Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
69.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
50.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Mwatate United
Naivas
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Mwatate United
34 matches
Naivas
34 matches
| Mwatate United | Statistic | Naivas |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 15 |
| 7 | Draws | 9 |
| 21 | Losses | 10 |
| 27 | Goals For | 41 |
| 55 | Goals Against | 27 |
| 0.79 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.79 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 14 |
| 17 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Naivas's more proactive style and Mwatate United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Naivas having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Naivas. Naivas look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Naivas carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 54 points while Mwatate United sit 20 on 25, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
Mwatate United approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 25 points from 34 matches. Their record of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 21 losses, together with goals at 27:55, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 34 matches, Naivas have collected 54 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 15 wins, 9 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 41:27 reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Mwatate United won 2 times, Naivas won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:9 from Mwatate United's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Mwatate United
Mombasa Elite
Mwatate United
Luanda Villa
Mwatate United
Kibera Black Stars
Mwatate United
Fortune Sacco
Mwatate United
MOFA
Mwatate United
Vihiga United FC
Mwatate United
Talanta
Mwatate United
Soy United
Mwatate United
Migori Youth
Mwatate United
Nzoia Sugar
Mwatate United
Kisumu All Stars
Mwatate United
Nairobi City Stars
Mwatate United
Gucha Stars
Mwatate United
Kabati Youth FC
Mwatate United
Darajani Gogo
Mwatate United
Kisumu All Stars
Mwatate United
Soy United
Mwatate United
Talanta
Mwatate United
Vihiga United FC
Mwatate United
MOFA
Naivas
Vihiga United FC
Naivas
Nzoia Sugar
Naivas
Darajani Gogo
Naivas
Gucha Stars
Naivas
Kisumu All Stars
Naivas
Talanta
Naivas
3K
Naivas
Migori Youth
Naivas
Kibera Black Stars
Naivas
Fortune Sacco
Naivas
MCF
Naivas
Nairobi City Stars
Naivas
MOFA
Naivas
Luanda Villa
Naivas
Soy United
Naivas
Equity Bank
Naivas
Nairobi City Stars
Naivas
Kibera Black Stars
Naivas
Migori Youth
Naivas
3K
Mwatate United
Mombasa Elite
Mwatate United
Kibera Black Stars
Mwatate United
Vihiga United FC
Mwatate United
Soy United
Mwatate United
Migori Youth
Mwatate United
Kisumu All Stars
Mwatate United
Gucha Stars
Mwatate United
Darajani Gogo
Mwatate United
Talanta
Mwatate United
MOFA
Mwatate United
Fortune Sacco
Mwatate United
Luanda Villa
Mwatate United
Nairobi City Stars
Mwatate United
Kabati Youth FC
Mwatate United
Equity Bank
Mwatate United
MCF
Mwatate United
Nzoia Sugar
Naivas
Nzoia Sugar
Naivas
Gucha Stars
Naivas
Talanta
Naivas
Migori Youth
Naivas
MCF
Naivas
MOFA
Naivas
Soy United
Naivas
Nairobi City Stars
Naivas
Kibera Black Stars
Naivas
3K
Naivas
Kisumu All Stars
Naivas
Darajani Gogo
Naivas
Luanda Villa
Naivas
Equity Bank
Naivas
Mombasa Elite
Naivas
Vihiga United FC
Naivas
Fortune Sacco
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 36 | 24 | 5 | 7 | 54:27 | 27 | 77 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 58:25 | 33 | 73 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 36 | 23 | 3 | 10 | 49:31 | 18 | 72 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 36 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 71 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 36 | 16 | 14 | 6 | 50:29 | 21 | 62 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 |
Naivas
Away
|
36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 45:27 | 18 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
| 7 | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 57 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 46:37 | 9 | 54 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 31:30 | 1 | 53 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 30:27 | 3 | 48 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 47 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 36 | 12 | 6 | 18 | 29:49 | -20 | 42 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 32:38 | -6 | 41 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 31:36 | -5 | 39 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 21:45 | -24 | 36 |
L
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 29:50 | -21 | 35 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 22:47 | -25 | 32 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 22:38 | -16 | 31 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 19 | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 28:53 | -25 | 29 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 20 |
Mwatate United
Home
|
36 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 27:59 | -32 | 25 |
L
L
L
L
D
|