Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
57.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
45.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Mwatate United
Mombasa Elite
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Mwatate United
33 matches
Mombasa Elite
32 matches
| Mwatate United | Statistic | Mombasa Elite |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 21 |
| 7 | Draws | 2 |
| 20 | Losses | 9 |
| 27 | Goals For | 46 |
| 54 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 0.82 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.44 |
| 1.64 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.94 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 16 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Mombasa Elite's more proactive style and Mwatate United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Mombasa Elite carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 68 points while Mwatate United sit 20 on 25, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Mwatate United have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Mombasa Elite. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Mombasa Elite having the stronger overall control.
With 25 points from 33 games and a place of 20, Mwatate United still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 20 defeats with a 27:54 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Mombasa Elite come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 68 points after 33 matches. They have recorded 22 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, with a 48:30 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 6 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Mwatate United won 2 times, Mombasa Elite won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:8 from Mwatate United's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Mwatate United
Equity Bank
Mwatate United
Naivas
Mwatate United
Luanda Villa
Mwatate United
Kibera Black Stars
Mwatate United
Fortune Sacco
Mwatate United
MOFA
Mwatate United
Vihiga United FC
Mwatate United
Talanta
Mwatate United
Soy United
Mwatate United
Migori Youth
Mwatate United
Nzoia Sugar
Mwatate United
Kisumu All Stars
Mwatate United
Nairobi City Stars
Mwatate United
Gucha Stars
Mwatate United
Kabati Youth FC
Mwatate United
Darajani Gogo
Mwatate United
Kisumu All Stars
Mwatate United
Soy United
Mwatate United
Talanta
Mwatate United
Vihiga United FC
Mombasa Elite
Naivas
Mombasa Elite
Nzoia Sugar
Mombasa Elite
Luanda Villa
Mombasa Elite
3K
Mombasa Elite
Nairobi City Stars
Mombasa Elite
Talanta
Mombasa Elite
Migori Youth
Mombasa Elite
Gucha Stars
Mombasa Elite
Soy United
Mombasa Elite
Kibera Black Stars
Mombasa Elite
Vihiga United FC
Mombasa Elite
MCF
Mombasa Elite
Fortune Sacco
Mombasa Elite
Kabati Youth FC
Mombasa Elite
Equity Bank
Mombasa Elite
MOFA
Mombasa Elite
Darajani Gogo
Mombasa Elite
Kisumu All Stars
Mombasa Elite
Kabati Youth FC
Mombasa Elite
Vihiga United FC
Mwatate United
Naivas
Mwatate United
Kibera Black Stars
Mwatate United
Vihiga United FC
Mwatate United
Soy United
Mwatate United
Migori Youth
Mwatate United
Kisumu All Stars
Mwatate United
Gucha Stars
Mwatate United
Darajani Gogo
Mwatate United
Talanta
Mwatate United
MOFA
Mwatate United
Fortune Sacco
Mwatate United
Luanda Villa
Mwatate United
Nairobi City Stars
Mwatate United
Kabati Youth FC
Mwatate United
Equity Bank
Mwatate United
MCF
Mwatate United
Nzoia Sugar
Mombasa Elite
Naivas
Mombasa Elite
Luanda Villa
Mombasa Elite
Talanta
Mombasa Elite
Gucha Stars
Mombasa Elite
Kibera Black Stars
Mombasa Elite
Fortune Sacco
Mombasa Elite
Equity Bank
Mombasa Elite
Darajani Gogo
Mombasa Elite
Kabati Youth FC
Mombasa Elite
Vihiga United FC
Mombasa Elite
Soy United
Mombasa Elite
Migori Youth
Mombasa Elite
Nairobi City Stars
Mombasa Elite
MOFA
Mombasa Elite
Kisumu All Stars
Mombasa Elite
Nzoia Sugar
Mombasa Elite
3K
Mombasa Elite
MCF
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 57:29 | 28 | 81 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 62:26 | 36 | 77 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 |
Mombasa Elite
Away
|
38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 51:32 | 19 | 76 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
| 4 | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 74 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 51:30 | 21 | 64 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 61:41 | 20 | 63 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 47:30 | 17 | 61 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 53:41 | 12 | 57 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 32:33 | -1 | 53 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 31:27 | 4 | 52 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:36 | 1 | 50 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 35:41 | -6 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 30:51 | -21 | 43 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 32:52 | -20 | 39 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 23:47 | -24 | 39 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 32:44 | -12 | 39 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 27:48 | -21 | 38 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 24:42 | -18 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29:55 | -26 | 30 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 |
Mwatate United
Home
|
38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 27:64 | -37 | 25 |
L
L
L
L
L
|