18.09.2026 21:30
Estádio Arsenio Erico
Referee: David Ojeda
Nacional Asuncion
Match Timeline
2 de Mayo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
2'
Hugo Valdez · Assist: Hugo Adrián Benítez
Nacional Asuncion
🟨
15'
Cesar Castro
2 de Mayo
🟨
20'
Josué Colmán
Nacional Asuncion
22'
Hugo Valdez · Assist: Hugo Adrián Benítez
Nacional Asuncion
🟨
44'
Hugo Valdez
Nacional Asuncion
🔄
45'
Fredy Silvero ↔ Jorge Sanguina
2 de Mayo
🔄
45'
Matías Moya ↔ Marcelo Gonzalez
2 de Mayo
VAR
50'
Pedro·Sosa
2 de Mayo
59'
Leandro Meza
Nacional Asuncion
🔄
64'
Josué Colmán ↔ Orlando Gaona Lugo
Nacional Asuncion
🔄
64'
Hugo Valdez ↔ Richard·Prieto
Nacional Asuncion
🔄
70'
Tobías Gabriel Portillo Ávalos ↔ Henry Rolando Riquelme Barrios
2 de Mayo
🔄
70'
Ó. Romero ↔ Daniel Angel Aguilera
2 de Mayo
🟨
71'
Leandro Meza
Nacional Asuncion
🔄
76'
Leandro Meza ↔ Jordan·Santacruz
Nacional Asuncion
🔄
76'
Hugo Adrián Benítez ↔ Ignacio Bailone
Nacional Asuncion
🔄
78'
Alexis Fariña ↔ Tobias Cervera
2 de Mayo
🟨
78'
Marcelo Gonzalez
2 de Mayo
🔄
84'
Fabrizio Jara ↔ Alejandro Samudio
Nacional Asuncion
🟨
89'
Jorge Sanguina
2 de Mayo
🟥
90+1'
Cesar Castro
2 de Mayo

Nacional Asuncion vs 2 de Mayo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.8%
Odds 1.33
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds 2.25
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.48
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.8%
1.33
BTTS Yes
58.2%
2.25
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.48
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
84.6%
1.44
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.88
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Nacional Asuncion Win 46.7%
Draw 11.2%
2 de Mayo Win 42.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nacional Asuncion1.38
2 de Mayo0.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion
WWDLW
46 GF / 28 GA
2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo
WLDWL
34 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
0.94
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.28
18
BTTS Yes
17
13
Over 2.5
14
3.97
Shots on Goal
2.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 32 matches
2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo 36 matches
Nacional Asuncion Statistic 2 de Mayo
15 Wins 12
12 Draws 13
5 Losses 11
46 Goals For 34
28 Goals Against 46
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 0.94
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.28
18 BTTS Yes 17
24 Over 1.5 24
13 Over 2.5 14
4 Over 3.5 6
12 Clean Sheets 12
5 Failed To Score 11
3.97 Shots On Goal 2.83
11.66 Total Shots 10.14
4.47 Corners 3.36
49.4% Ball Possession 46.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. 2 de Mayo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 21 points while Nacional Asuncion sit 5 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors 2 de Mayo. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nacional Asuncion expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and 2 de Mayo in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward 2 de Mayo having the stronger overall control.

Nacional Asuncion Analysis

Nacional Asuncion come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 15 points after 9 matches. They have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a 14:6 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on H. Benítez (4 goals), J. Colmán (1 goals), I. Valdez (1 goals), with creative support from O. Gaona (3 assists), T. Gutiérrez (1 assists), R. Prieto (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

2 de Mayo Analysis

2 de Mayo come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 21 points after 9 matches. They have recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with a 12:6 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Ó. Romero (2 goals), F. Cáceres (2 goals), Á. Aguilera (1 goals), with creative support from Ó. Romero (1 assists), F. Cáceres (1 assists), Á. Aguilera (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Nacional Asuncion won 4 times, 2 de Mayo won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:9 from Nacional Asuncion's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.8%)
Predicted formations: Nacional Asuncion 4-2-3-1 / 2 de Mayo 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Nacional Asuncion wins 4, draws 4, 2 de Mayo wins 3

Standings

Primera Division: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 7 2 2 19:12 7 23
D W W L D
2 11 7 1 3 20:9 11 22
W W W D W
3 11 6 3 2 18:6 12 21
W W L W W
4 11 6 3 2 12:11 1 21
L L W D W
5 11 5 2 4 18:10 8 17
L W L W L
6 11 4 5 2 12:9 3 17
W D W D D
7 11 4 5 2 13:12 1 17
D W W L D
8 11 5 2 4 14:10 4 17
W D W W D
9 11 4 1 6 12:20 -8 13
W L L D W
10 11 2 2 7 11:21 -10 8
L L L W L
11 11 2 1 8 13:24 -11 7
L L L L L
12 11 0 1 10 3:21 -18 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)