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NETHERLANDS › EREDIVISIE
--.--.---- --:--
NAC Breda
FT
0 - 2
Ajax
Rat Verlegh Stadion
Referee: S. Gozubuyuk
NAC Breda
Match Timeline
Ajax
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
20'
O. Gloukh · Assist: M. Godts
Ajax
⚽
41'
M. Godts · Assist: W. Weghorst
Ajax
🔄
56'
M. Soumano ↔ A. Ayew
NAC Breda
🔄
56'
C. Brym ↔ B. Ghalidi
NAC Breda
🔄
56'
R. Paula ↔ P. Reulen
NAC Breda
🔄
56'
O. Gloukh ↔ S. Steur
Ajax
🔄
71'
M. Balard ↔ L. Holtby
NAC Breda
🔄
72'
S. Berghuis ↔ K. Itakura
Ajax
🔄
72'
Y. Regeer ↔ R. Bounida
Ajax
🟨
78'
Ko Itakura
Ajax
🔄
82'
C. Leemans ↔ J. Talvitie
NAC Breda
🔄
82'
M. Godts ↔ O. Edvardsen
Ajax
🟨
85'
Wout Weghorst
Ajax

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 84.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 84.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
60.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
84.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
84.3%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
NAC Breda Win 27.6%
Draw 12.1%
Ajax Win 60.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
NAC Breda1.21
Ajax1.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
NAC Breda NAC Breda
WWDLW
30 GF / 51 GA
Ajax Ajax
WLDWL
65 GF / 58 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.71
1.7
Average Goals Conceded
1.53
15
BTTS Yes
25
16
Over 2.5
24
4.13
Shots on Goal
5.39

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

NAC Breda NAC Breda 30 matches
Ajax Ajax 38 matches
NAC Breda Statistic Ajax
5 Wins 15
10 Draws 12
15 Losses 11
30 Goals For 65
51 Goals Against 58
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.71
1.7 Avg Goals Conceded 1.53
15 BTTS Yes 25
20 Over 1.5 37
16 Over 2.5 24
8 Over 3.5 16
5 Clean Sheets 8
12 Failed To Score 6
4.13 Shots On Goal 5.39
13.8 Total Shots 13.76
5.6 Corners 4.87
49.2% Ball Possession 56.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, NAC Breda won 1 times, Ajax won 12 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:45 from NAC Breda's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.47 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.9%)
Predicted formations: NAC Breda 4-2-3-1 / Ajax 4-3-3
Missing players: NAC Breda 2, Ajax 5
H2H summary: NAC Breda wins 1, draws 2, Ajax wins 12
Stats
NAC Breda NAC Breda
Ajax Ajax
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
10
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
8
Blocked Shots
1
11 Corner Kicks 2
6 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 0
57% Ball Possession 43%
21 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Goal 6
10 Shots off Goal 1
8 Blocked Shots 1
11 Shots insidebox 6
10 Shots outsidebox 2
4 Goalkeeper Saves 3
507 Total passes 393
441 Passes accurate 320
1.45 expected_goals 2.43
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

NAC Breda
Formation
Ajax
D. Bielica
D. Bielica
D. Odoi
D. Odoi
F. Jensen
F. Jensen
C. Leemans
↓
C. Leemans
B. Kemper
B. Kemper
M. Balard
↓
M. Balard
K. Sowah
K. Sowah
R. Paula
↓
R. Paula
M. Nassoh
M. Nassoh
C. Brym
↓
C. Brym
M. Soumano
↓
M. Soumano
M. Paes
M. Paes
A. Gaaei
A. Gaaei
J. Sutalo
J. Sutalo
Y. Baas
Y. Baas
L. Rosa
L. Rosa
O. Gloukh
⚽ ↓
O. Gloukh
Y. Regeer
↓
Y. Regeer
J. Mokio
J. Mokio
S. Berghuis
↓
S. Berghuis
W. Weghorst
🎯
W. Weghorst
M. Godts
⚽ 🎯 ↓
M. Godts
NAC Breda 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
99
D. Bielica
G
3
D. Odoi
D
20
F. Jensen
D
8
C. Leemans
↓ 82'
D
4
B. Kemper
D
16
M. Balard
↓ 71'
M
14
K. Sowah
M
11
R. Paula
↓ 56'
M
10
M. Nassoh
M
7
C. Brym
↓ 56'
M
9
M. Soumano
↓ 56'
F
Substitutes
31
K. Lamprou
G
1
R. Kortsmit
G
24
A. Ayew
↑ 56'
F
90
L. Holtby
↑ 71'
M
15
E. Mahmutovic
D
22
R. Hillen
D
32
J. Talvitie
↑ 82'
F
55
B. Ghalidi
↑ 56'
F
19
A. Salama
F
25
C. Valerius
D
21
J. Candelaria
D
26
P. Reulen
↑ 56'
F
Ajax 4-3-3
Starting XI
26
M. Paes
G
3
A. Gaaei
D
37
J. Sutalo
D
15
Y. Baas
D
2
L. Rosa
D
10
O. Gloukh
⚽ 20' ↓ 56'
M
6
Y. Regeer
↓ 72'
M
24
J. Mokio
M
23
S. Berghuis
↓ 72'
F
25
W. Weghorst
🎯 41' 🟨 85'
F
11
M. Godts
⚽ 41' 🎯 20' ↓ 82'
F
Substitutes
62
A. el Hani
G
52
P. Reverson
G
9
K. Dolberg
F
4
K. Itakura
↑ 72' 🟨 78'
D
5
O. Wijndal
D
17
O. Edvardsen
↑ 82'
F
43
R. Bounida
↑ 72'
F
45
R. van de Pavert
D
30
A. Bouwman
D
48
S. Steur
↑ 56'
M
7
M. Carrizo
F
19
D. Konadu
F
Last matches: NAC Breda
18.07.26
Fri
NAC Breda
Excelsior
1
3
L
15.07.26
Fri
NAC Breda
Hoek
2
1
W
08.07.26
Fri
NAC Breda
FC Eindhoven
0
2
L
17.05.26
Ere
NAC Breda
AZ Alkmaar
3
3
D
11.05.26
Ere
NAC Breda
Heerenveen
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ere
NAC Breda
Utrecht
0
2
L
12.04.26
Ere
NAC Breda
Fortuna Sittard
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ere
NAC Breda
Sparta Rotterdam
0
0
D
21.03.26
Ere
NAC Breda
PEC Zwolle
1
2
L
15.03.26
Ere
NAC Breda
GO Ahead Eagles
0
6
L
08.03.26
Ere
NAC Breda
Feyenoord
3
3
D
27.02.26
Ere
NAC Breda
Telstar
0
3
L
21.02.26
Ere
NAC Breda
FC Volendam
1
0
W
14.02.26
Ere
NAC Breda
Heracles
1
0
W
06.02.26
Ere
NAC Breda
Excelsior
0
2
L
30.01.26
Ere
NAC Breda
Twente
2
2
D
24.01.26
Ere
NAC Breda
PSV Eindhoven
2
2
D
17.01.26
Ere
NAC Breda
NEC Nijmegen
3
4
L
10.01.26
Ere
NAC Breda
Groningen
0
0
D
20.12.25
Ere
NAC Breda
Telstar
0
1
L
Last matches: Ajax
23.07.26
UEF
Ajax
Vojvodina
4
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Ajax
VfL Bochum
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Ajax
AEK Larnaca
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Panathinaikos
1
3
L
24.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
0
0
D
21.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Groningen
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Heerenveen
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ere
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
2
2
D
16.04.26
Fri
Ajax
Twente
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ere
Ajax
Heracles
3
0
W
04.04.26
Ere
Ajax
Twente
1
2
L
25.03.26
Fri
Ajax
FC Volendam
2
2
D
22.03.26
Ere
Ajax
Feyenoord
1
1
D
14.03.26
Ere
Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam
4
0
W
07.03.26
Ere
Ajax
Groningen
1
3
L
01.03.26
Ere
Ajax
PEC Zwolle
0
0
D
21.02.26
Ere
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
1
1
D
14.02.26
Ere
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
4
1
W
H2H: NAC Breda vs Ajax
25.04.26
H2H
NAC Breda
Ajax
0
2
L
27.09.25
H2H
Ajax
NAC Breda
2
1
L
06.04.25
H2H
Ajax
NAC Breda
3
1
L
18.08.24
H2H
NAC Breda
Ajax
2
1
W
17.02.19
H2H
Ajax
NAC Breda
5
0
L
24.11.18
H2H
NAC Breda
Ajax
0
3
L
04.02.18
H2H
Ajax
NAC Breda
3
1
L
18.11.17
H2H
NAC Breda
Ajax
0
8
L
19.04.15
H2H
Ajax
NAC Breda
0
0
D
27.09.14
H2H
NAC Breda
Ajax
2
5
L
16.03.14
H2H
NAC Breda
Ajax
0
0
D
07.12.13
H2H
Ajax
NAC Breda
4
0
L
27.04.13
H2H
NAC Breda
Ajax
0
2
L
25.08.12
H2H
Ajax
NAC Breda
5
0
L
11.02.12
H2H
NAC Breda
Ajax
0
2
L
Last matches: NAC Breda
18.07.26
Fri
NAC Breda
Excelsior
1
3
L
08.07.26
Fri
NAC Breda
FC Eindhoven
0
2
L
11.05.26
Ere
NAC Breda
Heerenveen
2
0
W
05.04.26
Ere
NAC Breda
Sparta Rotterdam
0
0
D
08.03.26
Ere
NAC Breda
Feyenoord
3
3
D
21.02.26
Ere
NAC Breda
FC Volendam
1
0
W
06.02.26
Ere
NAC Breda
Excelsior
0
2
L
30.01.26
Ere
NAC Breda
Twente
2
2
D
17.01.26
Ere
NAC Breda
NEC Nijmegen
3
4
L
20.12.25
Ere
NAC Breda
Telstar
0
1
L
14.12.25
Ere
NAC Breda
Utrecht
1
1
D
22.11.25
Ere
NAC Breda
PSV Eindhoven
0
1
L
01.11.25
Ere
NAC Breda
GO Ahead Eagles
1
0
W
18.10.25
Ere
NAC Breda
PEC Zwolle
2
2
D
03.10.25
Ere
NAC Breda
Groningen
1
2
L
20.09.25
Ere
NAC Breda
Heracles
2
1
W
31.08.25
Ere
NAC Breda
AZ Alkmaar
0
1
L
17.08.25
Ere
NAC Breda
Fortuna Sittard
2
1
W
H2H at home: NAC Breda
25.04.26
H2H
NAC Breda
Ajax
0
2
L
18.08.24
H2H
NAC Breda
Ajax
2
1
W
24.11.18
H2H
NAC Breda
Ajax
0
3
L
18.11.17
H2H
NAC Breda
Ajax
0
8
L
27.09.14
H2H
NAC Breda
Ajax
2
5
L
16.03.14
H2H
NAC Breda
Ajax
0
0
D
27.04.13
H2H
NAC Breda
Ajax
0
2
L
11.02.12
H2H
NAC Breda
Ajax
0
2
L
Last matches: Ajax
23.07.26
UEF
Ajax
Vojvodina
4
1
W
17.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Heerenveen
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ere
Ajax
Heracles
3
0
W
22.03.26
Ere
Ajax
Feyenoord
1
1
D
07.03.26
Ere
Ajax
Groningen
1
3
L
01.03.26
Ere
Ajax
PEC Zwolle
0
0
D
08.02.26
Ere
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
1
1
D
01.02.26
Ere
Ajax
Excelsior
2
2
D
20.01.26
UEF
Ajax
Villarreal
2
1
W
11.01.26
Ere
Ajax
Telstar
3
2
W
20.12.25
Ere
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
2
2
D
10.12.25
UEF
Ajax
Qarabag
4
2
W
06.12.25
Ere
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
3
1
W
09.11.25
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
2
L
26.10.25
Ere
Ajax
Twente
3
2
W
22.10.25
UEF
Ajax
Chelsea
1
5
L
04.10.25
Ere
Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam
3
3
D
30.09.25
UEF
Ajax
Marseille
0
4
L
21.09.25
Ere
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
2
2
D
30.08.25
Ere
Ajax
FC Volendam
1
1
D
H2H away: Ajax
25.04.26
H2H
NAC Breda
Ajax
0
2
W
18.08.24
H2H
NAC Breda
Ajax
2
1
L
24.11.18
H2H
NAC Breda
Ajax
0
3
W
18.11.17
H2H
NAC Breda
Ajax
0
8
W
27.09.14
H2H
NAC Breda
Ajax
2
5
W
16.03.14
H2H
NAC Breda
Ajax
0
0
D
27.04.13
H2H
NAC Breda
Ajax
0
2
W
11.02.12
H2H
NAC Breda
Ajax
0
2
W

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
PSV Eindhoven
34 27 3 4 101:45 56 84
W W D W W
2
Feyenoord
34 19 8 7 70:44 26 65
W D W W D
3
NEC Nijmegen
34 16 11 7 77:53 24 59
W L D D D
4
Twente
34 15 13 6 59:40 19 58
L W D D W
5
Ajax Away
34 14 14 6 62:41 21 56
D L D W W
6
Utrecht
34 15 8 11 55:42 13 53
W W W L W
7
AZ Alkmaar
34 14 10 10 58:51 7 52
D D D D W
8
Heerenveen
34 14 9 11 57:53 4 51
D L W W L
9
Groningen
34 14 6 14 49:45 4 48
W W L L D
10
Sparta Rotterdam
34 12 7 15 40:62 -22 43
L L D L L
11
Fortuna Sittard
34 11 6 17 49:63 -14 39
L W L L D
12
GO Ahead Eagles
34 8 14 12 54:53 1 38
L L D D D
13
Excelsior
34 10 8 16 43:56 -13 38
W D W W D
14
Telstar
34 9 10 15 49:55 -6 37
W W D W L
15
PEC Zwolle
34 9 10 15 44:71 -27 37
L L W L D
16
FC Volendam
34 8 8 18 35:55 -20 32
L D L W L
17
NAC Breda Home
34 6 11 17 35:58 -23 29
D W L L D
18
Heracles
34 5 4 25 35:85 -50 19
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Eerste Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie

Missing Players

NAC Breda 2 missing
-
L. Greiml
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
L. Holtby
Questionable Health problems
OUT
Ajax 5 missing
-
V. Jaros
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
O. Zinchenko
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
T. Tomiyasu
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
-
K. Fitz-Jim
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
D. Klaassen
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT