FINLAND YKKöSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
FT
0 - 2
Mikkelin Urheilupuisto
Referee: V. Lehtovaara
MP
Match Timeline
EIF
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
F. Etu
EIF
🟨
20'
M. Kastrati
MP
25'
O. Sallinen
EIF
🔄
46'
T. Afshari ↔ V. Laiho
MP
🔄
46'
M. Kastrati ↔ S. Stenius
MP
🔄
46'
A. Tervaniemi ↔ E. Ylonen
MP
🔄
57'
S. Bah ↔ F. Mohamed
EIF
🔄
74'
O. Sallinen ↔ A. Sivonen
EIF
🟨
77'
V. Laiho
MP
🔄
79'
R. Kawale ↔ O. Kimari
MP
🟨
82'
A. Peltola
EIF
🔄
85'
V. Janhunen ↔ S. Atakayi
MP
🔄
89'
N. Mohammed ↔ M. Hamdi
EIF
🟨
90+1'
A. Ring
MP

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.4%
Odds 2.63
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.74
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.4%
2.63
BTTS Yes
58.8%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
1.74
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
4.30
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.33
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
MP Win 61.4%
Draw 11.3%
EIF Win 27.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
MP1.41
EIF1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
MP MP
WWDLW
30 GF / 33 GA
EIF EIF
WLDWL
34 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.55
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.64
13
BTTS Yes
11
11
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

MP MP 24 matches
EIF EIF 22 matches
MP Statistic EIF
9 Wins 10
4 Draws 2
11 Losses 10
30 Goals For 34
33 Goals Against 36
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.64
13 BTTS Yes 11
16 Over 1.5 16
11 Over 2.5 13
7 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 7
7 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward EIF having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring EIF. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

MP Analysis

MP sit 7 with 21 points after 18 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, while the 19:24 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

EIF Analysis

EIF sit 6 with 23 points after 18 league matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 24:30 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses points toward a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, MP won 2 times, EIF won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:24 from MP's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.7%)
H2H summary: MP wins 2, draws 4, EIF wins 9
Last matches: MP
07.08.26
Ykk
MP
JäPS
0
1
L
29.07.26
Ykk
MP
KäPa
2
1
W
25.07.26
Ykk
MP
Kooteepee
3
3
D
15.07.26
Ykk
MP
JIPPO
1
3
L
11.07.26
Ykk
MP
SJK Akatemia
1
1
D
05.07.26
Ykk
MP
Haka
2
1
W
26.06.26
Ykk
MP
PK-35
1
2
L
14.06.26
Ykk
MP
Klubi-04
2
2
D
06.06.26
Ykk
MP
EIF
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ykk
MP
EIF
1
0
W
22.05.26
Ykk
MP
JäPS
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ykk
MP
JIPPO
1
3
L
07.05.26
Ykk
MP
PK-35
1
3
L
02.05.26
Ykk
MP
Haka
1
0
W
24.04.26
Ykk
MP
Klubi-04
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ykk
MP
KäPa
0
1
L
10.04.26
Ykk
MP
Kooteepee
0
1
L
06.04.26
Ykk
MP
SJK Akatemia
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
MP
JJK
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
MP
Ilves
0
2
L
Last matches: EIF
08.08.26
Ykk
EIF
KäPa
1
0
W
31.07.26
Ykk
EIF
Klubi-04
2
0
W
25.07.26
Ykk
EIF
SJK Akatemia
0
0
D
18.07.26
Ykk
EIF
JäPS
0
1
L
11.07.26
Ykk
EIF
Haka
1
3
L
04.07.26
Ykk
EIF
PK-35
0
3
L
27.06.26
Ykk
EIF
JIPPO
1
1
D
12.06.26
Ykk
EIF
Kooteepee
1
5
L
06.06.26
Ykk
EIF
MP
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ykk
EIF
MP
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ykk
EIF
KäPa
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ykk
EIF
SJK Akatemia
3
0
W
08.05.26
Ykk
EIF
Haka
3
4
L
03.05.26
Ykk
EIF
Kooteepee
5
2
W
25.04.26
Ykk
EIF
JäPS
0
3
L
19.04.26
Ykk
EIF
Klubi-04
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ykk
EIF
JIPPO
1
2
L
03.04.26
Ykk
EIF
PK-35
2
4
L
27.03.26
Fri
EIF
Mariehamn
2
3
L
21.03.26
Fri
EIF
Turku PS
2
0
W
H2H: MP vs EIF
06.06.26
H2H
EIF
MP
1
0
L
31.05.26
H2H
MP
EIF
1
0
W
23.09.23
H2H
MP
EIF
0
2
L
27.08.23
H2H
EIF
MP
2
1
L
11.06.23
H2H
MP
EIF
0
0
D
07.08.22
H2H
MP
EIF
2
2
D
05.06.22
H2H
EIF
MP
2
2
D
17.07.21
H2H
EIF
MP
2
1
L
13.05.21
H2H
MP
EIF
2
1
W
10.10.20
H2H
EIF
MP
3
0
L
16.08.20
H2H
MP
EIF
1
1
D
15.02.20
H2H
MP
EIF
0
2
L
17.10.15
H2H
MP
EIF
2
4
L
15.08.15
H2H
EIF
MP
1
0
L
17.06.15
H2H
MP
EIF
0
1
L
Last matches: MP
29.07.26
Ykk
MP
KäPa
2
1
W
25.07.26
Ykk
MP
Kooteepee
3
3
D
05.07.26
Ykk
MP
Haka
2
1
W
14.06.26
Ykk
MP
Klubi-04
2
2
D
31.05.26
Ykk
MP
EIF
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ykk
MP
JIPPO
1
3
L
02.05.26
Ykk
MP
Haka
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ykk
MP
KäPa
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
MP
JJK
1
1
D
07.02.26
Fri
MP
MyPa
2
1
W
17.01.26
Fri
MP
PEPO
4
2
W
10.01.26
Fri
MP
Atlantis
4
1
W
H2H at home: MP
31.05.26
H2H
MP
EIF
1
0
W
23.09.23
H2H
MP
EIF
0
2
L
11.06.23
H2H
MP
EIF
0
0
D
07.08.22
H2H
MP
EIF
2
2
D
13.05.21
H2H
MP
EIF
2
1
W
16.08.20
H2H
MP
EIF
1
1
D
15.02.20
H2H
MP
EIF
0
2
L
17.10.15
H2H
MP
EIF
2
4
L
17.06.15
H2H
MP
EIF
0
1
L
Last matches: EIF
08.08.26
Ykk
EIF
KäPa
1
0
W
25.07.26
Ykk
EIF
SJK Akatemia
0
0
D
11.07.26
Ykk
EIF
Haka
1
3
L
27.06.26
Ykk
EIF
JIPPO
1
1
D
12.06.26
Ykk
EIF
Kooteepee
1
5
L
31.05.26
Ykk
EIF
MP
0
1
L
08.05.26
Ykk
EIF
Haka
3
4
L
25.04.26
Ykk
EIF
JäPS
0
3
L
03.04.26
Ykk
EIF
PK-35
2
4
L
27.03.26
Fri
EIF
Mariehamn
2
3
L
H2H away: EIF
31.05.26
H2H
MP
EIF
1
0
L
23.09.23
H2H
MP
EIF
0
2
W
11.06.23
H2H
MP
EIF
0
0
D
07.08.22
H2H
MP
EIF
2
2
D
13.05.21
H2H
MP
EIF
2
1
L
16.08.20
H2H
MP
EIF
1
1
D
15.02.20
H2H
MP
EIF
0
2
W
17.10.15
H2H
MP
EIF
2
4
W
17.06.15
H2H
MP
EIF
0
1
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.49
Draw 3.52
Home 2.63
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.05
Draw 2.33
Home 3.18
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.21
Over 2.25 1.53
Over 2.5 1.74
Over 2.75 1.93
Over 3.0 2.23
Over 3.25 2.51
Over 3.5 2.78
Over 4.5 4.86
Under 1.5 4.22
Under 2.25 2.47
Under 2.5 2.08
Under 2.75 1.87
Under 3.0 1.65
Under 3.25 1.51
Under 3.5 1.42
Under 4.5 1.17
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.38
Draw 3.30
Home 2.50
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.10
Draw 2.30
Home 3.20
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 2.60
Home 2.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.5 1.73
Over 3.5 2.75
Over 4.5 5.50
Over 5.5 11.00
Over 6.5 23.00
Over 7.5 51.00
Under 0.5 13.00
Under 1.5 4.00
Under 2.5 2.08
Under 3.5 1.40
Under 4.5 1.14
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.38
Draw 3.38
Home 2.54
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.95
Draw 2.17
Home 3.15
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.66
Draw 2.58
Home 2.83
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 1.0 1.03
Over 1.25 1.07
Over 1.5 1.15
Over 1.75 1.19
Over 2.0 1.25
Over 2.25 1.46
Over 2.5 1.64
Over 2.75 1.77
Over 3.0 2.02
Over 3.25 2.33
Over 3.5 2.56
Over 3.75 3.04
Over 4.0 3.98
Over 4.25 4.34
Over 4.5 4.70
Over 4.75 5.95
Over 5.0 8.50
Over 5.5 9.20
Over 6.5 23.00
Over 7.5 50.00
Under 0.5 10.80
Under 1.0 8.00
Under 1.25 5.90
Under 1.5 4.20
Under 1.75 3.74
Under 2.0 3.28
Under 2.25 2.52
Under 2.5 2.12
Under 2.75 1.85
Under 3.0 1.64
Under 3.25 1.53
Under 3.5 1.40
Under 3.75 1.29
Under 4.0 1.17
Under 4.25 1.14
Under 4.5 1.12
Under 4.75 1.07
Under 5.0 1.01
Under 5.5 1.00
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.20
Draw 3.40
Home 2.65
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.70
Draw 2.33
Home 3.10
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.56
Over 3.5 2.38
Under 2.5 2.17
Under 3.5 1.46

Standings

Ykkösliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 3 3 33:20 13 42
W W W D L
2 19 11 5 3 31:14 17 38
D W L D W
3 19 11 4 4 38:20 18 37
W W W W D
4 19 8 7 4 24:16 8 31
L L W D W
5 19 9 1 9 18:26 -8 28
L W L W W
6
EIF Away
19 8 2 9 26:30 -4 26
W W W D L
7
MP Home
19 6 3 10 19:26 -7 21
L L W D L
8 19 4 4 11 20:32 -12 16
L L L L L
9 19 2 7 10 15:24 -9 13
D L L L W
10 19 2 6 11 9:25 -16 12
W L L D D
Promotion - Veikkausliiga
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Promotion)
Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen