Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
66%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
70.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
80.5%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Mushuc Runa SC
21 matches
Libertad
21 matches
| Mushuc Runa SC | Statistic | Libertad |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 6 |
| 7 | Draws | 6 |
| 8 | Losses | 9 |
| 27 | Goals For | 19 |
| 31 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.9 |
| 1.48 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.24 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 3.67 | Shots On Goal | 3.48 |
| 12.43 | Total Shots | 10.48 |
| 4.52 | Corners | 3.62 |
| 47.4% | Ball Possession | 45.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Libertad. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Libertad having the stronger overall control. Libertad arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
Mushuc Runa SC sit 14 with 21 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 24:29 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on R. Carrillo (4 goals), Kevin Velasco (2 goals), Renato Ibarra (2 goals), with creative support from Nicolás Dávila (3 assists), Kevin Velasco (2 assists), Jackson González (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 21 points from 20 games and a place of 15, Libertad still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 6 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 18:26 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín (4 goals), G. Cortéz (3 goals), Ivan Zambrano (3 goals), with creative support from G. Cortéz (3 assists), J. Guisamano (2 assists), Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Mushuc Runa SC won 4 times, Libertad won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:13 from Mushuc Runa SC's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.89 goals per game.
Mushuc Runa SC
7
4
12
1
4
2
Lineups
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
Guayaquil City FC
Mushuc Runa SC
Leones del Norte
Mushuc Runa SC
LDU de Quito
Mushuc Runa SC
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Libertad
Macara
Libertad
Guayaquil City FC
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
Orense SC
Libertad
Delfin SC
Libertad
Barcelona SC
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
LDU de Quito
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Manta FC
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
Deportivo Cuenca
Libertad
Emelec
Libertad
Aucas
Libertad
Macara
Libertad
Guayaquil City FC
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
Orense SC
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
Guayaquil City FC
Mushuc Runa SC
LDU de Quito
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
Guayaquil City FC
Libertad
Barcelona SC
Libertad
LDU de Quito
Libertad
Manta FC
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
Emelec
Libertad
Macara
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
Orense SC
Libertad
Delfin SC
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 64:26 | 38 | 67 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 30:26 | 4 | 44 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 45:23 | 22 | 43 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 33:26 | 7 | 42 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 26:20 | 6 | 41 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28:20 | 8 | 39 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 |
Libertad
Away
|
26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 29:29 | 0 | 37 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
| 8 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28:28 | 0 | 35 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 9 |
Mushuc Runa SC
Home
|
26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 33 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 25:29 | -4 | 33 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 22:32 | -10 | 32 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30:39 | -9 | 30 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 21:31 | -10 | 29 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 23:37 | -14 | 26 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 17:28 | -11 | 24 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 12:37 | -25 | 17 |
L
L
W
L
L
|