Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
83.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
61.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Nacional AM
Araguaína
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Nacional AM
11 matches
Araguaína
11 matches
| Nacional AM | Statistic | Araguaína |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 5 |
| 2 | Draws | 3 |
| 2 | Losses | 3 |
| 16 | Goals For | 31 |
| 9 | Goals Against | 10 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.82 |
| 0.82 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.91 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This tie brings together two sides with a fairly similar football identity, with the knockout context adding extra pressure to every phase of the game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Araguaína having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Araguaína.
Nacional AM come into this tie placed 2 in their league with 20 points from 10 matches. Their record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats with goals at 15:9 reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on Caio Mancha (3 goals), Anderson Alagoano (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Ahead of this knockout test, Araguaína arrive from a league campaign that has them 3 with 18 points after 10 matches. With 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses plus a goal ratio of 31:9, they bring mixed form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on Alan Calbergue (5 goals), Balotelli Kennedy (4 goals), G. Viana Pinheiro Rodrigues (4 goals), while defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Nacional AM won 1 times, Araguaína won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from Nacional AM's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0.5 goals per game.
Nacional AM
Iguatu
Nacional AM
Iguatu
Nacional AM
Capital Brasilia
Nacional AM
Capital Brasilia
Nacional AM
Araguaína
Nacional AM
Monte Roraima
Nacional AM
Manaus FC
Nacional AM
GAS
Nacional AM
Manauara
Nacional AM
Sao Raimundo
Nacional AM
Sao Raimundo
Nacional AM
Manauara
Nacional AM
GAS
Nacional AM
Manaus FC
Nacional AM
Monte Roraima
Araguaína
Nacional AM
Araguaína
Galvez
Araguaína
Guaporé
Araguaína
Porto Velho
Araguaína
Independência
Araguaína
Humaitá
Araguaína
Humaitá
Araguaína
Independência
Araguaína
Porto Velho
Araguaína
Guaporé
Araguaína
Galvez
Nacional AM
Iguatu
Nacional AM
Capital Brasilia
Nacional AM
Monte Roraima
Nacional AM
Manauara
Nacional AM
Sao Raimundo
Nacional AM
GAS
Nacional AM
Manaus FC
Araguaína
Guaporé
Araguaína
Independência
Araguaína
Humaitá
Araguaína
Porto Velho
Araguaína
Galvez
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 22 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 2 |
Nacional AM
Home
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 20 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
| 3 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 10 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8:17 | -9 | 5 |
W
L
L
L
D
|