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JAPAN › J1 LEAGUE
06.09.2026 09:00
Toyota Stadium
Referee: Atsushi Uemura, Japan
Nagoya Grampus
Match Timeline
Machida Zelvia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
23'
Y. Asano ↔ Y. Yamagishi
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
36'
D. Okamura ↔ H. Mochizuki
Machida Zelvia
🟨
43'
Ryuji Izumi
Nagoya Grampus
⚽
45'
R. Shirasaki
Machida Zelvia
🟨
46'
Takahiro Akimoto
Machida Zelvia
🔄
46'
Y. Nogami ↔ T. Hara
Nagoya Grampus
⚽
55'
H. Mochizuki
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
65'
K. Nagai ↔ T. Koyamatsu
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
66'
R. Shirasaki ↔ H. Shimoda
Machida Zelvia
🔄
66'
T. Nishimura ↔ T. Yengi
Machida Zelvia
🔄
70'
R. Izumi ↔ Y. Sato
Nagoya Grampus
⚽
75'
A. Pisano
Machida Zelvia
🟨
85'
Tomoki Takamine
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
85'
Y. Soma ↔ Y. Matsuo
Machida Zelvia
🔄
86'
K. Ogawa ↔ M. Duke
Machida Zelvia
⚽
90'
Y. Matsuo
Machida Zelvia

Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Nagoya Grampus Win 40.1%
Draw 12%
Machida Zelvia Win 48%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nagoya Grampus1.04
Machida Zelvia2.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
WWDLW
6 GF / 8 GA
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
WLDWL
15 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
3
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
3
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
4
4.8
Shots on Goal
5.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 5 matches
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 5 matches
Nagoya Grampus Statistic Machida Zelvia
2 Wins 4
0 Draws 1
3 Losses 0
6 Goals For 15
8 Goals Against 4
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 3
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
3 BTTS Yes 4
4 Over 1.5 5
4 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 3
0 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 0
4.8 Shots On Goal 5.8
14.2 Total Shots 16
5.6 Corners 4.4
58% Ball Possession 50.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Nagoya Grampus won 2 times, Machida Zelvia won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:16 from Nagoya Grampus's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.1%)
Predicted formations: Nagoya Grampus 3-4-2-1 / Machida Zelvia 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Nagoya Grampus wins 2, draws 1, Machida Zelvia wins 6

Standings

J-League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 25:6 19 23
W W W W L
2 10 7 2 1 21:8 13 23
W W W W W
3 10 7 0 3 22:17 5 21
L W W W L
4 9 6 2 1 22:10 12 20
W L D W W
5 10 6 1 3 21:16 5 19
W W D L L
6 9 6 1 2 14:9 5 19
L W W W W
7 10 4 4 2 21:16 5 16
W L D W W
8 10 4 4 2 13:9 4 16
D D W D W
9 10 5 0 5 17:21 -4 15
W L W L W
10 10 4 2 4 10:11 -1 14
D W W W L
11 9 4 1 4 12:12 0 13
L L W W W
12 10 4 0 6 12:16 -4 12
W W L L L
13 10 3 3 4 9:16 -7 12
L D D L D
14 10 2 3 5 12:14 -2 9
L L L L D
15 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D D W L
16 10 2 2 6 11:19 -8 8
L L W L L
17 9 2 1 6 11:13 -2 7
W L L D L
18 10 1 4 5 10:18 -8 7
D L L L L
19 10 1 3 6 8:19 -11 6
D D L D W
20 10 0 4 6 4:18 -14 4
L L L D D
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League