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JAPAN › J1 LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Nagoya Grampus
PEN
1 - 1
Fagiano Okayama
Toyota Stadium
Referee: D. Shiino
Nagoya Grampus
Match Timeline
Fagiano Okayama
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Ataru Esaka
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
46'
R. Izumi ↔ H. Koda
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
46'
Werik Popo ↔ Lucao
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
46'
N. Browne ↔ T. Yamane
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
59'
Y. Yamagishi ↔ S. Sugiura
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
59'
T. Kimura ↔ J. Nishikawa
Fagiano Okayama
⚽
65'
H. Koda
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
67'
M. Matsumoto ↔ Leo Gaucho
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
70'
T. Morishima ↔ K. Mikuni
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
80'
Y. Asano ↔ M. Ono
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
80'
A. Esaka ↔ K. Kawano
Fagiano Okayama
🟨
85'
Kosei Ogura
Fagiano Okayama
⚽
89'
D. Tagami · Assist: K. Ogura
Fagiano Okayama
🟨
94'
Daniel Schmidt
Nagoya Grampus
VAR
97'
Kota Kawano
Fagiano Okayama

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 75.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 23.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 46.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
75.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
23.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
46.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT 1-1
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Nagoya Grampus Win 49.9%
Draw 25.4%
Fagiano Okayama Win 24.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nagoya Grampus1.62
Fagiano Okayama1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
WWDLW
20 GF / 15 GA
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
WLDWL
14 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.08
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.54
7
BTTS Yes
9
7
Over 2.5
5
4.58
Shots on Goal
3.08

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 12 matches
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 13 matches
Nagoya Grampus Statistic Fagiano Okayama
5 Wins 3
4 Draws 5
3 Losses 5
20 Goals For 14
15 Goals Against 20
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.08
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.54
7 BTTS Yes 9
10 Over 1.5 10
7 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 2
4.58 Shots On Goal 3.08
14 Total Shots 11.5
4.92 Corners 5.58
52.2% Ball Possession 41.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Nagoya Grampus won 5 times, Fagiano Okayama won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:4 from Nagoya Grampus's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (75.3%)
Predicted formations: Nagoya Grampus 3-4-2-1 / Fagiano Okayama 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Nagoya Grampus wins 5, draws 3, Fagiano Okayama wins 0
Stats
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
10
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
0
7 Corner Kicks 2
6 Fouls 13
0 Offsides 2
65% Ball Possession 35%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Goal 4
4 Shots off Goal 10
3 Blocked Shots 0
7 Shots insidebox 10
3 Shots outsidebox 4
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
577 Total passes 312
492 Passes accurate 232
0.69 expected_goals 1.89
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus
Formation
Fagiano Okayama
D. Schmidt
D. Schmidt
T. Hara
T. Hara
H. Fujii
H. Fujii
T. Takamine
T. Takamine
Y. Asano
↓
Y. Asano
T. Morishima
↓
T. Morishima
S. Inagaki
S. Inagaki
K. Nakayama
K. Nakayama
R. Izumi
↓
R. Izumi
Y. Kimura
Y. Kimura
Y. Yamagishi
↓
Y. Yamagishi
L. Moser
L. Moser
Y. Tatsuta
Y. Tatsuta
D. Tagami
⚽
D. Tagami
Y. Suzuki
Y. Suzuki
K. Shirai
K. Shirai
M. Matsumoto
↓
M. Matsumoto
K. Ogura
🎯
K. Ogura
N. Browne
↓
N. Browne
T. Kimura
↓
T. Kimura
A. Esaka
↓
A. Esaka
Werik Popo
↓
Werik Popo
Nagoya Grampus 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
D. Schmidt
🟨 94'
G
70
T. Hara
D
13
H. Fujii
D
31
T. Takamine
D
9
Y. Asano
↓ 80'
M
14
T. Morishima
↓ 70'
M
15
S. Inagaki
M
27
K. Nakayama
M
7
R. Izumi
↓ 46'
F
22
Y. Kimura
F
11
Y. Yamagishi
↓ 59'
F
Substitutes
35
A. Pisano
G
18
K. Nagai
F
41
M. Ono
↑ 80'
M
2
Y. Nogami
D
20
K. Mikuni
↑ 70'
D
55
S. Tokumoto
D
33
T. Kikuchi
M
19
H. Koda
⚽ 65' ↑ 46'
M
30
S. Sugiura
↑ 59'
F
Fagiano Okayama 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
L. Moser
G
48
Y. Tatsuta
D
18
D. Tagami
⚽ 89'
D
43
Y. Suzuki
D
51
K. Shirai
M
28
M. Matsumoto
↓ 67'
M
5
K. Ogura
🎯 89' 🟨 85'
M
45
N. Browne
↓ 46'
M
27
T. Kimura
↓ 59'
F
8
A. Esaka
↓ 80' 🟨 -5'
F
98
Werik Popo
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
52
T. Hamada
G
7
R. Takeuchi
M
99
Lucao
↑ 46'
F
66
J. Nishikawa
↑ 59'
M
40
K. Kawano
↑ 80'
F
88
T. Yamane
↑ 46'
M
9
Leo Gaucho
↑ 67'
6
H. Omori
D
26
H. Motoyama
D
Last matches: Nagoya Grampus
06.06.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Machida Zelvia
1
2
L
30.05.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Machida Zelvia
2
2
D
23.05.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2
4
L
17.05.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
1
6
L
10.05.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Kyoto Sanga
3
0
W
06.05.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
2
1
W
03.05.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
V-varen Nagasaki
2
1
W
25.04.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Shimizu S-pulse
2
0
W
19.04.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Avispa Fukuoka
2
2
D
11.04.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Vissel Kobe
2
3
L
04.04.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
3
0
W
22.03.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Kyoto Sanga
1
1
D
18.03.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2
1
W
14.03.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Vissel Kobe
0
3
L
07.03.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Avispa Fukuoka
5
1
W
01.03.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano Okayama
1
1
D
21.02.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
V-varen Nagasaki
1
3
L
15.02.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
0
0
D
08.02.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Shimizu S-pulse
1
0
W
Last matches: Fagiano Okayama
06.06.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Urawa
2
0
W
31.05.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Urawa
1
1
D
24.05.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Cerezo Osaka
2
3
L
17.05.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Shimizu S-pulse
2
0
W
10.05.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Vissel Kobe
3
0
W
06.05.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
1
2
L
02.05.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
0
W
25.04.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Avispa Fukuoka
2
0
W
19.04.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Gamba Osaka
2
2
D
11.04.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Kyoto Sanga
1
5
L
05.04.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Vissel Kobe
1
4
L
21.03.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
18.03.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Cerezo Osaka
2
1
W
14.03.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Shimizu S-pulse
1
1
D
08.03.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Kyoto Sanga
1
0
W
01.03.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Nagoya Grampus
1
1
D
22.02.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Gamba Osaka
1
2
L
14.02.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
1
D
08.02.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Avispa Fukuoka
1
1
D
20.01.26
Fri
Fagiano Okayama
Kashima
0
1
L
H2H: Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama
29.04.26
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano Okayama
1
1
D
01.03.26
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
Nagoya Grampus
1
1
D
13.09.25
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
Nagoya Grampus
0
1
W
06.05.25
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano Okayama
0
0
D
02.08.21
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano Okayama
1
0
W
05.11.17
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
Nagoya Grampus
0
1
W
26.02.17
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano Okayama
2
0
W
10.10.12
H2H
Fagiano Okayama
Nagoya Grampus
2
3
W
Last matches: Nagoya Grampus
30.05.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Machida Zelvia
2
2
D
10.05.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Kyoto Sanga
3
0
W
06.05.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
2
1
W
19.04.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Avispa Fukuoka
2
2
D
04.04.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
3
0
W
18.03.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2
1
W
14.03.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Vissel Kobe
0
3
L
21.02.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
V-varen Nagasaki
1
3
L
08.02.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Shimizu S-pulse
1
0
W
H2H at home: Nagoya Grampus
29.04.26
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano Okayama
1
1
D
06.05.25
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano Okayama
0
0
D
02.08.21
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano Okayama
1
0
W
26.02.17
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano Okayama
2
0
W
Last matches: Fagiano Okayama
06.06.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Urawa
2
0
W
10.05.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Vissel Kobe
3
0
W
06.05.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
1
2
L
19.04.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Gamba Osaka
2
2
D
11.04.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Kyoto Sanga
1
5
L
18.03.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Cerezo Osaka
2
1
W
14.03.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Shimizu S-pulse
1
1
D
14.02.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
1
D
08.02.26
J1
Fagiano Okayama
Avispa Fukuoka
1
1
D
20.01.26
Fri
Fagiano Okayama
Kashima
0
1
L
H2H away: Fagiano Okayama
29.04.26
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano Okayama
1
1
D
06.05.25
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano Okayama
0
0
D
02.08.21
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano Okayama
1
0
L
26.02.17
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano Okayama
2
0
L

Standings

West
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Vissel Kobe
18 11 0 7 29:25 4 35
?
2
Cerezo Osaka
18 11 0 7 30:21 9 31
?
3
Nagoya Grampus Home
18 10 0 8 33:31 2 31
?
4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
18 10 0 8 31:23 8 30
?
5
Gamba Osaka
18 10 0 8 31:25 6 28
?
6
Fagiano Okayama Away
18 8 0 10 26:29 -3 26
?
7
Shimizu S-pulse
18 8 0 10 23:25 -2 24
?
8
Kyoto Sanga
18 8 0 10 22:28 -6 23
?
9
V-varen Nagasaki
18 7 0 11 21:29 -8 21
?
10
Avispa Fukuoka
18 7 0 11 21:31 -10 21
?