Nacional
Match Timeline
Casa Pia
Nacional vs Casa Pia Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Nacional Win 0%
Draw 0%
Casa Pia Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nacional1.59
Casa Pia1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nacional
WWDLW
27 GF / 30 GA
Casa Pia
WLDWL
22 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
1.1
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.95
13
BTTS Yes
10
11
Over 2.5
11
3.95
Shots on Goal
2.9
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Nacional
20 matches
Casa Pia
20 matches
| Nacional | Statistic | Casa Pia |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 4 |
| 5 | Draws | 6 |
| 10 | Losses | 10 |
| 27 | Goals For | 22 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 39 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.1 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.95 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 3.95 | Shots On Goal | 2.9 |
| 11.55 | Total Shots | 8.45 |
| 3.85 | Corners | 3.75 |
| 44% | Ball Possession | 44.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Nacional won 5 times, Casa Pia won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:11 from Nacional's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.45 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Nacional 4-3-3 / Casa Pia 3-4-3
H2H summary: Nacional wins 5, draws 2, Casa Pia wins 4
Standings
Primeira Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66:18 | 48 | 88 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89:24 | 65 | 82 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74:25 | 49 | 80 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64:36 | 28 | 59 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42:29 | 13 | 56 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47:38 | 9 | 50 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37:49 | -12 | 43 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47:64 | -17 | 42 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39:51 | -12 | 42 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54:57 | -3 | 39 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 39 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35:57 | -22 | 36 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32:41 | -9 | 36 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 |
Nacional
Home
|
34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37:45 | -8 | 34 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
| 15 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:56 | -18 | 30 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 |
Casa Pia
Away
|
34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31:57 | -26 | 30 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27:55 | -28 | 28 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27:67 | -40 | 21 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2