ECUADOR LIGA PRO
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio COAC Mushuc Runa
Referee: Augusto Bergelio Aragon Bautista, Ecuador
Mushuc Runa SC
Match Timeline
Aucas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
8'
José Hernández
Mushuc Runa SC
🟨
9'
Luis Gustavino
Aucas
🟨
35'
Jackson González
Mushuc Runa SC
🟨
35'
Agostino Spina
Aucas
🟨
45+4'
Rodrigo Formento
Mushuc Runa SC
🟨
45+4'
Snayder Porozo
Aucas
VAR
63'
Jackson González
Mushuc Runa SC
🟥
65'
Luis Gustavino
Aucas
🔄
71'
Andres Mena ↔ Stiven Tapiero
Aucas
🔄
75'
Carlos Orejuela ↔ Osman Pico
Mushuc Runa SC
🟨
80'
John Ontaneda
Aucas
🔄
81'
Snayder Porozo ↔ Diego Espinosa
Aucas
🔄
81'
Piero Guzmán ↔ Alexander Bolaños
Aucas
🔄
81'
Ayrton Preciado ↔ Luis Arroyo
Aucas
🟨
90'
Jackson González
Mushuc Runa SC
🟥
90'
Jackson González
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
90'
Osman Pico ↔ Lucas Lemos
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
90'
Renato Ibarra ↔ Tomson Minda
Mushuc Runa SC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 90.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 32.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 37.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
90.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
32.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
37.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Mushuc Runa SC Win 47.8%
Draw 9.9%
Aucas Win 42.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mushuc Runa SC1.16
Aucas1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC
WWDLW
19 GF / 21 GA
Aucas Aucas
WLDWL
20 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.18
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1
9
BTTS Yes
7
8
Over 2.5
6
3.67
Shots on Goal
5.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC 15 matches
Aucas Aucas 17 matches
Mushuc Runa SC Statistic Aucas
4 Wins 8
5 Draws 4
6 Losses 5
19 Goals For 20
21 Goals Against 17
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1
9 BTTS Yes 7
10 Over 1.5 9
8 Over 2.5 6
7 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 5
3.67 Shots On Goal 5.2
12.33 Total Shots 14.53
4.53 Corners 5.87
47.5% Ball Possession 59.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Mushuc Runa SC won 2 times, Aucas won 7 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:24 from Mushuc Runa SC's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.1%)
Predicted formations: Mushuc Runa SC 4-4-2 / Aucas 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Mushuc Runa SC wins 2, draws 6, Aucas wins 7
Stats
Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas Aucas
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
5
4 Corner Kicks 6
6 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 1
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 6
5 Blocked Shots 5
8 Shots insidebox 9
3 Shots outsidebox 5
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
389 Total passes 349
333 Passes accurate 295
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Mushuc Runa SC
Formation
Aucas
Rodrigo Formento
Rodrigo Formento
Kevin Peralta
Kevin Peralta
José Flor
José Flor
Brian Negro
Brian Negro
José Hernández
José Hernández
Carlos Orejuela
Carlos Orejuela
Nicolás Dávila
Nicolás Dávila
Jackson González
Jackson González
Kevin Velasco
Kevin Velasco
Renato Ibarra
Renato Ibarra
Ronie Carrillo
Ronie Carrillo
Hamilton Piedra
Hamilton Piedra
Alex Zova
Alex Zova
Luis Gustavino
Luis Gustavino
John Ontaneda
John Ontaneda
Santiago Morales
Santiago Morales
Agostino Spina
Agostino Spina
Ayrton Preciado
Ayrton Preciado
Piero Guzmán
Piero Guzmán
Andres Mena
Andres Mena
Ederson Quiñónez
Ederson Quiñónez
Snayder Porozo
Snayder Porozo
Mushuc Runa SC 4-4-2
Starting XI
25
Rodrigo Formento
🟨 45+4'
G
26
Kevin Peralta
D
2
José Flor
D
6
Brian Negro
D
33
José Hernández
🟨 8'
D
32
Carlos Orejuela
↓ 75'
M
5
Nicolás Dávila
M
18
Jackson González
🟨 35' 🟨 90' 🟥 90'
M
77
Kevin Velasco
M
30
Renato Ibarra
↓ 90'
F
9
Ronie Carrillo
F
Substitutes
17
Osman Pico
↑ 75' ↓ 90'
M
7
Tomson Minda
↑ 90'
F
23
Lucas Lemos
↑ 90'
M
1
Christian Tapia
G
42
Adonnis Pabón
G
50
Jeremy Cusme
D
12
Franklin Carabali
D
37
José Luis Quiñones
D
8
Arnaldo Zambrano
M
52
Derlys Gómez
M
15
Adrian Cela
M
Aucas 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
13
Hamilton Piedra
G
37
Alex Zova
D
16
Luis Gustavino
🟨 9' 🟥 65'
D
3
John Ontaneda
🟨 80'
D
2
Santiago Morales
D
6
Agostino Spina
🟨 35'
M
10
Ayrton Preciado
↓ 81'
M
21
Piero Guzmán
↓ 81'
M
18
Andres Mena
↓ 71'
M
28
Ederson Quiñónez
M
33
Snayder Porozo
↓ 81' 🟨 45+4'
F
Substitutes
14
Stiven Tapiero
↑ 71'
M
20
Diego Espinosa
↑ 81'
F
11
Alexander Bolaños
↑ 81'
F
29
Luis Arroyo
↑ 81'
F
12
Jefferson Cabezas
G
31
Byron Carabalí
D
57
Maverick Vera
F
91
Danny Luna
F
Last matches: Mushuc Runa SC
10.08.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
3
0
W
01.08.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
2
1
W
27.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
0
2
L
24.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
1
1
D
20.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
2
1
W
14.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
1
2
L
11.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
1
4
L
06.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
3
2
W
23.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Guayaquil City FC
2
2
D
17.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Leones del Norte
1
3
L
12.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
LDU de Quito
1
3
L
03.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Delfin SC
0
1
L
25.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
4
1
W
22.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
1
2
L
18.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
1
0
W
07.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
2
2
D
22.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
2
0
W
19.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
2
3
L
15.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
0
0
D
Last matches: Aucas
08.08.26
Lig
Aucas
Leones del Norte
3
0
W
02.08.26
Lig
Aucas
Emelec
2
0
W
26.07.26
Lig
Aucas
Macara
1
4
L
23.07.26
Lig
Aucas
Orense SC
1
2
L
19.07.26
Lig
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
16.07.26
Lig
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
0
3
L
12.07.26
Lig
Aucas
Deportivo Cuenca
1
0
W
08.07.26
Lig
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
26.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Manta FC
3
1
W
17.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Barcelona SC
0
3
L
09.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Universidad Catolica
2
1
W
02.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Libertad
2
3
L
28.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Delfin SC
1
0
W
23.04.26
Lig
Aucas
LDU de Quito
0
0
D
17.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Leones del Norte
1
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Emelec
2
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Macara
1
0
W
24.03.26
Lig
Aucas
Orense SC
3
2
W
19.03.26
Lig
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lig
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
2
2
D
H2H: Mushuc Runa SC vs Aucas
31.05.26
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
0
0
D
21.02.26
H2H
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
1
1
D
16.08.25
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
1
0
W
27.04.25
H2H
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
2
0
L
15.09.24
H2H
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
1
2
W
30.03.24
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
0
2
L
29.10.23
H2H
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
4
0
L
20.05.23
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
0
0
D
09.10.22
H2H
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
0
0
D
14.05.22
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
1
1
D
24.07.21
H2H
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
1
1
D
20.02.21
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
1
3
L
23.10.20
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
1
4
L
01.03.20
H2H
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
3
0
L
03.08.19
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
1
2
L
Last matches: Mushuc Runa SC
27.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
0
2
L
20.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
2
1
W
11.07.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
1
4
L
23.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Guayaquil City FC
2
2
D
12.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
LDU de Quito
1
3
L
25.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
4
1
W
18.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
1
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
2
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
0
0
D
H2H at home: Mushuc Runa SC
31.05.26
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
0
0
D
16.08.25
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
1
0
W
30.03.24
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
0
2
L
20.05.23
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
0
0
D
14.05.22
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
1
1
D
20.02.21
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
1
3
L
23.10.20
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
1
4
L
03.08.19
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
1
2
L
Last matches: Aucas
02.08.26
Lig
Aucas
Emelec
2
0
W
23.07.26
Lig
Aucas
Orense SC
1
2
L
19.07.26
Lig
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
12.07.26
Lig
Aucas
Deportivo Cuenca
1
0
W
17.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Barcelona SC
0
3
L
02.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Libertad
2
3
L
23.04.26
Lig
Aucas
LDU de Quito
0
0
D
17.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Leones del Norte
1
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Macara
1
0
W
14.03.26
Lig
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
2
2
D
28.02.26
Lig
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Aucas
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
H2H away: Aucas
31.05.26
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
0
0
D
16.08.25
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
1
0
L
30.03.24
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
0
2
W
20.05.23
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
0
0
D
14.05.22
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
1
1
D
20.02.21
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
1
3
W
23.10.20
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
1
4
W
03.08.19
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
1
2
W

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 20 1 3 58:22 36 61
W W W W W
2 24 12 5 7 32:24 8 41
W W W W L
3
Aucas Away
24 12 5 7 29:25 4 41
W W L L W
4 24 11 6 7 39:21 18 39
L W D W W
5 24 9 8 7 25:20 5 35
L D L L W
6 24 10 5 9 23:20 3 35
L W W D L
7 24 9 6 9 26:27 -1 33
W W W W L
8 24 8 8 8 24:25 -1 32
L D W D W
9 24 8 7 9 32:34 -2 31
W W L D W
10 23 9 4 10 21:28 -7 31
L W L L D
11 24 7 8 9 20:25 -5 29
D L D D W
12 24 7 6 11 28:36 -8 27
D L L W L
13 24 7 8 9 19:28 -9 26
D L L D L
14 24 8 2 14 20:32 -12 26
L L W L L
15 24 6 6 12 15:24 -9 24
D L L L W
16 23 3 5 15 9:29 -20 14
L L D L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs