GERMANY 3. LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena
Referee: R. Kampka
MSV Duisburg
Match Timeline
Energie Cottbus
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
32'
T. Topken · Assist: D. Kother
MSV Duisburg
🔄
46'
J. Bitter ↔ A. Hahn
MSV Duisburg
🔄
46'
M. Biankadi ↔ M. Hannemann
Energie Cottbus
🟨
50'
Axel Borgmann
Energie Cottbus
🟨
52'
Tolcay Ciğerci
Energie Cottbus
56'
D. Kother · Assist: F. Kruger
MSV Duisburg
🔄
59'
J. Boziaris ↔ C. Y. Moustfa
Energie Cottbus
🔄
60'
D. Pelivan ↔ T. Cigerci
Energie Cottbus
🔄
71'
F. Kruger ↔ A. Casar
MSV Duisburg
🔄
71'
C. Viet ↔ C. Noss
MSV Duisburg
🟨
72'
Tolga Ciğerci
Energie Cottbus
🔄
74'
S. Straudi ↔ H. Rorig
Energie Cottbus
🔄
78'
D. Kother ↔ P. Sussek
MSV Duisburg
🔄
85'
L. Michelbrink ↔ A. Lucoqui
Energie Cottbus
🔄
86'
N. Jessen ↔ C. Coskun
MSV Duisburg
🟨
88'
Aljaž Casar
MSV Duisburg
🟨
90+6'
Tobias Fleckstein
MSV Duisburg
90'
E. Engelhardt · Assist: T. Cigerci
Energie Cottbus

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 64.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
64.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
MSV Duisburg Win 54.5%
Draw 5%
Energie Cottbus Win 40.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
MSV Duisburg1.63
Energie Cottbus1.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg
WWDLW
63 GF / 47 GA
Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus
WLDWL
68 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
1.94
1.34
Average Goals Conceded
1.37
23
BTTS Yes
23
23
Over 2.5
24
3.52
Shots on Goal
4.28

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 35 matches
Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 35 matches
MSV Duisburg Statistic Energie Cottbus
18 Wins 19
9 Draws 9
8 Losses 7
63 Goals For 68
47 Goals Against 48
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.94
1.34 Avg Goals Conceded 1.37
23 BTTS Yes 23
27 Over 1.5 30
23 Over 2.5 24
17 Over 3.5 14
10 Clean Sheets 9
7 Failed To Score 6
3.52 Shots On Goal 4.28
9.07 Total Shots 11.21
4 Corners 5.17
36.8% Ball Possession 43.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Energie Cottbus. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with MSV Duisburg expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Energie Cottbus in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Energie Cottbus having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Energie Cottbus look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

MSV Duisburg Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 63 points from 35 games, MSV Duisburg bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 18 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses, with a 63:47 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Conor Noß (10 goals), P. Sussek (7 goals), Joshua Bitter (6 goals), with creative support from P. Sussek (7 assists), J. Symalla (7 assists), Joshua Bitter (5 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 13 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Energie Cottbus Analysis

Energie Cottbus come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 66 points after 35 matches. With 19 wins, 9 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 68:48, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by E. Engelhardt (21 goals), T. Cigerci (17 goals), M. Hannemann (7 goals), with creative support from T. Cigerci (13 assists), L. Michelbrink (6 assists), A. Borgmann (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, MSV Duisburg won 4 times, Energie Cottbus won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:12 from MSV Duisburg's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
Predicted formations: MSV Duisburg 3-4-2-1 / Energie Cottbus 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: MSV Duisburg wins 4, draws 1, Energie Cottbus wins 3
Stats
MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg
Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
1
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
8
2 Corner Kicks 5
13 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 1
39% Ball Possession 61%
4 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Goal 2
1 Shots off Goal 6
0 Blocked Shots 8
4 Shots insidebox 8
0 Shots outsidebox 9
1 Goalkeeper Saves 1
294 Total passes 517
228 Passes accurate 441
0.64 expected_goals 1.62
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

MSV Duisburg
Formation
Energie Cottbus
M. Braune
M. Braune
N. Jessen
N. Jessen
J. Bitter
J. Bitter
T. Fleckstein
T. Fleckstein
B. Schlicke
B. Schlicke
M. Gockan
M. Gockan
F. Kruger
🎯
F. Kruger
C. Viet
C. Viet
R. Bulic
R. Bulic
D. Kother
🎯
D. Kother
T. Topken
T. Topken
M. Funk
M. Funk
S. Straudi
S. Straudi
M. Cvjetinovic
M. Cvjetinovic
N. Awortwie-Grant
N. Awortwie-Grant
A. Borgmann
A. Borgmann
L. Michelbrink
L. Michelbrink
D. Pelivan
D. Pelivan
T. Cigerci
T. Cigerci
J. Boziaris
J. Boziaris
M. Biankadi
M. Biankadi
E. Engelhardt
E. Engelhardt
MSV Duisburg 5-4-1
Starting XI
1
M. Braune
G
20
N. Jessen
↓ 86'
D
29
J. Bitter
↓ 46'
D
5
T. Fleckstein
🟨 90+6'
D
40
B. Schlicke
D
17
M. Gockan
D
26
F. Kruger
🎯 56' ↓ 71'
M
10
C. Viet
↓ 71'
M
6
R. Bulic
M
31
D. Kother
⚽ 56' 🎯 32' ↓ 78'
M
22
T. Topken
⚽ 32'
F
Substitutes
24
J. Paris
G
7
J. Bookjans
M
8
A. Casar
↑ 71' 🟨 88'
M
14
C. Noss
↑ 71'
M
18
S. Meuer
M
23
J. Symalla
M
27
C. Coskun
↑ 86'
D
37
P. Sussek
↑ 78'
M
42
A. Hahn
↑ 46'
D
Energie Cottbus 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
33
M. Funk
G
44
S. Straudi
↓ 74'
D
22
M. Cvjetinovic
D
23
N. Awortwie-Grant
D
20
A. Borgmann
🟨 50'
D
8
L. Michelbrink
↓ 85'
M
5
D. Pelivan
↓ 60'
M
10
T. Cigerci
🟨 52'
M
19
J. Boziaris
↓ 59'
M
37
M. Biankadi
↓ 46'
M
18
E. Engelhardt
⚽ 90'
F
Substitutes
31
J. Butler
F
4
T. Campulka
D
14
T. Cigerci
🎯 90' ↑ 60' 🟨 72'
M
11
M. Hannemann
↑ 46'
M
24
A. Lucoqui
↑ 85'
D
17
C. Y. Moustfa
↑ 59'
M
3
H. Rorig
↑ 74'
D
1
A. Sebald
G
25
T. Tattermusch
D
Last matches: MSV Duisburg
16.05.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
FC Viktoria Köln
1
1
D
08.05.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
Erzgebirge Aue
0
0
D
24.04.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
Alemannia Aachen
1
3
L
18.04.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
Hoffenheim II
3
1
W
11.04.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
Waldhof Mannheim
4
1
W
07.04.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
VfL Osnabrück
1
0
W
04.04.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
Rot-Weiß Essen
0
1
L
22.03.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
TSV 1860 München
2
1
W
14.03.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
Hansa Rostock
1
5
L
08.03.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
FC Saarbrücken
4
2
W
04.03.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
FC Ingolstadt 04
0
0
D
01.03.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
Havelse
1
1
D
21.02.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
FC Schweinfurt 05
3
1
W
14.02.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
SV Wehen
1
6
L
08.02.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
Verl
4
2
W
01.02.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
SSV Ulm 1846
0
1
L
24.01.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
SSV Jahn Regensburg
2
0
W
18.01.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
Stuttgart II
4
0
W
09.01.26
Fri
MSV Duisburg
Hannover 96
0
2
L
21.12.25
3.
MSV Duisburg
FC Viktoria Köln
0
0
D
Last matches: Energie Cottbus
16.05.26
3.
Energie Cottbus
SSV Jahn Regensburg
1
0
W
09.05.26
3.
Energie Cottbus
SV Wehen
2
1
W
26.04.26
3.
Energie Cottbus
FC Viktoria Köln
2
0
W
19.04.26
3.
Energie Cottbus
Rot-Weiß Essen
5
3
W
12.04.26
3.
Energie Cottbus
VfL Osnabrück
0
1
L
07.04.26
3.
Energie Cottbus
TSV 1860 München
3
0
W
04.04.26
3.
Energie Cottbus
Havelse
3
0
W
21.03.26
3.
Energie Cottbus
SSV Ulm 1846
1
1
D
13.03.26
3.
Energie Cottbus
Alemannia Aachen
1
4
L
07.03.26
3.
Energie Cottbus
Hansa Rostock
0
0
D
03.03.26
3.
Energie Cottbus
Stuttgart II
2
1
W
28.02.26
3.
Energie Cottbus
Verl
0
0
D
22.02.26
3.
Energie Cottbus
Erzgebirge Aue
2
1
W
15.02.26
3.
Energie Cottbus
Waldhof Mannheim
1
1
D
07.02.26
3.
Energie Cottbus
FC Ingolstadt 04
0
0
D
31.01.26
3.
Energie Cottbus
Hoffenheim II
3
1
W
24.01.26
3.
Energie Cottbus
FC Schweinfurt 05
2
1
W
17.01.26
3.
Energie Cottbus
FC Saarbrücken
1
1
D
07.01.26
Fri
Energie Cottbus
Altglienicke
2
2
D
19.12.25
3.
Energie Cottbus
SSV Jahn Regensburg
2
2
D
H2H: MSV Duisburg vs Energie Cottbus
03.05.26
H2H
MSV Duisburg
Energie Cottbus
2
1
W
06.12.25
H2H
Energie Cottbus
MSV Duisburg
3
2
L
18.04.15
H2H
MSV Duisburg
Energie Cottbus
3
2
W
18.10.14
H2H
Energie Cottbus
MSV Duisburg
2
0
L
15.03.13
H2H
MSV Duisburg
Energie Cottbus
2
1
W
06.10.12
H2H
Energie Cottbus
MSV Duisburg
0
1
W
18.12.11
H2H
Energie Cottbus
MSV Duisburg
1
1
D
22.07.11
H2H
MSV Duisburg
Energie Cottbus
1
2
L
Last matches: MSV Duisburg
16.05.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
FC Viktoria Köln
1
1
D
18.04.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
Hoffenheim II
3
1
W
07.04.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
VfL Osnabrück
1
0
W
22.03.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
TSV 1860 München
2
1
W
08.03.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
FC Saarbrücken
4
2
W
01.03.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
Havelse
1
1
D
21.02.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
FC Schweinfurt 05
3
1
W
08.02.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
Verl
4
2
W
24.01.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
SSV Jahn Regensburg
2
0
W
13.12.25
3.
MSV Duisburg
Erzgebirge Aue
0
0
D
29.11.25
3.
MSV Duisburg
Alemannia Aachen
3
1
W
07.11.25
3.
MSV Duisburg
Waldhof Mannheim
2
1
W
26.10.25
3.
MSV Duisburg
Rot-Weiß Essen
1
1
D
03.10.25
3.
MSV Duisburg
Hansa Rostock
2
2
D
27.09.25
3.
MSV Duisburg
FC Ingolstadt 04
2
1
W
13.09.25
3.
MSV Duisburg
SV Wehen
3
1
W
23.08.25
3.
MSV Duisburg
SSV Ulm 1846
2
1
W
02.08.25
3.
MSV Duisburg
Stuttgart II
2
1
W
H2H at home: MSV Duisburg
03.05.26
H2H
MSV Duisburg
Energie Cottbus
2
1
W
18.04.15
H2H
MSV Duisburg
Energie Cottbus
3
2
W
15.03.13
H2H
MSV Duisburg
Energie Cottbus
2
1
W
22.07.11
H2H
MSV Duisburg
Energie Cottbus
1
2
L
Last matches: Energie Cottbus
16.05.26
3.
Energie Cottbus
SSV Jahn Regensburg
1
0
W
26.04.26
3.
Energie Cottbus
FC Viktoria Köln
2
0
W
12.04.26
3.
Energie Cottbus
VfL Osnabrück
0
1
L
04.04.26
3.
Energie Cottbus
Havelse
3
0
W
13.03.26
3.
Energie Cottbus
Alemannia Aachen
1
4
L
03.03.26
3.
Energie Cottbus
Stuttgart II
2
1
W
22.02.26
3.
Energie Cottbus
Erzgebirge Aue
2
1
W
07.02.26
3.
Energie Cottbus
FC Ingolstadt 04
0
0
D
17.01.26
3.
Energie Cottbus
FC Saarbrücken
1
1
D
14.12.25
3.
Energie Cottbus
SV Wehen
1
3
L
23.11.25
3.
Energie Cottbus
Rot-Weiß Essen
3
2
W
01.11.25
3.
Energie Cottbus
TSV 1860 München
0
3
L
19.10.25
3.
Energie Cottbus
SSV Ulm 1846
2
1
W
30.09.25
3.
Energie Cottbus
Hansa Rostock
3
1
W
21.09.25
3.
Energie Cottbus
Verl
1
2
L
14.09.25
3.
Energie Cottbus
Waldhof Mannheim
3
0
W
23.08.25
3.
Energie Cottbus
Hoffenheim II
1
4
L
08.08.25
3.
Energie Cottbus
FC Schweinfurt 05
2
0
W
H2H away: Energie Cottbus
03.05.26
H2H
MSV Duisburg
Energie Cottbus
2
1
L
18.04.15
H2H
MSV Duisburg
Energie Cottbus
3
2
L
15.03.13
H2H
MSV Duisburg
Energie Cottbus
2
1
L
22.07.11
H2H
MSV Duisburg
Energie Cottbus
1
2
W

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 24 8 6 66:34 32 80
W D W W W
2 38 21 9 8 72:51 21 72
W W L W W
3 38 20 10 8 78:66 12 70
W W L L L
4 38 19 11 8 66:49 17 68
D D W L W
5 38 18 13 7 74:49 25 67
W W D L D
6 38 18 10 10 82:48 34 64
W L W L W
7 38 19 7 12 76:57 19 64
W W D W W
8 38 15 11 12 54:53 1 56
L L D W D
9 38 15 8 15 54:52 2 53
W L L D D
10 38 15 7 16 59:72 -13 52
L W L D D
11 38 15 6 17 51:53 -2 51
D L W L L
12 38 13 10 15 65:56 9 49
W W L W L
13 38 14 7 17 54:58 -4 49
L L W W L
14 38 13 7 18 57:69 -12 46
L L W L D
15 38 10 14 14 51:57 -6 44
L L W W D
16 38 12 7 19 65:71 -6 43
L W L L L
17 38 9 8 21 57:89 -32 35
L W L W L
18 38 7 13 18 51:70 -19 34
W D W D D
19 38 9 6 23 49:78 -29 33
L D L L W
20 38 5 6 27 38:87 -49 21
L L D D D