MSV Duisburg vs Energie Cottbus Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
54.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
64.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
78.8%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
MSV Duisburg
Energie Cottbus
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
MSV Duisburg
35 matches
Energie Cottbus
35 matches
| MSV Duisburg | Statistic | Energie Cottbus |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wins | 19 |
| 9 | Draws | 9 |
| 8 | Losses | 7 |
| 63 | Goals For | 68 |
| 47 | Goals Against | 48 |
| 1.8 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.94 |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.37 |
| 23 | BTTS Yes | 23 |
| 27 | Over 1.5 | 30 |
| 23 | Over 2.5 | 24 |
| 17 | Over 3.5 | 14 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.52 | Shots On Goal | 4.28 |
| 9.07 | Total Shots | 11.21 |
| 4 | Corners | 5.17 |
| 36.8% | Ball Possession | 43.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Energie Cottbus. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with MSV Duisburg expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Energie Cottbus in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Energie Cottbus having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Energie Cottbus look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.
Operating from 4 place with 63 points from 35 games, MSV Duisburg bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 18 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses, with a 63:47 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Conor Noß (10 goals), P. Sussek (7 goals), Joshua Bitter (6 goals), with creative support from P. Sussek (7 assists), J. Symalla (7 assists), Joshua Bitter (5 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 13 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Energie Cottbus come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 66 points after 35 matches. With 19 wins, 9 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 68:48, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by E. Engelhardt (21 goals), T. Cigerci (17 goals), M. Hannemann (7 goals), with creative support from T. Cigerci (13 assists), L. Michelbrink (6 assists), A. Borgmann (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, MSV Duisburg won 4 times, Energie Cottbus won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:12 from MSV Duisburg's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 66:34 | 32 | 80 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Energie Cottbus
Away
|
38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 72:51 | 21 | 72 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 78:66 | 12 | 70 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 4 |
MSV Duisburg
Home
|
38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 66:49 | 17 | 68 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
| 5 | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 74:49 | 25 | 67 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 82:48 | 34 | 64 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 76:57 | 19 | 64 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 54:53 | 1 | 56 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 54:52 | 2 | 53 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 59:72 | -13 | 52 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 51:53 | -2 | 51 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 65:56 | 9 | 49 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 54:58 | -4 | 49 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 57:69 | -12 | 46 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 51:57 | -6 | 44 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 65:71 | -6 | 43 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 57:89 | -32 | 35 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 51:70 | -19 | 34 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 49:78 | -29 | 33 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 38:87 | -49 | 21 |
L
L
D
D
D
|