FINLAND YKKöSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Mikkelin Urheilupuisto
Referee: K. Nummela
MP
Match Timeline
Klubi-04
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
14'
A. Haikala
Klubi-04
🟨
26'
I. Toivonen
Klubi-04
🟨
35'
R. Kawale
MP
🔄
46'
S. Seppanen ↔ E. Ylonen
MP
🔄
46'
S. Stenius ↔ A. Tervaniemi
MP
🔄
55'
R. Kawale ↔ M. Kastrati
MP
🟨
58'
L. Palmula
Klubi-04
🟨
64'
A. Haikala
Klubi-04
🔄
71'
S. Atakayi ↔ V. Karttunen
MP
72'
A. Haikala
Klubi-04
🔄
78'
I. Toivonen ↔ R. Barrett
Klubi-04
🔄
85'
N. Siren ↔ K. Huhta
Klubi-04
🔄
85'
D. Olorunfem ↔ L. Rippon
Klubi-04
89'
E. Ylonen · Assist: V. Janhunen
MP
🟨
90'
I. Thiaw
MP
🟨
90+5'
T. Afshari
MP
🟨
90+5'
N. Kroupkin
Klubi-04
🔄
90+5'
A. Haikala ↔ V. Thomander
Klubi-04
90'
A. Traore
MP

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 41.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.3%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
41.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
MP Win 60.3%
Draw 12.9%
Klubi-04 Win 26.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
MP1.23
Klubi-040.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
MP MP
WWDLW
18 GF / 19 GA
Klubi-04 Klubi-04
WLDWL
10 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
0.77
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
6
BTTS Yes
9
5
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

MP MP 16 matches
Klubi-04 Klubi-04 13 matches
MP Statistic Klubi-04
7 Wins 0
1 Draws 5
8 Losses 8
18 Goals For 10
19 Goals Against 18
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 0.77
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
6 BTTS Yes 9
9 Over 1.5 9
5 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 0
6 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Klubi-04 having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Klubi-04. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. MP arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 12 points compared to Klubi-04 in 10 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

MP Analysis

MP sit 8 with 12 points after 10 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, while the 7:10 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on S. Saidy (3 goals), N. Forsell (1 goals), S. Atakayi (1 goals), with creative support from E. Ylonen (2 assists), M. Kastrati (1 assists), P. Kerminen (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Klubi-04 Analysis

Klubi-04 sit 10 with 4 points after 10 league matches. The record of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 6:12 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through N. Kroupkin (3 goals), A. Haikala (1 goals), A. Nylund (1 goals), with creative support from N. Siren (2 assists), A. Haikala (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, MP won 4 times, Klubi-04 won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:14 from MP's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.64 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.1%)
H2H summary: MP wins 4, draws 3, Klubi-04 wins 4

