TURKEY 1. LIG
18.09.2026 17:00
Mugla Ataturk Stadyumu
Referee: D. Yildirim
Muğlaspor
Match Timeline
Iğdır FK
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
S. Gurler
Iğdır FK
VAR
25'
G. Kaya
Iğdır FK
41'
L. Mago
Muğlaspor
🟨
55'
S. Gurler
Iğdır FK
57'
H. Karabey · Assist: S. Gurler
Iğdır FK
🟨
60'
F. Afena-Gyan
Iğdır FK
🔄
62'
L. Caliskan ↔ L. Bacuna
Iğdır FK
🔄
69'
K. Osundina ↔ D. Camaj
Muğlaspor
🔄
75'
S. Gurler ↔ O. Ozcan
Iğdır FK
🔄
75'
F. Afena-Gyan ↔ M. Camara
Iğdır FK
🔄
75'
A. Colak ↔ Douglas Tanque
Iğdır FK
🔄
76'
M. Diarra ↔ I. Sissoko
Muğlaspor
🔄
76'
A. Guneren ↔ E. Furat
Muğlaspor
🟨
78'
M. Camara
Iğdır FK
🔄
81'
O. Matur ↔ A. Barak
Muğlaspor
🟨
83'
Douglas Tanque
Iğdır FK
🟨
85'
D. Camaj
Muğlaspor
🔄
88'
S. Gonul ↔ A. Ozturk
Iğdır FK
90+3'
Y. Uzunoglu · Assist: D. Camaj
Muğlaspor

Muğlaspor vs Iğdır FK Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 60.9%
Odds 2.42
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds 2.08
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
60.9%
2.42
BTTS Yes
58.2%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
2.08
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
74.4%
1.48
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Muğlaspor Win 34%
Draw 5.2%
Iğdır FK Win 60.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Muğlaspor0.8
Iğdır FK1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Muğlaspor Muğlaspor
WWDLW
6 GF / 5 GA
Iğdır FK Iğdır FK
WLDWL
10 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
0.86
Average Goals Scored
1.43
0.71
Average Goals Conceded
0.71
2
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
2
3.57
Shots on Goal
4.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Muğlaspor Muğlaspor 7 matches
Iğdır FK Iğdır FK 7 matches
Muğlaspor Statistic Iğdır FK
2 Wins 5
4 Draws 0
1 Losses 2
6 Goals For 10
5 Goals Against 5
0.86 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
0.71 Avg Goals Conceded 0.71
2 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 3
1 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 2
3.57 Shots On Goal 4.57
10.14 Total Shots 13
3.57 Corners 4.57
47.4% Ball Possession 48.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Muğlaspor expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Iğdır FK in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Iğdır FK having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Iğdır FK. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Muğlaspor Analysis

Muğlaspor sit 9 with 9 points after 6 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, while the 5:4 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Y. Uzunoglu (3 goals), K. Osundina (1 goals), with creative support from P. Yıldırım (2 assists), D. Avramovski (1 assists), D. Camaj (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Iğdır FK Analysis

Iğdır FK sit 6 with 12 points after 6 league matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 9:5 reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by F. Afena-Gyan (2 goals), L. Kouagba (1 goals), A. Öztürk (1 goals), with creative support from S. Gönül (2 assists), F. Afena-Gyan (1 assists), L. Kouagba (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.8%)
Predicted formations: Muğlaspor 4-4-2 / Iğdır FK 4-3-3

Standings

Lig A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 1 1 16:7 9 19
W D W W W
2 7 5 1 1 14:3 11 16
W W D L W
3 8 5 1 2 12:7 5 16
D W W W W
4 8 5 1 2 15:13 2 16
L L W W W
5 8 4 2 2 11:9 2 14
W D L W W
6 8 3 4 1 17:10 7 13
D D W W D
7 7 3 3 1 9:4 5 12
L W D D W
8 8 3 3 2 12:11 1 12
W D L D D
9 8 2 5 1 8:7 1 11
D D D W W
10 8 2 4 2 12:5 7 10
L D W L D
11 7 2 3 2 12:11 1 9
D L L D D
12 7 3 0 4 11:13 -2 9
W L W L L
13 7 2 3 2 9:12 -3 9
D W L D W
14 8 1 5 2 9:11 -2 8
D D W D L
15 7 1 4 2 6:5 1 7
W L D D D
16 8 1 3 4 6:9 -3 6
W L L L D
17 7 1 3 3 8:14 -6 6
D D L D W
18 8 0 5 3 4:10 -6 5
L D L D L
19 7 0 2 5 6:19 -13 2
L L L D L
20 8 0 1 7 3:20 -17 1
L D L L L
Promotion - Super Lig
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation