KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.9%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Nairobi City Stars Win 74.9%
Draw 12.6%
Darajani Gogo Win 12.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nairobi City Stars1.01
Darajani Gogo0.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars
WWDLW
29 GF / 41 GA
Darajani Gogo Darajani Gogo
WLDWL
24 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
0.81
Average Goals Scored
0.65
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
15
BTTS Yes
12
9
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars 36 matches
Darajani Gogo Darajani Gogo 37 matches
Nairobi City Stars Statistic Darajani Gogo
8 Wins 9
12 Draws 8
16 Losses 20
29 Goals For 24
41 Goals Against 48
0.81 Avg Goals Scored 0.65
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
15 BTTS Yes 12
20 Over 1.5 19
9 Over 2.5 12
5 Over 3.5 5
11 Clean Sheets 12
14 Failed To Score 17
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Darajani Gogo. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Darajani Gogo having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Nairobi City Stars Analysis

Nairobi City Stars sit 14 with 39 points after 37 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 12 draws, and 16 defeats, and the 32:41 goal record continues to suggest poor form . Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Darajani Gogo Analysis

Darajani Gogo sit 17 with 35 points after 37 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 8 draws, and 20 defeats, and the 24:48 goal record continues to suggest poor form . Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 12 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Nairobi City Stars won 0 times, Darajani Gogo won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:4 from Nairobi City Stars's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (87.4%)
H2H summary: Nairobi City Stars wins 0, draws 0, Darajani Gogo wins 2
Last matches: Nairobi City Stars
07.06.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Talanta
1
5
L
01.06.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Kabati Youth FC
1
2
L
27.05.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Kibera Black Stars
1
1
D
23.05.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
MCF
0
0
D
17.05.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Mombasa Elite
1
2
L
09.05.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Vihiga United FC
0
1
L
03.05.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Equity Bank
0
1
L
26.04.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Soy United
1
2
L
18.04.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Gucha Stars
2
0
W
12.04.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Kisumu All Stars
0
1
L
03.04.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
3K
0
3
L
28.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
MOFA
1
1
D
22.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Luanda Villa
0
1
L
14.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Naivas
1
3
L
07.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Mwatate United
1
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Nzoia Sugar
0
0
D
21.02.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Fortune Sacco
3
2
W
15.02.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Migori Youth
0
1
L
31.01.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Naivas
0
0
D
25.01.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
3K
1
1
D
Last matches: Darajani Gogo
07.06.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Kisumu All Stars
2
1
W
01.06.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Gucha Stars
1
2
L
28.05.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
MOFA
1
1
D
23.05.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Vihiga United FC
1
0
W
16.05.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Naivas
0
3
L
09.05.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Equity Bank
0
4
L
03.05.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Luanda Villa
0
1
L
25.04.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
MCF
0
0
D
19.04.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Nzoia Sugar
0
2
L
11.04.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Kabati Youth FC
2
0
W
05.04.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Fortune Sacco
0
4
L
29.03.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Soy United
0
2
L
21.03.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
3K
1
1
D
14.03.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Talanta
1
1
D
07.03.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
01.03.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Migori Youth
1
2
L
20.02.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Mombasa Elite
1
2
L
15.02.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Mwatate United
2
2
D
31.01.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Talanta
0
1
L
25.01.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Fortune Sacco
2
4
L
H2H: Nairobi City Stars vs Darajani Gogo
13.06.26
H2H
Nairobi City Stars
Darajani Gogo
0
3
L
30.10.25
H2H
Darajani Gogo
Nairobi City Stars
1
0
L
Last matches: Nairobi City Stars
01.06.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Kabati Youth FC
1
2
L
23.05.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
MCF
0
0
D
09.05.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Vihiga United FC
0
1
L
18.04.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Gucha Stars
2
0
W
03.04.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
3K
0
3
L
28.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
MOFA
1
1
D
07.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Mwatate United
1
0
W
21.02.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Fortune Sacco
3
2
W
31.01.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Naivas
0
0
D
18.01.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Kisumu All Stars
1
1
D
21.12.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Soy United
1
1
D
12.12.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Equity Bank
2
0
W
02.12.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Mombasa Elite
1
0
W
29.11.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Nzoia Sugar
1
1
D
15.11.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Migori Youth
0
2
L
04.11.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Talanta
0
1
L
26.10.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Kibera Black Stars
2
3
L
05.10.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Luanda Villa
1
0
W
H2H at home: Nairobi City Stars
13.06.26
H2H
Nairobi City Stars
Darajani Gogo
0
3
L
Last matches: Darajani Gogo
01.06.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Gucha Stars
1
2
L
16.05.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Naivas
0
3
L
03.05.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Luanda Villa
0
1
L
19.04.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Nzoia Sugar
0
2
L
05.04.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Fortune Sacco
0
4
L
29.03.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Soy United
0
2
L
14.03.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Talanta
1
1
D
01.03.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Migori Youth
1
2
L
15.02.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Mwatate United
2
2
D
18.01.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Kabati Youth FC
0
1
L
21.12.25
Sup
Darajani Gogo
MCF
1
0
W
17.12.25
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Equity Bank
0
2
L
07.12.25
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Vihiga United FC
0
1
L
23.11.25
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Kibera Black Stars
1
0
W
10.11.25
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Mombasa Elite
1
2
L
03.11.25
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Kisumu All Stars
1
0
W
25.10.25
Sup
Darajani Gogo
MOFA
0
0
D
05.10.25
Sup
Darajani Gogo
3K
0
1
L
H2H away: Darajani Gogo
13.06.26
H2H
Nairobi City Stars
Darajani Gogo
0
3
W

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 25 6 7 57:29 28 81
D W W W W
2 38 23 8 7 62:26 36 77
D W W D D
3 38 24 4 10 51:32 19 76
D W L D W
4 38 21 11 6 56:28 28 74
W L W W D
5 38 16 16 6 51:30 21 64
D D D D L
6 38 18 9 11 61:41 20 63
W W L L L
7 38 17 10 11 47:30 17 61
D L W W W
8 38 16 9 13 53:41 12 57
L W L W W
9 38 15 8 15 32:33 -1 53
L L D D L
10 38 14 10 14 31:27 4 52
W D L D W
11 38 12 14 12 37:36 1 50
W L W L L
12 38 12 8 18 35:41 -6 44
W L W L W
13 38 12 7 19 30:51 -21 43
L D W L L
14 38 10 9 19 32:52 -20 39
D W W W L
15 38 10 9 19 23:47 -24 39
W L L D W
16 38 9 12 17 32:44 -12 39
L L L D D
17 38 10 8 20 27:48 -21 38
W W L D W
18 38 9 10 19 24:42 -18 34
L W W L D
19 38 9 9 20 29:55 -26 30
L D L W L
20 38 6 7 25 27:64 -37 25
L L L L L
Promotion - Premier League
Relegation