Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
45.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
76.9%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
MVV Win 39.1%
Draw 15.3%
Roda Win 45.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
MVV1.6
Roda2.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
MVV
WWDLW
19 GF / 21 GA
Roda
WLDWL
23 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.46
Average Goals Scored
2.3
1.62
Average Goals Conceded
1.8
8
BTTS Yes
6
8
Over 2.5
6
4.5
Shots on Goal
6
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
MVV
13 matches
Roda
10 matches
| MVV | Statistic | Roda |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 4 |
| 4 | Draws | 2 |
| 4 | Losses | 4 |
| 19 | Goals For | 23 |
| 21 | Goals Against | 18 |
| 1.46 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.3 |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.8 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 4.5 | Shots On Goal | 6 |
| 10.75 | Total Shots | 12 |
| 3.5 | Corners | 4.25 |
| 50.3% | Ball Possession | 49.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, MVV won 2 times, Roda won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:24 from MVV's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.7%)
Predicted formations: MVV 4-3-3 / Roda 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: MVV wins 2, draws 5, Roda wins 8
Standings
Eerste Divisie: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16:7 | 9 | 12 |
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
MVV
Home
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 12 |
W
W
W
W
|
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 10 |
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 9 |
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 8 |
Roda
Away
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
D
W
W
L
|
| 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 6 |
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 4 |
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:10 | -5 | 4 |
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 4 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 1 |
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 0 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Eredivisie
Promotion - Eredivisie (Promotion)