Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Nacional Win 0%
Draw 0%
Moreirense Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nacional1.55
Moreirense1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nacional
WWDLW
5 GF / 6 GA
Moreirense
WLDWL
3 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
2
3
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Nacional
4 matches
Moreirense
2 matches
| Nacional | Statistic | Moreirense |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Wins | 0 |
| 3 | Draws | 1 |
| 1 | Losses | 1 |
| 5 | Goals For | 3 |
| 6 | Goals Against | 4 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 3 | Over 1.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Nacional won 2 times, Moreirense won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:24 from Nacional's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Nacional - / Moreirense 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Nacional wins 2, draws 3, Moreirense wins 10
Last matches: Nacional
22.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leganes
0
0
D
19.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Tondela
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leixoes
3
3
D
11.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Machico
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Guimaraes
2
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Nacional
AVS
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Tondela
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Alverca
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Benfica
0
2
L
04.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Estrela
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Famalicao
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Estoril
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Moreirense
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
Nacional
SC Braga
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Arouca
0
3
L
15.02.26
Pri
Nacional
FC Porto
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Casa Pia
0
0
D
01.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Sporting CP
1
2
L
25.01.26
Pri
Nacional
Rio Ave
4
0
W
Last matches: Moreirense
22.07.26
Fri
Moreirense
Santa Clara
1
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Moreirense
AVS
2
2
D
16.05.26
Pri
Moreirense
AVS
0
0
D
11.05.26
Pri
Moreirense
Tondela
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Moreirense
Estrela
3
2
W
25.04.26
Pri
Moreirense
Benfica
1
4
L
20.04.26
Pri
Moreirense
Estoril
1
0
W
10.04.26
Pri
Moreirense
Famalicao
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Moreirense
SC Braga
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pri
Moreirense
Arouca
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pri
Moreirense
FC Porto
0
3
L
07.03.26
Pri
Moreirense
Nacional
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pri
Moreirense
Casa Pia
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pri
Moreirense
Sporting CP
0
3
L
16.02.26
Pri
Moreirense
Rio Ave
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pri
Moreirense
GIL Vicente
1
2
L
30.01.26
Pri
Moreirense
Guimaraes
0
1
L
24.01.26
Pri
Moreirense
Santa Clara
1
0
W
17.01.26
Pri
Moreirense
Alverca
1
2
L
11.01.26
Pri
Moreirense
Tondela
1
0
W
H2H: Nacional vs Moreirense
07.03.26
H2H
Moreirense
Nacional
1
1
D
04.10.25
H2H
Nacional
Moreirense
3
2
W
27.04.25
H2H
Moreirense
Nacional
1
1
D
14.12.24
H2H
Nacional
Moreirense
1
0
W
18.03.23
H2H
Nacional
Moreirense
0
2
L
09.10.22
H2H
Moreirense
Nacional
3
1
L
23.07.22
H2H
Moreirense
Nacional
1
0
L
06.05.21
H2H
Moreirense
Nacional
2
2
D
17.01.21
H2H
Nacional
Moreirense
0
1
L
28.01.19
H2H
Moreirense
Nacional
2
1
L
19.08.18
H2H
Nacional
Moreirense
1
2
L
17.04.17
H2H
Nacional
Moreirense
0
1
L
04.12.16
H2H
Moreirense
Nacional
3
1
L
24.04.16
H2H
Nacional
Moreirense
0
1
L
20.12.15
H2H
Moreirense
Nacional
2
0
L
Last matches: Nacional
22.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leganes
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leixoes
3
3
D
11.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Machico
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Guimaraes
2
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Nacional
AVS
1
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Alverca
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Estrela
2
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Estoril
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pri
Nacional
SC Braga
1
2
L
15.02.26
Pri
Nacional
FC Porto
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Casa Pia
0
0
D
25.01.26
Pri
Nacional
Rio Ave
4
0
W
11.01.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
3
3
D
15.12.25
Pri
Nacional
Tondela
3
1
W
29.11.25
Pri
Nacional
Benfica
1
2
L
01.11.25
Pri
Nacional
Famalicao
0
1
L
04.10.25
Pri
Nacional
Moreirense
3
2
W
20.09.25
Pri
Nacional
Arouca
1
2
L
23.08.25
Pri
Nacional
Sporting CP
1
4
L
09.08.25
Pri
Nacional
GIL Vicente
0
2
L
H2H at home: Nacional
04.10.25
H2H
Nacional
Moreirense
3
2
W
14.12.24
H2H
Nacional
Moreirense
1
0
W
18.03.23
H2H
Nacional
Moreirense
0
2
L
17.01.21
H2H
Nacional
Moreirense
0
1
L
19.08.18
H2H
Nacional
Moreirense
1
2
L
17.04.17
H2H
Nacional
Moreirense
0
1
L
24.04.16
H2H
Nacional
Moreirense
0
1
L
Last matches: Moreirense
22.07.26
Fri
Moreirense
Santa Clara
1
2
L
11.05.26
Pri
Moreirense
Tondela
0
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Moreirense
Benfica
1
4
L
10.04.26
Pri
Moreirense
Famalicao
1
1
D
15.03.26
Pri
Moreirense
FC Porto
0
3
L
01.03.26
Pri
Moreirense
Casa Pia
1
1
D
16.02.26
Pri
Moreirense
Rio Ave
2
1
W
30.01.26
Pri
Moreirense
Guimaraes
0
1
L
17.01.26
Pri
Moreirense
Alverca
1
2
L
03.01.26
Pri
Moreirense
AVS
2
0
W
20.12.25
Pri
Moreirense
Estrela
0
0
D
07.12.25
Pri
Moreirense
Estoril
3
3
D
09.11.25
Pri
Moreirense
SC Braga
1
2
L
02.11.25
Pri
Moreirense
Arouca
2
0
W
04.10.25
Pri
Moreirense
Nacional
2
3
L
22.09.25
Pri
Moreirense
Sporting CP
0
3
L
29.08.25
Pri
Moreirense
GIL Vicente
0
2
L
17.08.25
Pri
Moreirense
Santa Clara
1
0
W
H2H away: Moreirense
04.10.25
H2H
Nacional
Moreirense
3
2
L
14.12.24
H2H
Nacional
Moreirense
1
0
L
18.03.23
H2H
Nacional
Moreirense
0
2
W
17.01.21
H2H
Nacional
Moreirense
0
1
W
19.08.18
H2H
Nacional
Moreirense
1
2
W
17.04.17
H2H
Nacional
Moreirense
0
1
W
24.04.16
H2H
Nacional
Moreirense
0
1
W
Standings
Primeira Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 7 |
Moreirense
Away
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 13 |
Nacional
Home
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2