JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
06.09.2026 09:00
Toyota Stadium
Nagoya Grampus
Match Timeline
Machida Zelvia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
23'
Yuya Asano ↔ Yuya Yamagishi
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
36'
Daihachi Okamura ↔ Henry Heroki Mochizuki
Machida Zelvia
🟨
43'
Ryuji Izumi
Nagoya Grampus
45+7'
Ryohei Shirasaki
Machida Zelvia
🔄
45'
Yuki Nogami ↔ Teruki Hara
Nagoya Grampus
🟨
46'
Takahiro Akimoto
Machida Zelvia
55'
Henry Heroki Mochizuki
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
65'
Kensuke Nagai ↔ Tomoya Koyamatsu
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
66'
Ryohei Shirasaki ↔ Hokuto Shimoda
Machida Zelvia
🔄
66'
Takuma Nishimura ↔ Tete Yengi
Machida Zelvia
🔄
70'
Ryuji Izumi ↔ Yota Sato
Nagoya Grampus
75'
Alexandre Kouto Horio Pisano
Machida Zelvia
🟨
85'
Tomoki Takamine
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
85'
Yuki Soma ↔ Yusuke Matsuo
Machida Zelvia
🔄
86'
Koki Ogawa ↔ Mitchell Duke
Machida Zelvia
90+7'
Yusuke Matsuo
Machida Zelvia

Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.1%
Odds 1.33
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.86
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.1%
1.33
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.86
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.35
HT / FT Home / Home
-
5.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
Nagoya Grampus Win 40.1%
Draw 12%
Machida Zelvia Win 48%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nagoya Grampus1.04
Machida Zelvia2.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
WWDLW
6 GF / 8 GA
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
WLDWL
15 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
3
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
3
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
4
4.8
Shots on Goal
5.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 5 matches
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 5 matches
Nagoya Grampus Statistic Machida Zelvia
2 Wins 4
0 Draws 1
3 Losses 0
6 Goals For 15
8 Goals Against 4
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 3
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
3 BTTS Yes 4
4 Over 1.5 5
4 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 3
0 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 0
4.8 Shots On Goal 5.6
14.2 Total Shots 15.8
5.6 Corners 4.4
58.8% Ball Possession 50.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Nagoya Grampus won 2 times, Machida Zelvia won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:16 from Nagoya Grampus's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.1%)
Predicted formations: Nagoya Grampus 3-4-2-1 / Machida Zelvia 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Nagoya Grampus wins 2, draws 1, Machida Zelvia wins 6

Standings

J-League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 2 0 19:6 13 17
D W W D W
2 7 5 1 1 11:5 6 16
W W W W L
3 7 5 0 2 13:10 3 15
W L L W W
4 7 4 2 1 19:6 13 14
W L W D D
5 7 4 2 1 13:8 5 14
W W D W W
6 7 4 1 2 10:8 2 13
W W W L D
7 7 3 3 1 13:9 4 12
W W L W D
8 7 4 0 3 14:13 1 12
L L L W W
9 7 3 2 2 11:9 2 11
D W D L W
10 7 3 1 3 6:11 -5 10
L D W L W
11 7 2 3 2 11:9 2 9
L D W D W
12 7 3 0 4 13:17 -4 9
L W W W L
13 7 2 1 4 4:7 -3 7
W L D L L
14 7 2 1 4 9:14 -5 7
W L D L L
15 7 1 3 3 8:13 -5 6
L L D D L
16 7 2 0 5 7:13 -6 6
L L L W W
17 7 1 2 4 9:14 -5 5
L L D W L
18 7 1 1 5 9:11 -2 4
L D L L L
19 7 0 4 3 3:9 -6 4
D D L L D
20 7 1 1 5 6:16 -10 4
D W L L L
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League