POLAND EKSTRAKLASA
--.--.---- --:--
Motor Lublin Arena
Referee: K. Arys
Motor Lublin
Match Timeline
Lech Poznan
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
19'
A. Gholizadeh ↔ D. Hakans
Lech Poznan
40'
L. Bengtsson · Assist: J. Pereira
Lech Poznan
🔄
65'
M. Ndiaye ↔ M. Krol
Motor Lublin
🔄
65'
B. van Hoeven ↔ Fabio Ronaldo
Motor Lublin
🔄
65'
↔ L. Palma
Lech Poznan
🔄
65'
P. Walemark ↔ F. Jagiello
Lech Poznan
🔄
77'
K. Czubak ↔ R. Dadashov
Motor Lublin
🔄
77'
P. Stolarski ↔ F. Wojcik
Motor Lublin
🔄
79'
M. Gurgul ↔ R. Gumny
Lech Poznan
🔄
79'
L. Bengtsson ↔ T. Ismaheel
Lech Poznan
🔄
86'
I. Rodrigues ↔ K. Karasek
Motor Lublin

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
17.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Motor Lublin Win 31.3%
Draw 13.1%
Lech Poznan Win 55.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Motor Lublin1.34
Lech Poznan1.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin
WWDLW
39 GF / 45 GA
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
WLDWL
86 GF / 64 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
1.87
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.39
19
BTTS Yes
32
14
Over 2.5
31
3.6
Shots on Goal
5.48

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 30 matches
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 46 matches
Motor Lublin Statistic Lech Poznan
9 Wins 23
12 Draws 12
9 Losses 11
39 Goals For 86
45 Goals Against 64
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 1.87
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.39
19 BTTS Yes 32
24 Over 1.5 37
14 Over 2.5 31
9 Over 3.5 20
7 Clean Sheets 13
6 Failed To Score 4
3.6 Shots On Goal 5.48
11.5 Total Shots 15.22
5.5 Corners 4.91
51.6% Ball Possession 51.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Lech Poznan's more proactive style and Motor Lublin's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Lech Poznan. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Motor Lublin expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Lech Poznan in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lech Poznan having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Lech Poznan carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 52 points while Motor Lublin sit 10 on 39, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Motor Lublin Analysis

Motor Lublin sit 10 with 39 points after 30 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 12 draws, and 9 losses, while the 39:45 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on K. Czubak (16 goals), M. Ndiaye (8 goals), B. Wolski (4 goals), with creative support from B. van Hoeven (4 assists), K. Czubak (3 assists), B. Wolski (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Lech Poznan Analysis

