FINLAND YKKöSLIIGA
19.09.2026 13:00
Mikkelin Urheilupuisto

MP vs JIPPO Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 59.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
59.7%
-
BTTS Yes
62.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
MP Win 32.3%
Draw 8%
JIPPO Win 59.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
MP1.09
JIPPO1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
MP MP
WWDLW
36 GF / 43 GA
JIPPO JIPPO
WLDWL
37 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.32
1.48
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
15
BTTS Yes
13
13
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

MP MP 29 matches
JIPPO JIPPO 28 matches
MP Statistic JIPPO
10 Wins 13
5 Draws 9
14 Losses 6
36 Goals For 37
43 Goals Against 24
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
1.48 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
15 BTTS Yes 13
21 Over 1.5 19
13 Over 2.5 10
8 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 10
9 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by JIPPO's more proactive style and MP's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward JIPPO. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward JIPPO having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. JIPPO carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 37 points while MP sit 7 on 24, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

MP Analysis

MP sit 7 with 24 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 24:33, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

JIPPO Analysis

With 37 points from 22 games and a place of 4, JIPPO still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 29:19, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, MP won 6 times, JIPPO won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:21 from MP's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92%)
H2H summary: MP wins 6, draws 4, JIPPO wins 5

Standings

Ykkösliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 17 3 3 41:21 20 54
W W W W W
2 23 14 6 3 41:15 26 48
W D W W D
3 23 12 5 6 43:26 17 41
D L L W W
4
JIPPO Away
22 10 7 5 29:19 10 37
L W W L L
5 23 10 2 11 21:34 -13 32
L W D L L
6 23 8 4 11 28:35 -7 28
D D L L W
7
MP Home
22 7 3 12 24:33 -9 24
W L L L L
8 22 4 8 10 27:31 -4 20
D W W D L
9 23 4 6 13 24:41 -17 18
L D D L L
10 22 2 6 14 13:36 -23 12
L L L W L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Promotion)
Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen