POLAND EKSTRAKLASA
--.--.---- --:--
Motor Lublin Arena
Referee: S. Marciniak
Motor Lublin
Match Timeline
Cracovia Krakow
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
M. Klich
Cracovia Krakow
🟨
14'
Ivo Rodrigues
Motor Lublin
🟨
20'
Pau Sans
Cracovia Krakow
37'
B. Wolski
Motor Lublin
🟨
41'
Dominik Piła
Cracovia Krakow
🟨
44'
Karol Knap
Cracovia Krakow
🟨
45'
Sergi Samper
Motor Lublin
🟨
47'
Oskar Wójcik
Cracovia Krakow
🔄
58'
P. Sans ↔ D. Kameri
Cracovia Krakow
🔄
58'
K. Zahiroleslam ↔ G. Charpentier
Cracovia Krakow
🔄
59'
S. Samper ↔ J. Labojko
Motor Lublin
🔄
59'
I. Rodrigues ↔ K. Karasek
Motor Lublin
63'
A. Al Ammari · Assist: G. Charpentier
Cracovia Krakow
🔄
65'
P. Stolarski ↔ T. Santos
Motor Lublin
🔄
65'
B. van Hoeven ↔ Fabio Ronaldo
Motor Lublin
🔄
67'
K. Knap ↔ B. Traore
Cracovia Krakow
🟨
76'
Ajdin Hasić
Cracovia Krakow
🔄
78'
M. Ndiaye ↔ F. Wojcik
Motor Lublin
82'
G. Charpentier · Assist: A. Hasic
Cracovia Krakow
88'
K. Czubak · Assist: F. Wojcik
Motor Lublin
🔄
90+4'
A. Hasic ↔ J. Batoum
Cracovia Krakow
🔄
90+3'
M. Klich ↔ M. Dominguez
Cracovia Krakow
90'
K. Karasek · Assist: B. Wolski
Motor Lublin

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 92.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
92.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Motor Lublin Win 92.9%
Draw 0%
Cracovia Krakow Win 7.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Motor Lublin1.28
Cracovia Krakow1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin
WWDLW
43 GF / 46 GA
Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow
WLDWL
35 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.34
Average Goals Scored
1.09
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
19
BTTS Yes
15
15
Over 2.5
15
3.59
Shots on Goal
3.69

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 32 matches
Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 32 matches
Motor Lublin Statistic Cracovia Krakow
10 Wins 9
12 Draws 13
10 Losses 10
43 Goals For 35
46 Goals Against 38
1.34 Avg Goals Scored 1.09
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
19 BTTS Yes 15
25 Over 1.5 20
15 Over 2.5 15
10 Over 3.5 7
8 Clean Sheets 14
7 Failed To Score 10
3.59 Shots On Goal 3.69
11.66 Total Shots 12.59
5.44 Corners 4.78
51.3% Ball Possession 51.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Motor Lublin expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Cracovia Krakow in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cracovia Krakow having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Motor Lublin have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Cracovia Krakow. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Motor Lublin Analysis

Motor Lublin approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 42 points from 32 matches. The overall return of 10 wins, 12 draws, and 10 defeats with a 43:46 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on K. Czubak (17 goals), M. Ndiaye (8 goals), B. Wolski (5 goals), with creative support from B. Wolski (5 assists), I. Rodrigues (4 assists), B. van Hoeven (4 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 8 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cracovia Krakow Analysis

Cracovia Krakow are currently 13 in the standings with 40 points from 32 matches. The record of 9 wins, 13 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 35:38 goal balance, points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Hasic (7 goals), F. Stojilkovic (7 goals), M. Minchev (4 goals), with creative support from A. Al Ammari (4 assists), A. Hasic (3 assists), F. Stojilkovic (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Motor Lublin won 1 times, Cracovia Krakow won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:11 from Motor Lublin's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 4.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Motor Lublin 4-1-4-1 / Cracovia Krakow 4-4-2
H2H summary: Motor Lublin wins 1, draws 1, Cracovia Krakow wins 2

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 16 12 6 62:45 17 60
D W D W W
2 34 16 8 10 50:38 12 56
W W D L W
3 34 15 11 8 56:41 15 56
W D W W L
4 34 16 7 11 51:40 11 55
W W L W W
5 34 14 8 12 51:45 6 50
D D D W D
6 34 12 13 9 42:37 5 49
W W W W L
7 34 13 9 12 45:38 7 48
L L W D L
8 34 12 10 12 34:38 -4 46
D L L L L
9 34 13 6 15 47:49 -2 45
D W L W D
10 34 11 11 12 52:53 -1 44
L L D W W
11 34 11 10 13 40:40 0 43
D W L D D
12 34 10 13 11 46:53 -7 43
L D W L L
13 34 9 15 10 39:42 -3 42
D D D D D
14 34 12 6 16 41:41 0 42
W L W L W
15 34 11 8 15 42:46 -4 41
L L D D W
16 34 12 7 15 62:65 -3 38
L L L L L
17 34 9 9 16 34:61 -27 36
L L D D L
18 34 9 7 18 43:65 -22 34
W W L L W
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation