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23.10.2026 18:00
Rat Verlegh Stadion
NAC Breda
Match Timeline
Heracles
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
3'
Sem Scheperman
Heracles
⚽
11'
Charles-Andreas Brym
NAC Breda
⚽
19'
Tristan Van Gilst
Heracles
🔄
27'
Charles-Andreas Brym ↔ Brahim Ghalidi
NAC Breda
🟨
29'
Djevencio van der Kust
Heracles
🟨
39'
David Vicente
Heracles
🔄
45'
David Vicente ↔ Mimeirhel Benita
Heracles
🔄
67'
Manny Rodriguez Baldera ↔ Jeff Reine-Adélaïde
Heracles
🔄
68'
Sem Scheperman ↔ Mario Borac
Heracles
🔄
76'
Jannes Van Hecke ↔ Imran Nazih
NAC Breda
🟨
80'
Kamal Sowah
NAC Breda
🟨
80'
Jeff Reine-Adélaïde
Heracles
🔄
82'
Moussa Soumano ↔ Paul Gladon
NAC Breda
🔄
88'
Chafik Abbas ↔ Mike te Wierik
Heracles
🔄
88'
Tristan Van Gilst ↔ David Tomic
Heracles

NAC Breda vs Heracles Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
NAC Breda Win 35.1%
Draw 12%
Heracles Win 52.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
NAC Breda1.6
Heracles2.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
NAC Breda NAC Breda
W W D W W
11 GF / 5 GA
Heracles Heracles
W W D W L
12 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.76
Average Goals Scored
3.07
1.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
12
BTTS Yes
9
12
Over 2.5
11
6.45
Shots on Goal
9.09

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

NAC Breda NAC Breda 17 matches
Heracles Heracles 14 matches
NAC Breda Statistic Heracles
9 Wins 11
2 Draws 1
6 Losses 2
30 Goals For 43
29 Goals Against 19
1.76 Avg Goals Scored 3.07
1.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
12 BTTS Yes 9
15 Over 1.5 13
12 Over 2.5 11
8 Over 3.5 9
2 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 1
6.45 Shots On Goal 9.09
20 Total Shots 22.64
6.27 Corners 8.36
56.5% Ball Possession 54.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Heracles. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Heracles carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 25 points while NAC Breda sit 5 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

NAC Breda Analysis

NAC Breda approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 17 points after 10 outings. With 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 20:19, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by C. Brym (5 goals), P. Gladon (4 goals), M. Soumano (3 goals), with creative support from M. Nassoh (3 assists), G. Misehouy (3 assists), B. Lucassen (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Heracles Analysis

Heracles approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 25 points after 10 outings. With 8 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 31:12, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by T. van Gilst (7 goals), Jean-Paul N'Djoli (6 goals), J. N'djoli (5 goals), with creative support from C. Abbas (4 assists), D. van der Kust (3 assists), T. Bruns (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, NAC Breda won 6 times, Heracles won 8 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:32 from NAC Breda's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88%)
Predicted formations: NAC Breda 4-2-3-1 / Heracles 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: NAC Breda wins 6, draws 1, Heracles wins 8

Standings

Eerste Divisie: Period 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
3 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
4 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
5 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
6 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
7 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
8 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
9 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
11 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
12 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
13 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
14 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
15 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
16 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
18 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
19 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
Promotion - Eredivisie (Promotion)