SLOVENIA 1. SNL
30.08.2026 18:15
Referee: D. Halilovic
Nafta
Match Timeline
Maribor
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
T. Cipot · Assist: I. Tshipamba
Maribor
🔄
13'
C. Goncalves ↔ Z. Jevsenak
Maribor
18'
Z. Karnicnik · Assist: I. Tshipamba
Maribor
🔄
43'
C. Bumbic ↔ O. Rekik
Maribor
45'
L. Poredos · Assist: S. Omrani
Nafta
52'
A. Marosa · Assist: S. Omrani
Nafta
🟨
53'
A. Dragoner
Nafta
🔄
72'
N. Viher ↔ N. Osterc
Maribor
🔄
72'
Z. Repas ↔ L. Mlakar
Maribor
🔄
72'
L. Zahovic ↔ D. Vizinger
Maribor
🔄
73'
S. Omrani ↔ L. Pihler
Nafta
77'
T. Cipot · Assist: N. Osterc
Maribor
🔄
79'
A. Pihler ↔ A. Ferreira
Nafta
🔄
79'
L. Kambic ↔ M. Vidnyanszky
Nafta
🟨
83'
M. Vidnyanszky
Nafta
🟨
84'
Z. Karnicnik
Maribor
🟨
89'
Z. Jevsenak
Maribor
🟨
90+3'
N. Osterc
Maribor

Nafta vs Maribor Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 75.8%
Odds 1.11
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.65
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
75.8%
1.11
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
1.65
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Nafta Win 24.2%
Draw 29.9%
Maribor Win 45.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nafta1.43
Maribor1.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nafta Nafta
WWDLW
16 GF / 19 GA
Maribor Maribor
WLDWL
18 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
1.64
1.9
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
4
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nafta Nafta 10 matches
Maribor Maribor 11 matches
Nafta Statistic Maribor
3 Wins 3
1 Draws 6
6 Losses 2
16 Goals For 18
19 Goals Against 13
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 1.64
1.9 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
4 BTTS Yes 8
9 Over 1.5 10
7 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Maribor carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 9 points while Nafta sit 5 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Maribor. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Maribor having the stronger overall control.

Nafta Analysis

Placed 5 with 7 points from 6 outings, Nafta continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, while the 10:9 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Maribor Analysis

Maribor arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 9 points after 5 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses with goals at 7:2 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Nafta won 1 times, Maribor won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:11 from Nafta's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (75.8%)
H2H summary: Nafta wins 1, draws 1, Maribor wins 3

Standings

1. SNL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 5 4 0 17:6 11 19
W D W W D
2 9 4 3 2 10:9 1 15
W D W L D
3 9 4 3 2 9:8 1 15
L W W W D
4 9 4 2 3 9:6 3 14
W W D W D
5
Nafta Home
9 4 1 4 17:14 3 13
W W L L L
6 9 3 3 3 14:9 5 12
W D L L W
7 8 3 2 3 11:11 0 11
L L W L W
8 9 2 2 5 12:17 -5 8
L L W L L
9 9 2 2 5 10:21 -11 8
L D L L W
10 8 1 2 5 8:16 -8 5
L L D L W
Qualifying
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation