Nacional vs Alverca Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
56.6%
|
2.87 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
1.80 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
2.13 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.83 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
4.33 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
11.00 |
Nacional
Alverca
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Nacional
10 matches
Alverca
10 matches
| Nacional | Statistic | Alverca |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 4 |
| 4 | Draws | 2 |
| 5 | Losses | 4 |
| 11 | Goals For | 11 |
| 16 | Goals Against | 12 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.1 |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.2 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 2.8 | Shots On Goal | 3 |
| 10 | Total Shots | 10 |
| 3.6 | Corners | 5.4 |
| 48.6% | Ball Possession | 43% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Alverca. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Nacional sit 10 with 4 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 6:8 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Léo Santos (1 goals), Liziero (1 goals), Zé Vitor (1 goals), with creative support from Léo Santos (1 assists), Liziero (1 assists), Daniel Júnior (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Alverca sit 16 with 2 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats with a 5:10 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Vivaldo Semedo (2 goals), Ian Luccas (1 goals), Chiquinho (1 goals), with creative support from Isaac James (2 assists), Rayan (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Nacional won 1 times, Alverca won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:1 from Nacional's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15:2 | 13 | 18 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21:4 | 17 | 16 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 14 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 14 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11:9 | 2 | 9 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 11 |
Alverca
Away
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 5 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
| 12 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 |
Nacional
Home
|
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 3 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:15 | -14 | 1 |
L
D
L
L
L
|