NETHERLANDS › EERSTE DIVISIE

11.09.2026 18:00

MVV

0 - 4

Almere City FC

De Geusselt

MVV

Match Timeline

Almere City FC

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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MVV vs Almere City FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home or Draw

Probability 62.1%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 78.8%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 82.2%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home or Draw	62.1%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	78.8%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	82.2%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	77.5%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

MVV Win 41.3%

Draw 20.8%

Almere City FC Win 37.9%

Expected Goals (xG)

MVV1.51

Almere City FC1.99

Recent Form (Last 5)

MVV

WWDLW

20 GF / 22 GA

Almere City FC

WLDWL

25 GF / 18 GA

Key Stats

1.43

Average Goals Scored

2.27

1.57

Average Goals Conceded

1.64

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

4.2

Shots on Goal

6.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

MVV 14 matches

Almere City FC 11 matches

MVV	Statistic	Almere City FC
5	Wins	6
5	Draws	1
4	Losses	4
20	Goals For	25
22	Goals Against	18
1.43	Avg Goals Scored	2.27
1.57	Avg Goals Conceded	1.64
9	BTTS Yes	8
10	Over 1.5	10
8	Over 2.5	9
5	Over 3.5	4
3	Clean Sheets	1
4	Failed To Score	2
4.2	Shots On Goal	6.4
10	Total Shots	16.6
3.4	Corners	5.2
49.8%	Ball Possession	42.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, MVV won 5 times, Almere City FC won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:20 from MVV's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.64 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (79.2%)

Predicted formations: MVV 4-3-3 / Almere City FC 4-2-3-1

H2H summary: MVV wins 5, draws 4, Almere City FC wins 5

Standings

Eerste Divisie: Regular season

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Heracles	10	8	1	1	31:12	19	25	W D W L W
2	Almere City FC Away	10	7	1	2	22:7	15	22	W W L W W
3	VVV Venlo	10	7	0	3	26:14	12	21	W W L W W
4	Emmen	10	6	1	3	22:18	4	19	W D W L L
5	NAC Breda	10	5	2	3	20:19	1	17	W D W W L
6	Roda	10	4	4	2	10:8	2	16	D L W D W
7	MVV Home	10	5	1	4	13:20	-7	16	L L W L L
8	FC Volendam	10	5	0	5	22:17	5	15	W L W L W
9	Waalwijk	10	3	5	2	19:15	4	14	L D L W W
10	Vitesse	10	4	2	4	15:15	0	14	L D L W L
11	Jong AZ	10	4	1	5	22:18	4	13	L W D L W
12	Jong PSV U21	10	3	4	3	15:17	-2	13	D L D L W
13	FC OSS	10	4	0	6	15:15	0	12	W W L W L
14	Den Bosch	10	3	2	5	14:18	-4	11	W D L W L
15	FC Eindhoven	10	3	2	5	15:22	-7	11	L D L W W
16	De Graafschap	10	3	2	5	13:23	-10	11	W D W L W
17	Helmond Sport	10	2	3	5	16:19	-3	9	L D L L W
18	Jong Ajax	10	2	2	6	13:25	-12	8	L D L L W
19	Dordrecht	10	2	2	6	13:27	-14	8	L D W L L
20	Jong Utrecht	10	2	1	7	16:23	-7	7	L L W W D

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