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BELARUS › PREMIER LEAGUE
10.10.2026 12:00
Atlant Stadium
Naftan
Match Timeline
Belshina
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
5'
V. Davydov · Assist: A. Achapovskiy
Belshina
🟨
23'
K. Adamovich
Naftan
🔄
46'
A. Voskoboynikov ↔ A. Savitskiy
Naftan
🔄
46'
T. Galimzyanov ↔ M. Aymanov
Naftan
⚽
57'
V. Yakovlev · Assist: G. Mafwenta
Naftan
🔄
59'
A. Shvedchikov ↔ P. Seleznev
Belshina
🔄
59'
L. Zgurskiy ↔ V. Kovalev
Belshina
🔄
70'
Y. Kozlov ↔ N. Nekrasov
Belshina
⚽
70'
V. Yakovlev · Assist: R. Khadzhiev
Naftan
🔄
76'
V. Yakovlev ↔ A. Drabatovich
Naftan
🟨
78'
A. Stefanishin
Naftan
🟨
79'
Roman khadzhiev
Naftan
🔄
88'
V. Davydov ↔ N. Sokolovskiy
Belshina
🔄
88'
N. Golub ↔ G. Yakushevich
Belshina
🔄
90'
K. Adamovich ↔ V. Fezhenko
Naftan
⚽
90'
M. Aymanov · Assist: G. Mafwenta
Naftan
⚽
90'
A. Drabatovich
Naftan

Naftan vs Belshina Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 92.3%
Odds 1.28
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.65
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.86
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
92.3%
1.28 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.65 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
1.86 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
75.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.30 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
24.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Naftan Win 48.2%
Draw 7.7%
Belshina Win 44.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Naftan1.24
Belshina1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Naftan Naftan
WWDLW
30 GF / 65 GA
Belshina Belshina
WLDWL
30 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.97
2.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.61
15
BTTS Yes
16
17
Over 2.5
12
1.74
Shots on Goal
1.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Naftan Naftan 30 matches
Belshina Belshina 31 matches
Naftan Statistic Belshina
5 Wins 7
7 Draws 7
18 Losses 17
30 Goals For 30
65 Goals Against 50
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
2.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.61
15 BTTS Yes 16
24 Over 1.5 25
17 Over 2.5 12
12 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 5
11 Failed To Score 10
1.74 Shots On Goal 1.14
0.43 Total Shots 0
1.96 Corners 1.18
19.8% Ball Possession 15.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Belshina. Naftan have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Naftan expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Belshina in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Belshina having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Naftan Analysis

Naftan approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 14 points from 23 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 5 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 20:54 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Belshina Analysis

From their first 22 matches, Belshina have collected 21 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses, while the 22:36 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Naftan won 1 times, Belshina won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:10 from Naftan's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.3%)
Predicted formations: Naftan 3-5-2 / Belshina 4-4-2
H2H summary: Naftan wins 1, draws 1, Belshina wins 3

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 14 8 1 49:18 31 50
W W W D D
2 23 15 4 4 43:19 24 49
W W W L D
3 23 13 7 3 37:18 19 46
D L W D W
4 24 13 4 7 31:20 11 43
W W W W D
5 24 13 4 7 39:23 16 43
W W W W L
6 24 11 6 7 34:23 11 39
L W L W W
7 24 10 7 7 28:21 7 37
D W D L W
8 24 10 4 10 30:29 1 34
L L W W L
9 24 8 6 10 29:31 -2 30
L W L L L
10 24 6 7 11 25:31 -6 25
L L L L W
11 24 6 7 11 24:41 -17 25
L L D W W
12 24 5 8 11 24:42 -18 23
L L D D L
13 24 4 9 11 18:30 -12 21
L W L D L
14 23 5 6 12 23:40 -17 21
L W D D D
15 24 4 5 15 24:55 -31 17
W W D L L
16 24 2 10 12 22:39 -17 16
L L D L D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga