PORTUGAL PRIMEIRA LIGA
20.12.2026 16:00

Nacional vs Moreirense Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Nacional Win 0%
Draw 0%
Moreirense Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nacional1.37
Moreirense1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nacional Nacional
WWDLW
11 GF / 16 GA
Moreirense Moreirense
WLDWL
12 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.78
5
BTTS Yes
6
4
Over 2.5
7
2.8
Shots on Goal
2.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nacional Nacional 10 matches
Moreirense Moreirense 9 matches
Nacional Statistic Moreirense
1 Wins 2
4 Draws 3
5 Losses 4
11 Goals For 12
16 Goals Against 16
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.78
5 BTTS Yes 6
8 Over 1.5 8
4 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 1
2.8 Shots On Goal 2.75
10 Total Shots 6.25
3.6 Corners 2.25
48.6% Ball Possession 38%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Nacional won 2 times, Moreirense won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:24 from Nacional's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Nacional 3-4-2-1 / Moreirense 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Nacional wins 2, draws 3, Moreirense wins 10

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 5 0 0 11:1 10 15
W W W W W
2 5 4 1 0 14:5 9 13
W W W W D
3 5 3 2 0 9:3 6 11
W D W W D
4 4 3 1 0 14:3 11 10
W W W D
5 5 3 1 1 7:3 4 10
D W L W W
6 4 2 1 1 3:1 2 7
L D W W
7 3 2 1 0 5:3 2 7
W W D
8 5 2 1 2 6:8 -2 7
L L D W W
9 4 1 3 0 9:8 1 6
D W D D
10 5 1 2 2 5:8 -3 5
W L D L D
11 5 1 1 3 3:5 -2 4
D L W L L
12 5 1 1 3 6:8 -2 4
L L L W D
13 4 1 1 2 4:8 -4 4
L W L D
14 5 0 3 2 4:6 -2 3
D D L L D
15 5 1 0 4 2:11 -9 3
L L W L L
16 5 0 2 3 2:7 -5 2
D L L L D
17 5 0 2 3 5:10 -5 2
L D L D L
18 5 0 1 4 0:11 -11 1
D L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2