Lech Poznan come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 52 points after 30 matches. With 14 wins, 10 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 55:41, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by M. Ishak (15 goals), Luis Palma (7 goals), Ali Gholizadeh (6 goals), with creative support from Luis Palma (5 assists), Ali Gholizadeh (4 assists), J. Pereira (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 7 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Motor Lublin won 1 times, Lech Poznan won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:6 from Motor Lublin's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87%)
Predicted formations: Motor Lublin 4-1-4-1 / Lech Poznan 4-4-2
H2H summary: Motor Lublin wins 1, draws 1, Lech Poznan wins 2
Stats
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
Shots on Goal
1
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
13
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
5
3 Corner Kicks 7
10 Fouls 8
2 Offsides 1
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 24
1 Shots on Goal 6
8 Shots off Goal 13
2 Blocked Shots 5
9 Shots insidebox 17
2 Shots outsidebox 7
5 Goalkeeper Saves 1
422 Total passes 385
347 Passes accurate 316
0.71 expected_goals 1.71
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Motor Lublin
Formation
Lech Poznan
G. Tratnik
G. Tratnik
P. Stolarski
P. Stolarski
M. Bartos
M. Bartos
A. Najemski
A. Najemski
F. Luberecki
F. Luberecki
S. Samper
S. Samper
M. Ndiaye
M. Ndiaye
I. Rodrigues
I. Rodrigues
B. Wolski
B. Wolski
B. van Hoeven
B. van Hoeven
K. Czubak
K. Czubak
B. Mrozek
B. Mrozek
J. Pereira
🎯
J. Pereira
W. Monka
W. Monka
A. Milic
A. Milic
M. Gurgul
M. Gurgul
T. Ouma
T. Ouma
A. Kozubal
A. Kozubal
A. Gholizadeh
A. Gholizadeh
L. Bengtsson
L. Bengtsson
M. Ishak
M. Ishak
P. Walemark
P. Walemark
Motor Lublin 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
33
G. Tratnik
G
28
P. Stolarski
↓ 77'
D
39
M. Bartos
D
18
A. Najemski
D
24
F. Luberecki
D
6
S. Samper
M
30
M. Ndiaye
↓ 65'
M
7
I. Rodrigues
↓ 86'
M
68
B. Wolski
M
19
B. van Hoeven
↓ 65'
M
9
K. Czubak
↓ 77'
F
Substitutes
99
P. Kukulski
G
3
H. Matthys
D
77
R. Dadashov
↑ 77'
F
21
J. Labojko
M
2
P. Meyer
D
42
B. Ede
D
17
F. Wojcik
↑ 77'
D
26
M. Krol
↑ 65'
M
8
M. Scalet
M
23
F. Haxha
M
10
K. Karasek
↑ 86'
M
11
Fabio Ronaldo
↑ 65'
M
Lech Poznan 4-2-2-2
Starting XI
41
B. Mrozek
G
2
J. Pereira
🎯 40'
D
27
W. Monka
D
16
A. Milic
D
15
M. Gurgul
↓ 79'
D
6
T. Ouma
M
43
A. Kozubal
M
8
A. Gholizadeh
↓ 19'
M
14
L. Bengtsson
⚽ 40' ↓ 79'
M
9
M. Ishak
F
10
P. Walemark
↓ 65'
F
Substitutes
1
P. Andreev
G
33
M. Pruchniewski
G
22
R. Murawski
M
77
L. Palma
↑ 65'
M
90
H. Janyszka
D
24
F. Jagiello
↑ 65'
M
20
R. Gumny
↑ 79'
D
99
P. Rodriguez
F
11
D. Hakans
↑ 19'
M
88
T. Ismaheel
↑ 79'
M
Last matches: Motor Lublin
17.07.26
Fri
Motor Lublin
Hapoel Katamon
2
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Motor Lublin
Polonia Warszawa
2
1
W
03.07.26
Fri
Motor Lublin
Warta Poznań
4
1
W
27.06.26
Fri
Motor Lublin
Dinamo Bucuresti
3
1
W
23.05.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Legia Warszawa
0
4
L
16.05.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Cracovia Krakow
3
3
D
10.05.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Wisla Plock
4
0
W
26.04.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Widzew Łódź
0
2
L
17.04.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
GKS Katowice
2
3
L
12.04.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Raków Częstochowa
1
1
D
06.04.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Radomiak Radom
1
1
D
20.03.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Zaglebie Lubin
1
0
W
13.03.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Nieciecza
2
1
W
08.03.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Gornik Zabrze
0
0
D
28.02.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Korona Kielce
2
0
W
20.02.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Piast Gliwice
2
1
W
15.02.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Lechia Gdansk
2
3
L
07.02.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Jagiellonia
1
4
L
01.02.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Pogon Szczecin
2
1
W
16.01.26
Fri
Motor Lublin
IMT Novi Beograd
5
1
W
Last matches: Lech Poznan
25.07.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Cracovia Krakow
0
0
D
21.07.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
Aarhus
4
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Lech Poznan
Bohemians 1905
4
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Lech Poznan
Podbrezová
3
1
W
23.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Wisla Plock
2
2
D
16.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Radomiak Radom
3
1
W
08.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Arka Gdynia
1
1
D
26.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Legia Warszawa
4
0
W
18.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Pogon Szczecin
2
1
W
12.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
GKS Katowice
3
3
D
04.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
0
0
D
22.03.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Nieciecza
4
1
W
19.03.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
1
W
15.03.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Zaglebie Lubin
1
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
3
L
07.03.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Widzew Łódź
1
2
L
01.03.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Raków Częstochowa
4
3
W
26.02.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
KuPS
1
0
W
22.02.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Korona Kielce
2
1
W
19.02.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
KuPS
2
0
W
H2H: Motor Lublin vs Lech Poznan
02.05.26
H2H
Motor Lublin
Lech Poznan
0
1
L
02.11.25
H2H
Lech Poznan
Motor Lublin
2
2
D
13.04.25
H2H
Motor Lublin
Lech Poznan
1
2
L
05.10.24
H2H
Lech Poznan
Motor Lublin
1
2
W
Last matches: Motor Lublin
17.07.26
Fri
Motor Lublin
Hapoel Katamon
2
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Motor Lublin
Polonia Warszawa
2
1
W
03.07.26
Fri
Motor Lublin
Warta Poznań
4
1
W
27.06.26
Fri
Motor Lublin
Dinamo Bucuresti
3
1
W
16.05.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Cracovia Krakow
3
3
D
12.04.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Raków Częstochowa
1
1
D
20.03.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Zaglebie Lubin
1
0
W
08.03.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Gornik Zabrze
0
0
D
28.02.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Korona Kielce
2
0
W
15.02.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Lechia Gdansk
2
3
L
01.02.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Pogon Szczecin
2
1
W
16.01.26
Fri
Motor Lublin
IMT Novi Beograd
5
1
W
09.01.26
Fri
Motor Lublin
Stal Stalowa Wola
5
1
W
14.12.25
Eks
Motor Lublin
Jagiellonia
1
1
D
01.12.25
Eks
Motor Lublin
Legia Warszawa
1
1
D
08.11.25
Eks
Motor Lublin
Wisla Plock
1
1
D
24.10.25
Eks
Motor Lublin
Widzew Łódź
3
0
W
17.10.25
Eks
Motor Lublin
GKS Katowice
2
5
L
29.09.25
Eks
Motor Lublin
Radomiak Radom
2
2
D
14.09.25
Eks
Motor Lublin
Nieciecza
1
1
D
H2H at home: Motor Lublin
02.05.26
H2H
Motor Lublin
Lech Poznan
0
1
L
13.04.25
H2H
Motor Lublin
Lech Poznan
1
2
L
Last matches: Lech Poznan
21.07.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
Aarhus
4
1
W
16.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Radomiak Radom
3
1
W
18.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Pogon Szczecin
2
1
W
04.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
0
0
D
19.03.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
1
W
15.03.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Zaglebie Lubin
1
0
W
07.03.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Widzew Łódź
1
2
L
22.02.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Korona Kielce
2
1
W
19.02.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
KuPS
2
0
W
07.02.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Gornik Zabrze
1
0
W
03.02.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Piast Gliwice
0
1
L
18.12.25
UEF
Lech Poznan
Sigma Olomouc
2
1
W
07.12.25
Eks
Lech Poznan
Cracovia Krakow
2
2
D
30.11.25
Eks
Lech Poznan
Wisla Plock
0
0
D
09.11.25
Eks
Lech Poznan
Arka Gdynia
1
3
L
06.11.25
UEF
Lech Poznan
Rayo Vallecano
2
3
L
26.10.25
Eks
Lech Poznan
Legia Warszawa
0
0
D
23.10.25
UEF
Lech Poznan
Lincoln Red Imps FC
1
2
L
05.10.25
Eks
Lech Poznan
GKS Katowice
1
0
W
24.09.25
Eks
Lech Poznan
Raków Częstochowa
2
2
D
H2H away: Lech Poznan
02.05.26
H2H
Motor Lublin
Lech Poznan
0
1
W
13.04.25
H2H
Motor Lublin
Lech Poznan
1
2
W

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 16 12 6 62:45 17 60
D W D W W
2 34 16 8 10 50:38 12 56
W W D L W
3 34 15 11 8 56:41 15 56
W D W W L
4 34 16 7 11 51:40 11 55
W W L W W
5 34 14 8 12 51:45 6 50
D D D W D
6 34 12 13 9 42:37 5 49
W W W W L
7 34 13 9 12 45:38 7 48
L L W D L
8 34 12 10 12 34:38 -4 46
D L L L L
9 34 13 6 15 47:49 -2 45
D W L W D
10 34 11 11 12 52:53 -1 44
L L D W W
11 34 11 10 13 40:40 0 43
D W L D D
12 34 10 13 11 46:53 -7 43
L D W L L
13 34 9 15 10 39:42 -3 42
D D D D D
14 34 12 6 16 41:41 0 42
W L W L W
15 34 11 8 15 42:46 -4 41
L L D D W
16 34 12 7 15 62:65 -3 38
L L L L L
17 34 9 9 16 34:61 -27 36
L L D D L
18 34 9 7 18 43:65 -22 34
W W L L W
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation