FINLAND YKKöSLIIGA
29.08.2026 13:00
FT
0 - 3
Mikkelin Urheilupuisto
Referee: M. Haapakoski
MP
Match Timeline
PK-35
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
14'
E. Pitkala
PK-35
17'
A. Ahmed-Nur · Assist: A. Ahmed-Nur
PK-35
23'
P. Diniz · Assist: E. Pitkala
PK-35
38'
P. Diniz · Assist: J. Pikkuhookana
PK-35
🟨
55'
J. Pikkuhookana
PK-35
🔄
63'
M. Tolonen ↔ L. Lokake
PK-35
🔄
72'
S. Stenius ↔ M. Koivuniemi
MP
🔄
75'
J. Pikkuhookana ↔ I. Sadik
PK-35
🔄
75'
A. Ahmed-Nur ↔ J. Nakanishi
PK-35
🔄
75'
A. Kuek ↔ E. Ylonen
MP
🔄
87'
S. Obioha ↔ M. Al Sheikh
MP
🔄
88'
E. Pitkala ↔ N. Ndaziramiye
PK-35
🔄
88'
E. Kawakita ↔ J. Costa
PK-35

MP vs PK-35 Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 68.3%
Odds 1.93
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.81
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
68.3%
1.93
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.81
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
4.58
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
MP Win 28.4%
Draw 3.2%
PK-35 Win 68.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
MP1.09
PK-351.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
MP MP
WWDLW
33 GF / 39 GA
PK-35 PK-35
WLDWL
43 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.59
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.81
14
BTTS Yes
11
12
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

MP MP 26 matches
PK-35 PK-35 27 matches
MP Statistic PK-35
9 Wins 14
4 Draws 7
13 Losses 6
33 Goals For 43
39 Goals Against 22
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.59
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.81
14 BTTS Yes 11
18 Over 1.5 18
12 Over 2.5 12
8 Over 3.5 6
4 Clean Sheets 12
8 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by PK-35's more proactive style and MP's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward PK-35. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward PK-35 having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. MP have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. PK-35 carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 41 points while MP sit 7 on 21, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

MP Analysis

With 21 points from 19 games and a place of 7, MP still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 19:26, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

PK-35 Analysis

PK-35 come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 41 points from 20 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, while the 34:14 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 7 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, MP won 4 times, PK-35 won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:24 from MP's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.8%)
H2H summary: MP wins 4, draws 2, PK-35 wins 9

Standings

Ykkösliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 17 3 3 41:21 20 54
W W W W W
2
PK-35 Away
23 14 6 3 41:15 26 48
W D W W D
3 23 12 5 6 43:26 17 41
D L L W W
4 23 11 7 5 32:20 12 40
W L W W L
5 23 10 2 11 21:34 -13 32
L W D L L
6 23 8 4 11 28:35 -7 28
D D L L W
7
MP Home
23 7 4 12 25:34 -9 25
D W L L L
8 23 4 8 11 28:34 -6 20
L D W W D
9 23 4 6 13 24:41 -17 18
L D D L L
10 23 2 7 14 14:37 -23 13
D L L L W
Promotion - Veikkausliiga
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Promotion)
Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen