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SCOTLAND › PREMIERSHIP
24.01.2026 15:00
Motherwell
FT
4 - 0
Kilmarnock
Fir Park
Referee: N. Walsh
Motherwell
Match Timeline
Kilmarnock
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
16'
Liam Polworth
Kilmarnock
🟨
18'
Tom Lowery
Kilmarnock
⚽
29'
E. Just · Assist: C. Slattery
Motherwell
🟨
45'
Tom Lowery
Kilmarnock
🟥
45'
Tom Lowery
Kilmarnock
⚽
45'
T. Maswanhise · Assist: T. Sparrow
Motherwell
🔄
46'
L. Polworth ↔ M. Schjonning-Larsen
Kilmarnock
⚽
56'
I. Said · Assist: E. Longelo
Motherwell
🔄
60'
T. Maswanhise ↔ E. Bjorgolfsson
Motherwell
🔄
60'
T. Sparrow ↔ J. Koutroumbis
Motherwell
🔄
61'
G. Kiltie ↔ R. McKenzie
Kilmarnock
🔄
61'
R. Deas ↔ J. Thomson
Kilmarnock
🔄
67'
M. Dackers ↔ B. Anderson
Kilmarnock
🔄
71'
E. Just ↔ A. Stamatelopoulos
Motherwell
⚽
82'
L. Fadinger · Assist: E. Bjorgolfsson
Motherwell
🔄
83'
O. Priestman ↔ R. McColm
Motherwell
🔄
84'
I. Said ↔ L. Ross
Motherwell
🔄
90'
T. John-Jules ↔ B. Brannan
Kilmarnock

Motherwell vs Kilmarnock Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Motherwell Win 0%
Draw 0%
Kilmarnock Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Motherwell1.55
Kilmarnock0.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
Motherwell Motherwell
WWDLW
31 GF / 17 GA
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock
WLDWL
20 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
0.91
0.77
Average Goals Conceded
1.77
10
BTTS Yes
13
7
Over 2.5
13
4.41
Shots on Goal
3.59

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Motherwell Motherwell 22 matches
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 22 matches
Motherwell Statistic Kilmarnock
9 Wins 2
10 Draws 8
3 Losses 12
31 Goals For 20
17 Goals Against 39
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 0.91
0.77 Avg Goals Conceded 1.77
10 BTTS Yes 13
16 Over 1.5 18
7 Over 2.5 13
4 Over 3.5 8
11 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 7
4.41 Shots On Goal 3.59
12.23 Total Shots 10.41
3.59 Corners 4.41
58.7% Ball Possession 39.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Motherwell won 6 times, Kilmarnock won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:14 from Motherwell's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Motherwell 4-2-3-1 / Kilmarnock 4-3-1-2
H2H summary: Motherwell wins 6, draws 6, Kilmarnock wins 3

Standings

Premiership
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Heart Of Midlothian
33 21 7 5 58:28 30 70
L W D W W
2
Rangers
33 19 12 2 66:31 35 69
W L L L L
3
Celtic
33 21 4 8 59:35 24 67
W W W W W
4
Motherwell Home
33 14 12 7 52:29 23 54
W L D L W
5
Hibernian
33 13 12 8 51:37 14 51
L W W L L
6
Falkirk
33 13 7 13 45:48 -3 46
L L L W L
7
Dundee Utd
33 9 13 11 45:54 -9 40
D D L L W
8
Aberdeen
33 9 6 18 33:48 -15 33
L L W D W
9
Dundee
33 8 9 16 34:53 -19 33
W L W W L
10
ST Mirren
33 7 9 17 27:48 -21 30
W D D W L
11
Kilmarnock Away
33 6 10 17 37:65 -28 28
W W W W L
12
Livingston
33 1 13 19 35:66 -31 16
L D L D W
Championship round
Relegation Round