PARAGUAY DIVISION PROFESIONAL - APERTURA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Arsenio Erico
Referee: J. Mendez
Nacional Asuncion
Match Timeline
Sportivo Trinidense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
23'
Juan Feliu
Nacional Asuncion
🟥
24'
Juan Feliu
Nacional Asuncion
29'
N. Camacho
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
32'
R. C. Ramirez Antunez ↔ M. Coronel
Nacional Asuncion
🔄
46'
L. Gonzalez ↔ F. Romero
Sportivo Trinidense
🟨
54'
Richard Prieto
Nacional Asuncion
🔄
62'
H. A. Benitez ↔ I. Bailone
Nacional Asuncion
🔄
62'
O. Gaona Lugo ↔ A. Samudio
Nacional Asuncion
🟨
63'
Axel Cañete
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
65'
N. Camacho ↔ O. Gimenez
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
65'
A. Morinigo ↔ R. Baez Mendoza
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
69'
A. Canete ↔ A. Ruiz Diaz
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
69'
L. De la Cruz ↔ N. Gauto
Sportivo Trinidense
🟨
72'
Sebastian Vargas
Nacional Asuncion
VAR
75'
Richard Prieto
Nacional Asuncion
77'
I. Bailone
Nacional Asuncion
🔄
85'
S. Vargas ↔ G. Benitez
Nacional Asuncion
🔄
85'
C. R. Santa ↔ L. Gonzales
Nacional Asuncion
90'
I. Bailone
Nacional Asuncion

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 25.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
25.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Nacional Asuncion Win 88.1%
Draw 0%
Sportivo Trinidense Win 11.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nacional Asuncion1.24
Sportivo Trinidense1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion
WWDLW
26 GF / 19 GA
Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense
WLDWL
24 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.37
Average Goals Scored
1.26
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.05
12
BTTS Yes
13
8
Over 2.5
8
3.68
Shots on Goal
4.26

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 19 matches
Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 19 matches
Nacional Asuncion Statistic Sportivo Trinidense
8 Wins 6
8 Draws 8
3 Losses 5
26 Goals For 24
19 Goals Against 20
1.37 Avg Goals Scored 1.26
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.05
12 BTTS Yes 13
14 Over 1.5 14
8 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 3
6 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 3
3.68 Shots On Goal 4.26
11.26 Total Shots 11.58
4.58 Corners 4.37
49.9% Ball Possession 39.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Sportivo Trinidense. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nacional Asuncion expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Sportivo Trinidense in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sportivo Trinidense having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Nacional Asuncion Analysis

Placed 3 with 32 points from 19 outings, Nacional Asuncion continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 26:19 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by I. Valdez (4 goals), H. A. Benitez (3 goals), I. Bailone (3 goals), with creative support from A. D. Canete Torres (3 assists), I. Valdez (2 assists), O. Gaona Lugo (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Sportivo Trinidense Analysis

Sportivo Trinidense are currently 6 in the standings with 26 points from 19 matches. The record of 6 wins, 8 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 24:20 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through F. Romero (5 goals), N. Camacho (5 goals), Alan Tobías Morinigo (2 goals), with creative support from Alan Tobías Morinigo (2 assists), N. Camacho (1 assists), C. Gonzalez (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Nacional Asuncion won 5 times, Sportivo Trinidense won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:12 from Nacional Asuncion's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Nacional Asuncion 4-2-3-1 / Sportivo Trinidense 4-4-2
H2H summary: Nacional Asuncion wins 5, draws 6, Sportivo Trinidense wins 4
Stats
Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
0
4 Corner Kicks 0
10 Fouls 16
1 Offsides 3
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Goal 2
7 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 0
9 Shots insidebox 6
6 Shots outsidebox 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
363 Total passes 347
263 Passes accurate 244
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Nacional Asuncion
Formation
Sportivo Trinidense
S. Rojas
S. Rojas
J. Feliu
J. Feliu
A. D. Canete Torres
A. D. Canete Torres
T. Gutierrez
T. Gutierrez
S. Vargas
S. Vargas
F. Jara
F. Jara
R. C. Ramirez Antunez
R. C. Ramirez Antunez
O. Gaona Lugo
O. Gaona Lugo
R. Prieto
R. Prieto
H. A. Benitez
H. A. Benitez
C. R. Santa
C. R. Santa
M. Dufour
M. Dufour
A. Canete
A. Canete
F. J. Roman Torales
F. J. Roman Torales
B. Valdez
B. Valdez
D. Melgarejo
D. Melgarejo
L. De la Cruz
L. De la Cruz
G. Viera
G. Viera
L. Gonzalez
L. Gonzalez
T. Rayer
T. Rayer
N. Camacho
N. Camacho
A. Morinigo
A. Morinigo
Nacional Asuncion 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
30
S. Rojas
G
21
J. Feliu
🟥 24'
D
3
A. D. Canete Torres
D
4
T. Gutierrez
D
29
S. Vargas
↓ 85'
8
F. Jara
M
25
R. C. Ramirez Antunez
↓ 32'
M
33
O. Gaona Lugo
↓ 62'
M
27
R. Prieto
🟨 54'
M
9
H. A. Benitez
↓ 62'
24
C. R. Santa
↓ 85'
F
Substitutes
1
G. Ortiz
G
7
I. Bailone
⚽ 77' ⚽ 90' ↑ 62'
F
28
A. Samudio
↑ 62'
F
23
C. Espinola
D
13
L. Meza
M
6
S. Torales
M
17
J. Santacruz
M
22
D. J. Colman Escobar
M
5
G. Benitez
↑ 85'
D
19
L. Gonzales
↑ 85'
26
M. Coronel
↑ 32'
D
32
M. Garrone
F
Sportivo Trinidense 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
M. Dufour
G
6
A. Canete
↓ 69' 🟨 63'
D
34
F. J. Roman Torales
D
30
B. Valdez
D
4
D. Melgarejo
D
8
L. De la Cruz
↓ 69'
M
21
G. Viera
M
37
L. Gonzalez
↓ 46'
M
29
T. Rayer
F
7
N. Camacho
⚽ 29' ↓ 65'
F
31
A. Morinigo
↓ 65'
F
Substitutes
12
V. Samudio
G
10
N. Mana
F
14
S. Mendoza
M
40
A. Da Silveira
D
22
P. Zarza
F
2
A. Ruiz Diaz
↑ 69'
D
9
O. Gimenez
↑ 65'
F
20
C. Gonzalez
F
18
F. Romero
↑ 46'
F
11
R. Baez Mendoza
↑ 65'
M
19
A. B. Cano Esteche
M
5
N. Gauto
↑ 69'
M
Last matches: Nacional Asuncion
24.05.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion
2
1
W
15.05.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Rubio NU
1
1
D
03.05.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Club Guarani
1
0
W
24.04.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
2
1
W
20.04.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
11.04.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
0
0
D
04.04.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Olimpia
0
3
L
31.03.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
2 de Mayo
1
1
D
27.03.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
3
2
W
22.03.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
0
0
D
18.03.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion
1
2
L
15.03.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Rubio NU
1
0
W
09.03.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
1
1
D
01.03.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Club Guarani
1
1
D
26.02.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
2
2
D
19.02.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
15.02.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
2
0
W
08.02.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Olimpia
1
2
L
31.01.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
2 de Mayo
5
1
W
27.01.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
2
1
W
Last matches: Sportivo Trinidense
24.05.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Sportivo Ameliano
2
1
W
15.05.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Cerro Porteno
3
1
W
01.05.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
2 de Mayo
1
2
L
25.04.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Sportivo Luqueno
1
2
L
17.04.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2
1
W
12.04.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Libertad Asuncion
1
1
D
06.04.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Rubio NU
4
0
W
01.04.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Olimpia
2
1
W
29.03.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Club Guarani
0
0
D
23.03.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Deportivo Recoleta
3
2
W
19.03.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
14.03.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Cerro Porteno
1
2
L
09.03.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Nacional Asuncion
1
1
D
28.02.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
2 de Mayo
0
1
L
25.02.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Sportivo Luqueno
1
1
D
19.02.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1
1
D
15.02.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Libertad Asuncion
1
0
W
07.02.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Rubio NU
1
0
W
01.02.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Olimpia
2
3
L
29.01.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Club Guarani
0
0
D
H2H: Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense
09.05.26
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
2
1
W
09.03.26
H2H
Sportivo Trinidense
Nacional Asuncion
1
1
D
01.11.25
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
0
0
D
02.10.25
H2H
Sportivo Trinidense
Nacional Asuncion
0
0
D
17.08.25
H2H
Sportivo Trinidense
Nacional Asuncion
0
2
W
20.05.25
H2H
Sportivo Trinidense
Nacional Asuncion
2
0
L
17.03.25
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
1
1
D
21.09.24
H2H
Sportivo Trinidense
Nacional Asuncion
0
2
W
19.07.24
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
0
0
D
11.05.24
H2H
Sportivo Trinidense
Nacional Asuncion
0
1
W
18.02.24
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
2
1
W
13.11.23
H2H
Sportivo Trinidense
Nacional Asuncion
1
1
D
03.09.23
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
1
2
L
10.06.23
H2H
Sportivo Trinidense
Nacional Asuncion
2
1
L
08.04.23
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
0
1
L
Last matches: Nacional Asuncion
24.05.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion
2
1
W
24.04.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
2
1
W
11.04.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
0
0
D
27.03.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
3
2
W
15.03.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Rubio NU
1
0
W
01.03.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Club Guarani
1
1
D
19.02.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
08.02.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Olimpia
1
2
L
31.01.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
2 de Mayo
5
1
W
24.01.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1
0
W
H2H at home: Nacional Asuncion
09.05.26
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
2
1
W
01.11.25
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
0
0
D
17.03.25
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
1
1
D
19.07.24
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
0
0
D
18.02.24
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
2
1
W
03.09.23
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
1
2
L
08.04.23
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
0
1
L
Last matches: Sportivo Trinidense
24.05.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Sportivo Ameliano
2
1
W
25.04.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Sportivo Luqueno
1
2
L
12.04.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Libertad Asuncion
1
1
D
29.03.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Club Guarani
0
0
D
14.03.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Cerro Porteno
1
2
L
28.02.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
2 de Mayo
0
1
L
19.02.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1
1
D
07.02.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Rubio NU
1
0
W
01.02.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Olimpia
2
3
L
23.01.26
Div
Sportivo Trinidense
Deportivo Recoleta
1
1
D
H2H away: Sportivo Trinidense
09.05.26
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
2
1
L
01.11.25
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
0
0
D
17.03.25
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
1
1
D
19.07.24
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
0
0
D
18.02.24
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
2
1
L
03.09.23
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
1
2
W
08.04.23
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
0
1
W

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 15 4 3 37:17 20 49
W W L D L
2 22 10 9 3 31:22 9 39
W D W W W
3 22 11 5 6 30:22 8 38
W L D L D
4 22 8 9 5 27:21 6 33
L L W D D
5 22 8 8 6 30:24 6 32
W W L L L
6 22 9 4 9 34:26 8 31
L D W W W
7 22 7 8 7 27:23 4 29
L W D L D
8 22 8 4 10 35:32 3 28
W L L W L
9 22 6 5 11 15:26 -11 23
L D L D W
10 22 5 7 10 18:35 -17 22
L D W W D
11 22 5 5 12 24:33 -9 20
L D L D W
12 22 3 6 13 14:41 -27 15
W D W L L
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