NETHERLANDS › EREDIVISIE

25.04.2026 18:00

NAC Breda

0 - 2

Ajax

Rat Verlegh Stadion

Referee: S. Gozubuyuk

NAC Breda

Match Timeline

Ajax

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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NAC Breda vs Ajax Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Away Win

Probability 60.3%

Odds -

BTTS

BTTS Yes

Probability 84.8%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 84.3%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Away Win	60.3%	-	▥
BTTS	BTTS Yes	84.8%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	84.3%	-	▥

Probability Distribution

NAC Breda Win 27.6%

Draw 12.1%

Ajax Win 60.3%

Expected Goals (xG)

NAC Breda1.21

Ajax1.71

Recent Form (Last 5)

NAC Breda

WWDLW

30 GF / 51 GA

Ajax

WLDWL

65 GF / 58 GA

Key Stats

Average Goals Scored

1.71

1.7

Average Goals Conceded

1.53

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

4.13

Shots on Goal

5.39

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

NAC Breda 30 matches

Ajax 38 matches

NAC Breda	Statistic	Ajax
5	Wins	15
10	Draws	12
15	Losses	11
30	Goals For	65
51	Goals Against	58
1	Avg Goals Scored	1.71
1.7	Avg Goals Conceded	1.53
15	BTTS Yes	25
20	Over 1.5	37
16	Over 2.5	24
8	Over 3.5	16
5	Clean Sheets	8
12	Failed To Score	6
4.13	Shots On Goal	5.39
13.8	Total Shots	13.76
5.6	Corners	4.87
49.2%	Ball Possession	56.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, NAC Breda won 1 times, Ajax won 12 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:45 from NAC Breda's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.47 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win

BTTS: BTTS Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (87.9%)

Predicted formations: NAC Breda 4-2-3-1 / Ajax 4-3-3

Missing players: NAC Breda 2, Ajax 5

H2H summary: NAC Breda wins 1, draws 2, Ajax wins 12

Standings

Eredivisie

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	PSV Eindhoven	34	27	3	4	101:45	56	84	W W D W W
2	Feyenoord	34	19	8	7	70:44	26	65	W D W W D
3	NEC Nijmegen	34	16	11	7	77:53	24	59	W L D D D
4	Twente	34	15	13	6	59:40	19	58	L W D D W
5	Ajax Away	34	14	14	6	62:41	21	56	D L D W W
6	Utrecht	34	15	8	11	55:42	13	53	W W W L W
7	AZ Alkmaar	34	14	10	10	58:51	7	52	D D D D W
8	Heerenveen	34	14	9	11	57:53	4	51	D L W W L
9	Groningen	34	14	6	14	49:45	4	48	W W L L D
10	Sparta Rotterdam	34	12	7	15	40:62	-22	43	L L D L L
11	Fortuna Sittard	34	11	6	17	49:63	-14	39	L W L L D
12	GO Ahead Eagles	34	8	14	12	54:53	1	38	L L D D D
13	Excelsior	34	10	8	16	43:56	-13	38	W D W W D
14	Telstar	34	9	10	15	49:55	-6	37	W W D W L
15	PEC Zwolle	34	9	10	15	44:71	-27	37	L L W L D
16	FC Volendam	34	8	8	18	35:55	-20	32	L D L W L
17	NAC Breda Home	34	6	11	17	35:58	-23	29	D W L L D
18	Heracles	34	5	4	25	35:85	-50	19	L L L L L