25.09.2026 22:00
Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Nacional Asuncion Win 0%
Draw 0%
Sportivo Ameliano Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nacional Asuncion1.29
Sportivo Ameliano1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nacional Asuncion
WWDLW
49 GF / 28 GA
Sportivo Ameliano
WLDWL
40 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
1.21
0.85
Average Goals Conceded
1
18
BTTS Yes
21
14
Over 2.5
12
4.03
Shots on Goal
3.73
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Nacional Asuncion
33 matches
Sportivo Ameliano
33 matches
| Nacional Asuncion | Statistic | Sportivo Ameliano |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wins | 12 |
| 12 | Draws | 14 |
| 5 | Losses | 7 |
| 49 | Goals For | 40 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 33 |
| 1.48 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 0.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 13 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.03 | Shots On Goal | 3.73 |
| 11.76 | Total Shots | 11.79 |
| 4.42 | Corners | 3.91 |
| 49.3% | Ball Possession | 50.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Nacional Asuncion won 3 times, Sportivo Ameliano won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:15 from Nacional Asuncion's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Nacional Asuncion 4-1-4-1 / Sportivo Ameliano 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Nacional Asuncion wins 3, draws 6, Sportivo Ameliano wins 6
Standings
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19:12 | 7 | 23 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 2 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 20:9 | 11 | 22 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 |
Nacional Asuncion
Home
|
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18:6 | 12 | 21 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
| 4 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:10 | 8 | 17 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 17 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 |
Sportivo Ameliano
Away
|
11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13:12 | 1 | 17 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
| 8 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:10 | 4 | 17 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12:20 | -8 | 13 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:21 | -10 | 8 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 13:24 | -11 | 7 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3:21 | -18 | 1 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)