Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
87.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
74.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
69.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Nacional Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Nacional Asuncion
21 matches
Libertad Asuncion
26 matches
| Nacional Asuncion | Statistic | Libertad Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 9 |
| 9 | Draws | 4 |
| 3 | Losses | 13 |
| 29 | Goals For | 37 |
| 21 | Goals Against | 36 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.42 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 3.86 | Shots On Goal | 4.35 |
| 11.71 | Total Shots | 12.19 |
| 4.81 | Corners | 4.08 |
| 50.7% | Ball Possession | 50.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Libertad Asuncion. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nacional Asuncion expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Libertad Asuncion in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Libertad Asuncion having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
Nacional Asuncion come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 36 points after 21 matches. With 9 wins, 9 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 29:21, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by I. Bailone (5 goals), I. Valdez (4 goals), H. A. Benitez (3 goals), with creative support from A. D. Canete Torres (3 assists), I. Valdez (2 assists), O. Gaona Lugo (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Libertad Asuncion approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 31 points after 21 outings. They have recorded 9 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, with a 33:24 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Lorenzo Melgarejo (13 goals), D. Fernandez (5 goals), F. Carrizo (4 goals), with creative support from Alexis Fretes (4 assists), D. Fernandez (3 assists), F. Carrizo (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Nacional Asuncion won 5 times, Libertad Asuncion won 9 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:27 from Nacional Asuncion's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Nacional Asuncion
3
2
5
7
3
4
Lineups
Nacional Asuncion
Rubio NU
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
Nacional Asuncion
Club Guarani
Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
Nacional Asuncion
Olimpia
Nacional Asuncion
2 de Mayo
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
Nacional Asuncion
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Nacional Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion
Nacional Asuncion
Rubio NU
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
Nacional Asuncion
Club Guarani
Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
Nacional Asuncion
Olimpia
Nacional Asuncion
2 de Mayo
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
Libertad Asuncion
UCV
Libertad Asuncion
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
2 de Mayo
Libertad Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
Libertad Asuncion
Rosario Central
Libertad Asuncion
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Libertad Asuncion
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
Olimpia
Libertad Asuncion
Rubio NU
Libertad Asuncion
Rosario Central
Libertad Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
Libertad Asuncion
UCV
Libertad Asuncion
Club Guarani
Libertad Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
Libertad Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano
Libertad Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
Libertad Asuncion
Nacional Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion
2 de Mayo
Libertad Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
Libertad Asuncion
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
Nacional Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
Nacional Asuncion
Rubio NU
Nacional Asuncion
Club Guarani
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
Olimpia
Nacional Asuncion
2 de Mayo
Nacional Asuncion
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Libertad Asuncion
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
Libertad Asuncion
Rosario Central
Libertad Asuncion
Rubio NU
Libertad Asuncion
UCV
Libertad Asuncion
Club Guarani
Libertad Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano
Libertad Asuncion
2 de Mayo
Libertad Asuncion
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Libertad Asuncion
Olimpia
Libertad Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
Libertad Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
Libertad Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 37:17 | 20 | 49 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 2 |
Nacional Asuncion
Home
|
22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 31:22 | 9 | 39 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
| 3 | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 30:22 | 8 | 38 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 33 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30:24 | 6 | 32 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 6 |
Libertad Asuncion
Away
|
22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 34:26 | 8 | 31 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
| 7 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 4 | 29 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 35:32 | 3 | 28 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 15:26 | -11 | 23 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18:35 | -17 | 22 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 20 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14:41 | -27 | 15 |
W
D
W
L
L
|