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POLAND › EKSTRAKLASA
23.10.2026 16:00
Motor Lublin Arena

Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 71.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
71.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Motor Lublin Win 28.5%
Draw 22.3%
Zaglebie Lubin Win 49.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Motor Lublin1.77
Zaglebie Lubin1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin
WWDLW
36 GF / 24 GA
Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin
WLDWL
33 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
2.12
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
13
BTTS Yes
12
12
Over 2.5
12
5.45
Shots on Goal
4.18

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 17 matches
Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 24 matches
Motor Lublin Statistic Zaglebie Lubin
9 Wins 10
3 Draws 7
5 Losses 7
36 Goals For 33
24 Goals Against 30
2.12 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
13 BTTS Yes 12
15 Over 1.5 19
12 Over 2.5 12
9 Over 3.5 8
3 Clean Sheets 9
2 Failed To Score 6
5.45 Shots On Goal 4.18
16.64 Total Shots 13.45
4.64 Corners 3.73
48.7% Ball Possession 42.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Zaglebie Lubin. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Motor Lublin expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Zaglebie Lubin in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Zaglebie Lubin having the stronger overall control. Zaglebie Lubin carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 15 points while Motor Lublin sit 14 on 9, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Motor Lublin have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Motor Lublin Analysis

Motor Lublin sit 14 with 9 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 12:17, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through K. Czubak (6 goals), M. Ndiaye (1 goals), K. Lukoszek (1 goals), with creative support from M. Ndiaye (3 assists), Ivo Rodrigues (2 assists), K. Lukoszek (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Zaglebie Lubin Analysis

Zaglebie Lubin are currently 9 in the standings with 15 points from 10 matches. The record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 12:13 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Ławniczak (2 goals), M. Reguła (2 goals), M. Nalepa (1 goals), with creative support from R. Yakuba (2 assists), M. Nalepa (1 assists), J. Sypek (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Motor Lublin won 4 times, Zaglebie Lubin won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:3 from Motor Lublin's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.8%)
Predicted formations: Motor Lublin 4-1-4-1 / Zaglebie Lubin 5-4-1
H2H summary: Motor Lublin wins 4, draws 1, Zaglebie Lubin wins 0

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 8 2 1 20:10 10 26
D W D W W
2 10 8 1 1 27:9 18 25
W W W L W
3 11 6 5 0 22:9 13 23
D W W D W
4 10 6 3 1 15:6 9 21
W W W W D
5 11 6 0 5 22:16 6 18
L W W W L
6 11 5 3 3 17:14 3 18
D L W W D
7 11 5 3 3 13:13 0 18
W L L W W
8 11 5 2 4 19:17 2 17
D W L W W
9 11 4 3 4 13:18 -5 15
L L W L W
10 11 3 3 5 13:16 -3 12
D W L L L
11 11 3 3 5 15:19 -4 12
W W D L L
12 10 4 0 6 13:17 -4 12
L L L L W
13 9 3 2 4 9:15 -6 11
L W W D L
14 11 1 7 3 14:15 -1 10
D L D D D
15 11 2 2 7 16:21 -5 8
L L W D L
16 10 2 2 6 9:23 -14 8
L L L D W
17 11 1 3 7 14:22 -8 6
L L L L L
18 11 2 0 9 15:26 -11 6
W L L L W
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