GERMANY › 3. LIGA
03.05.2026 11:30
Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena
Referee: R. Kampka
MSV Duisburg
Match Timeline
Energie Cottbus
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
32'
T. Topken · Assist: D. Kother
MSV Duisburg
🔄
46'
J. Bitter ↔ A. Hahn
MSV Duisburg
🔄
46'
M. Biankadi ↔ M. Hannemann
Energie Cottbus
🟨
50'
Axel Borgmann
Energie Cottbus
🟨
52'
Tolcay Ciğerci
Energie Cottbus
⚽
56'
D. Kother · Assist: F. Kruger
MSV Duisburg
🔄
59'
J. Boziaris ↔ C. Y. Moustfa
Energie Cottbus
🔄
60'
D. Pelivan ↔ T. Cigerci
Energie Cottbus
🔄
71'
F. Kruger ↔ A. Casar
MSV Duisburg
🔄
71'
C. Viet ↔ C. Noss
MSV Duisburg
🟨
72'
Tolga Ciğerci
Energie Cottbus
🔄
74'
S. Straudi ↔ H. Rorig
Energie Cottbus
🔄
78'
D. Kother ↔ P. Sussek
MSV Duisburg
🔄
85'
L. Michelbrink ↔ A. Lucoqui
Energie Cottbus
🔄
86'
N. Jessen ↔ C. Coskun
MSV Duisburg
🟨
88'
Aljaž Casar
MSV Duisburg
🟨
90+6'
Tobias Fleckstein
MSV Duisburg
⚽
90'
E. Engelhardt · Assist: T. Cigerci
Energie Cottbus

MSV Duisburg vs Energie Cottbus Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 64.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.5%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
64.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78.8%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
MSV Duisburg Win 54.5%
Draw 5%
Energie Cottbus Win 40.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
MSV Duisburg1.63
Energie Cottbus1.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg
WWDLW
63 GF / 47 GA
Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus
WLDWL
68 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
1.94
1.34
Average Goals Conceded
1.37
23
BTTS Yes
23
23
Over 2.5
24
3.52
Shots on Goal
4.28

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 35 matches
Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 35 matches
MSV Duisburg Statistic Energie Cottbus
18 Wins 19
9 Draws 9
8 Losses 7
63 Goals For 68
47 Goals Against 48
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.94
1.34 Avg Goals Conceded 1.37
23 BTTS Yes 23
27 Over 1.5 30
23 Over 2.5 24
17 Over 3.5 14
10 Clean Sheets 9
7 Failed To Score 6
3.52 Shots On Goal 4.28
9.07 Total Shots 11.21
4 Corners 5.17
36.8% Ball Possession 43.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Energie Cottbus. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with MSV Duisburg expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Energie Cottbus in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Energie Cottbus having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Energie Cottbus look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

MSV Duisburg Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 63 points from 35 games, MSV Duisburg bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 18 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses, with a 63:47 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Conor Noß (10 goals), P. Sussek (7 goals), Joshua Bitter (6 goals), with creative support from P. Sussek (7 assists), J. Symalla (7 assists), Joshua Bitter (5 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 13 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Energie Cottbus Analysis

Energie Cottbus come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 66 points after 35 matches. With 19 wins, 9 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 68:48, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by E. Engelhardt (21 goals), T. Cigerci (17 goals), M. Hannemann (7 goals), with creative support from T. Cigerci (13 assists), L. Michelbrink (6 assists), A. Borgmann (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, MSV Duisburg won 4 times, Energie Cottbus won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:12 from MSV Duisburg's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
Predicted formations: MSV Duisburg 3-4-2-1 / Energie Cottbus 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: MSV Duisburg wins 4, draws 1, Energie Cottbus wins 3

Standings

3. Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 24 8 6 66:34 32 80
W D W W W
2 38 21 9 8 72:51 21 72
W W L W W
3 38 20 10 8 78:66 12 70
W W L L L
4 38 19 11 8 66:49 17 68
D D W L W
5 38 18 13 7 74:49 25 67
W W D L D
6 38 18 10 10 82:48 34 64
W L W L W
7 38 19 7 12 76:57 19 64
W W D W W
8 38 15 11 12 54:53 1 56
L L D W D
9 38 15 8 15 54:52 2 53
W L L D D
10 38 15 7 16 59:72 -13 52
L W L D D
11 38 15 6 17 51:53 -2 51
D L W L L
12 38 13 10 15 65:56 9 49
W W L W L
13 38 14 7 17 54:58 -4 49
L L W W L
14 38 13 7 18 57:69 -12 46
L L W L D
15 38 10 14 14 51:57 -6 44
L L W W D
16 38 12 7 19 65:71 -6 43
L W L L L
17 38 9 8 21 57:89 -32 35
L W L W L
18 38 7 13 18 51:70 -19 34
W D W D D
19 38 9 6 23 49:78 -29 33
L D L L W
20 38 5 6 27 38:87 -49 21
L L D D D
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Promotion)
Relegation