Lineups

MP
Formation
Klubi-04
S. Wilson
S. Wilson
V. Laiho
V. Laiho
T. Afshari
T. Afshari
A. Chishima
A. Chishima
S. Stenius
S. Stenius
S. Seppanen
S. Seppanen
V. Janhunen
🎯
V. Janhunen
S. Saidy
S. Saidy
R. Kawale
R. Kawale
S. Atakayi
S. Atakayi
A. Traore
A. Traore
J. Tanska
J. Tanska
A. Haikala
⚽ 2
A. Haikala
N. Siren
N. Siren
J. Kari
J. Kari
I. Nyback
I. Nyback
E. Gronlund
E. Gronlund
L. Palmula
L. Palmula
A. Le Goff-Conan
A. Le Goff-Conan
N. Kroupkin
N. Kroupkin
D. Olorunfem
D. Olorunfem
I. Toivonen
I. Toivonen
MP 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
S. Wilson
4
V. Laiho
6
T. Afshari
🟨 90+5'
7
A. Chishima
15
S. Stenius
↓ 46'
17
S. Seppanen
↓ 46'
19
V. Janhunen
🎯 89'
20
S. Saidy
24
R. Kawale
↓ 55' 🟨 35'
45
S. Atakayi
↓ 71'
97
A. Traore
⚽ 90'
Substitutes
22
J. Uronen
2
S. Sarkka
10
E. Ylonen
⚽ 89' ↑ 46'
13
V. Karttunen
↑ 71'
21
K. Sundberg
28
A. Tervaniemi
↑ 46'
87
M. Kastrati
↑ 55'
Klubi-04 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
79
J. Tanska
48
A. Haikala
⚽ 14' ⚽ 72' ↓ 90+5' 🟨 64'
49
N. Siren
↓ 85'
53
J. Kari
58
I. Nyback
59
E. Gronlund
62
L. Palmula
🟨 58'
63
A. Le Goff-Conan
87
N. Kroupkin
🟨 90+5'
95
D. Olorunfem
↓ 85'
96
I. Toivonen
↓ 78' 🟨 26'
Substitutes
78
J. Kiljunen
43
K. Huhta
↑ 85'
52
V. Thomander
↑ 90+5'
64
P. Harden
73
R. Barrett
↑ 78'
74
R. Mihhalevski
75
L. Rippon
↑ 85'
94
J. Hietalahti
Last matches: MP
11.07.26
Ykk
MP
SJK Akatemia
1
1
D
05.07.26
Ykk
MP
Haka
2
1
W
26.06.26
Ykk
MP
PK-35
1
2
L
06.06.26
Ykk
MP
EIF
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ykk
MP
EIF
1
0
W
22.05.26
Ykk
MP
JäPS
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ykk
MP
JIPPO
1
3
L
07.05.26
Ykk
MP
PK-35
1
3
L
02.05.26
Ykk
MP
Haka
1
0
W
24.04.26
Ykk
MP
Klubi-04
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ykk
MP
KäPa
0
1
L
10.04.26
Ykk
MP
Kooteepee
0
1
L
06.04.26
Ykk
MP
SJK Akatemia
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
MP
JJK
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
MP
Ilves
0
2
L
13.03.26
Fri
MP
PK-35
0
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
MP
MyPa
2
1
W
17.01.26
Fri
MP
PEPO
4
2
W
10.01.26
Fri
MP
Atlantis
4
1
W
Last matches: Klubi-04
26.06.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
SJK Akatemia
2
0
W
31.05.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
PK-35
1
1
D
27.05.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
PK-35
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
Kooteepee
0
1
L
18.05.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
Haka
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
JIPPO
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
SJK Akatemia
1
1
D
24.04.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
MP
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
EIF
1
2
L
10.04.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
JäPS
0
1
L
06.04.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
KäPa
1
2
L
20.03.26
Fri
Klubi-04
PK-35
2
2
D
14.03.26
Fri
Klubi-04
EIF
1
2
L
07.03.26
Fri
Klubi-04
VJS
1
2
L
H2H: MP vs Klubi-04
14.06.26
H2H
MP
Klubi-04
2
2
D
24.04.26
H2H
Klubi-04
MP
0
1
W
31.01.26
H2H
Klubi-04
MP
2
1
L
17.10.21
H2H
Klubi-04
MP
2
0
L
25.07.21
H2H
MP
Klubi-04
2
0
W
18.05.21
H2H
Klubi-04
MP
3
1
L
13.02.21
H2H
MP
Klubi-04
0
3
L
11.08.19
H2H
Klubi-04
MP
0
4
W
30.05.19
H2H
MP
Klubi-04
0
0
D
16.08.17
H2H
MP
Klubi-04
3
1
W
18.06.17
H2H
Klubi-04
MP
1
1
D
Last matches: MP
05.07.26
Ykk
MP
Haka
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ykk
MP
EIF
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ykk
MP
JIPPO
1
3
L
02.05.26
Ykk
MP
Haka
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ykk
MP
KäPa
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
MP
JJK
1
1
D
07.02.26
Fri
MP
MyPa
2
1
W
17.01.26
Fri
MP
PEPO
4
2
W
10.01.26
Fri
MP
Atlantis
4
1
W
H2H at home: MP
14.06.26
H2H
MP
Klubi-04
2
2
D
25.07.21
H2H
MP
Klubi-04
2
0
W
13.02.21
H2H
MP
Klubi-04
0
3
L
30.05.19
H2H
MP
Klubi-04
0
0
D
16.08.17
H2H
MP
Klubi-04
3
1
W
Last matches: Klubi-04
31.05.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
PK-35
1
1
D
18.05.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
Haka
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
JIPPO
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
EIF
1
2
L
10.04.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
JäPS
0
1
L
14.03.26
Fri
Klubi-04
EIF
1
2
L
H2H away: Klubi-04
14.06.26
H2H
MP
Klubi-04
2
2
D
25.07.21
H2H
MP
Klubi-04
2
0
L
13.02.21
H2H
MP
Klubi-04
0
3
W
30.05.19
H2H
MP
Klubi-04
0
0
D
16.08.17
H2H
MP
Klubi-04
3
1
L

Standings

Ykkosliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 2 2 25:14 11 32
W D W W L
2 14 9 3 2 24:8 16 30
W W W W D
3 13 6 3 4 21:14 7 21
L L W W L
4 13 5 6 2 17:10 7 21
D D W D L
5 14 6 1 7 13:23 -10 19
L W L L W
6
MP Home
13 5 1 7 12:15 -3 16
W L D L W
7 13 5 1 7 20:26 -6 16
L D L W L
8 13 4 3 6 15:20 -5 15
L W L L W
9 12 1 5 6 10:14 -4 8
W D D L L
10 13 1 3 9 4:17 -13 6
L L L D L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Promotion)
Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen