United FC
0
1
L
03.05.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Equity Bank
0
1
L
26.04.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Soy United
1
2
L
18.04.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Gucha Stars
2
0
W
12.04.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Kisumu All Stars
0
1
L
03.04.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
3K
0
3
L
28.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
MOFA
1
1
D
22.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Luanda Villa
0
1
L
14.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Naivas
1
3
L
07.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Mwatate United
1
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Nzoia Sugar
0
0
D
21.02.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Fortune Sacco
3
2
W
15.02.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Migori Youth
0
1
L
31.01.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Naivas
0
0
D
25.01.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
3K
1
1
D
Last matches: MCF
13.06.26
Sup
MCF
Fortune Sacco
0
3
L
07.06.26
Sup
MCF
Kibera Black Stars
2
1
W
27.05.26
Sup
MCF
Migori Youth
1
2
L
17.05.26
Sup
MCF
Nzoia Sugar
1
0
W
06.05.26
Sup
MCF
3K
0
2
L
02.05.26
Sup
MCF
Soy United
1
1
D
25.04.26
Sup
MCF
Darajani Gogo
0
0
D
19.04.26
Sup
MCF
Talanta
0
0
D
14.04.26
Sup
MCF
MOFA
0
3
L
12.04.26
Sup
MCF
Vihiga United FC
0
0
D
06.04.26
Sup
MCF
Kabati Youth FC
2
1
W
03.04.26
Sup
MCF
Kisumu All Stars
2
0
W
29.03.26
Sup
MCF
Mombasa Elite
1
3
L
25.03.26
Sup
MCF
Equity Bank
0
3
L
21.03.26
Sup
MCF
Naivas
0
1
L
14.03.26
Sup
MCF
Gucha Stars
1
1
D
08.03.26
Sup
MCF
Luanda Villa
0
1
L
25.01.26
Sup
MCF
Kisumu All Stars
1
2
L
17.01.26
Sup
MCF
Vihiga United FC
1
3
L
09.01.26
Sup
MCF
Talanta
1
2
L
H2H: Nairobi City Stars vs MCF
23.05.26
H2H
Nairobi City Stars
MCF
0
0
D
07.12.25
H2H
MCF
Nairobi City Stars
0
0
D
Last matches: Nairobi City Stars
13.06.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Darajani Gogo
0
3
L
01.06.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Kabati Youth FC
1
2
L
09.05.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Vihiga United FC
0
1
L
18.04.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Gucha Stars
2
0
W
03.04.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
3K
0
3
L
28.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
MOFA
1
1
D
07.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Mwatate United
1
0
W
21.02.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Fortune Sacco
3
2
W
31.01.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Naivas
0
0
D
18.01.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Kisumu All Stars
1
1
D
21.12.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Soy United
1
1
D
12.12.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Equity Bank
2
0
W
02.12.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Mombasa Elite
1
0
W
29.11.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Nzoia Sugar
1
1
D
15.11.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Migori Youth
0
2
L
04.11.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Talanta
0
1
L
26.10.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Kibera Black Stars
2
3
L
05.10.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Luanda Villa
1
0
W
H2H at home: Nairobi City Stars
23.05.26
H2H
Nairobi City Stars
MCF
0
0
D
Last matches: MCF
07.06.26
Sup
MCF
Kibera Black Stars
2
1
W
27.05.26
Sup
MCF
Migori Youth
1
2
L
06.05.26
Sup
MCF
3K
0
2
L
25.04.26
Sup
MCF
Darajani Gogo
0
0
D
14.04.26
Sup
MCF
MOFA
0
3
L
12.04.26
Sup
MCF
Vihiga United FC
0
0
D
29.03.26
Sup
MCF
Mombasa Elite
1
3
L
08.03.26
Sup
MCF
Luanda Villa
0
1
L
25.01.26
Sup
MCF
Kisumu All Stars
1
2
L
09.01.26
Sup
MCF
Talanta
1
2
L
14.12.25
Sup
MCF
Soy United
0
1
L
03.12.25
Sup
MCF
Nzoia Sugar
0
0
D
29.11.25
Sup
MCF
Equity Bank
1
3
L
16.11.25
Sup
MCF
Kabati Youth FC
0
0
D
29.10.25
Sup
MCF
Fortune Sacco
1
1
D
12.10.25
Sup
MCF
Mwatate United
3
0
W
04.10.25
Sup
MCF
Naivas
0
1
L
H2H away: MCF
23.05.26
H2H
Nairobi City Stars
MCF
0
0
D

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 25 6 7 57:29 28 81
D W W W W
2 38 23 8 7 62:26 36 77
D W W D D
3 38 24 4 10 51:32 19 76
D W L D W
4 38 21 11 6 56:28 28 74
W L W W D
5 38 16 16 6 51:30 21 64
D D D D L
6 38 18 9 11 61:41 20 63
W W L L L
7 38 17 10 11 47:30 17 61
D L W W W
8 38 16 9 13 53:41 12 57
L W L W W
9 38 15 8 15 32:33 -1 53
L L D D L
10 38 14 10 14 31:27 4 52
W D L D W
11 38 12 14 12 37:36 1 50
W L W L L
12 38 12 8 18 35:41 -6 44
W L W L W
13 38 12 7 19 30:51 -21 43
L D W L L
14 38 10 9 19 32:52 -20 39
D W W W L
15 38 10 9 19 23:47 -24 39
W L L D W
16 38 9 12 17 32:44 -12 39
L L L D D
17 38 10 8 20 27:48 -21 38
W W L D W
18
MCF Away
38 9 10 19 24:42 -18 34
L W W L D
19 38 9 9 20 29:55 -26 30
L D L W L
20 38 6 7 25 27:64 -37 25
L L L L L
Promotion - Premier League
Relegation