Motherwell
Match Timeline
Kilmarnock
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Motherwell Win 0%
Draw 0%
Kilmarnock Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Motherwell1.55
Kilmarnock0.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
Motherwell
WWDLW
31 GF / 17 GA
Kilmarnock
WLDWL
20 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
0.91
0.77
Average Goals Conceded
1.77
10
BTTS Yes
13
7
Over 2.5
13
4.41
Shots on Goal
3.59
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Motherwell
22 matches
Kilmarnock
22 matches
| Motherwell | Statistic | Kilmarnock |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 2 |
| 10 | Draws | 8 |
| 3 | Losses | 12 |
| 31 | Goals For | 20 |
| 17 | Goals Against | 39 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.91 |
| 0.77 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.77 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.41 | Shots On Goal | 3.59 |
| 12.23 | Total Shots | 10.41 |
| 3.59 | Corners | 4.41 |
| 58.7% | Ball Possession | 39.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Motherwell won 6 times, Kilmarnock won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:14 from Motherwell's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Motherwell 4-2-3-1 / Kilmarnock 4-3-1-2
H2H summary: Motherwell wins 6, draws 6, Kilmarnock wins 3
Stats
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
Shots on Goal
11
11
Shots on Goal
1
1
Shots off Goal
9
9
Shots off Goal
4
4
Blocked Shots
2
2
Blocked Shots
2
2
Lineups
Motherwell
Formation
Kilmarnock
C. Ward
T. Sparrow
S. O'Donnell
P. McGinn
E. Longelo
O. Priestman
L. Fadinger
I. Said
E. Just
C. Slattery
T. Maswanhise
K. Roos
L. Mayo
E. Schilte-Brown
R. Deas
D. Thompson
B. Lyons
T. Lowery
L. Polworth
G. Kiltie
T. John-Jules
M. Dackers
Motherwell
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
13
C. Ward
G
7
T. Sparrow
D
🎯 45'
↓ 60'
2
S. O'Donnell
D
16
P. McGinn
D
45
E. Longelo
D
🎯 56'
25
O. Priestman
M
↓ 83'
12
L. Fadinger
M
⚽ 82'
90
I. Said
M
⚽ 56'
↓ 84'
21
E. Just
M
⚽ 29'
↓ 71'
8
C. Slattery
M
🎯 29'
18
T. Maswanhise
F
⚽ 45'
↓ 60'
Substitutes
31
Matty Connelly
G
4
L. Gordon
D
6
J. McGhee
D
9
A. Stamatelopoulos
F
↑ 71'
10
E. Bjorgolfsson
F
🎯 82'
↑ 60'
22
J. Koutroumbis
D
↑ 60'
28
L. Ross
F
↑ 84'
39
Z. McAllister
M
42
R. McColm
↑ 83'
Kilmarnock
4-3-1-2
Starting XI
13
K. Roos
G
5
L. Mayo
D
25
E. Schilte-Brown
D
6
R. Deas
D
↓ 61'
3
D. Thompson
D
8
B. Lyons
M
18
T. Lowery
M
🟨 18'
🟨 45'
🟥 45'
31
L. Polworth
M
↓ 46'
11
G. Kiltie
M
↓ 61'
24
T. John-Jules
F
↓ 90'
9
M. Dackers
F
↓ 67'
Substitutes
30
E. Beach
G
4
Z. Williams
D
7
R. McKenzie
M
↑ 61'
14
G. Stanger
D
17
S. Tiffoney
F
19
B. Anderson
F
↑ 67'
21
M. Schjonning-Larsen
D
↑ 46'
22
J. Thomson
↑ 61'
26
B. Brannan
M
↑ 90'
Last matches: Motherwell
13.08.26
UEF
Motherwell
HJK Helsinki
2
0
W
09.08.26
Pre
Motherwell
Falkirk
0
0
D
06.08.26
UEF
Motherwell
HJK Helsinki
1
1
D
02.08.26
Pre
Motherwell
Hibernian
2
1
W
30.07.26
UEF
Motherwell
HB Torshavn
3
0
W
23.07.26
UEF
Motherwell
HB Torshavn
2
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Motherwell
Genk
3
4
L
05.07.26
Fri
Motherwell
Aarhus
0
4
L
16.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Hibernian
1
0
W
13.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Celtic
2
3
L
09.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Falkirk
0
1
L
26.04.26
Pre
Motherwell
Rangers
3
2
W
11.04.26
Pre
Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
1
3
L
04.04.26
Pre
Motherwell
Falkirk
2
3
L
21.03.26
Pre
Motherwell
Hibernian
0
0
D
14.03.26
Pre
Motherwell
Celtic
1
3
L
07.03.26
Pre
Motherwell
Dundee
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pre
Motherwell
Dundee Utd
2
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
Motherwell
ST Mirren
5
0
W
Last matches: Kilmarnock
09.08.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
5
L
02.08.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Johnstone
3
4
L
04.07.26
Fri
Kilmarnock
Linfield
3
2
W
01.07.26
Fri
Kilmarnock
Glentoran
4
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
4
1
W
12.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
3
1
W
09.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
3
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
3
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
2
2
D
04.04.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
0
3
L
21.03.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Heart Of Midlothian
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Falkirk
1
5
L
21.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
15.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Celtic
2
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
4
3
W
04.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Rangers
1
5
L
31.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
3
0
W
10.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
1
1
D
H2H: Motherwell vs Kilmarnock
24.01.26
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
4
0
W
22.11.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
1
3
W
30.08.25
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
2
2
D
14.05.25
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
3
0
W
05.04.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
2
0
L
08.01.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
0
0
D
20.12.24
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
1
1
D
18.08.24
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
1
0
W
03.02.24
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
1
1
D
04.11.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
1
0
L
26.08.23
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
2
1
W
06.05.23
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
2
0
W
25.02.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
1
1
D
23.12.22
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
2
2
D
27.08.22
H2H
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
2
1
L
Last matches: Motherwell
13.08.26
UEF
Motherwell
HJK Helsinki
2
0
W
09.08.26
Pre
Motherwell
Falkirk
0
0
D
23.07.26
UEF
Motherwell
HB Torshavn
2
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Motherwell
Genk
3
4
L
13.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Celtic
2
3
L
09.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pre
Motherwell
Falkirk
2
3
L
21.03.26
Pre
Motherwell
Hibernian
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pre
Motherwell
Dundee Utd
2
0
W
15.02.26
Pre
Motherwell
Aberdeen
2
0
W
11.02.26
Pre
Motherwell
Rangers
1
1
D
03.01.26
Pre
Motherwell
ST Mirren
2
0
W
30.12.25
Pre
Motherwell
Celtic
2
0
W
20.12.25
Pre
Motherwell
Dundee
1
0
W
06.12.25
Pre
Motherwell
Livingston
3
0
W
29.11.25
Pre
Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
0
0
D
25.11.25
Pre
Motherwell
Hibernian
2
0
W
29.10.25
Pre
Motherwell
Dundee Utd
2
0
W
18.10.25
Pre
Motherwell
Falkirk
1
2
L
27.09.25
Pre
Motherwell
Aberdeen
2
0
W
H2H at home: Motherwell
24.01.26
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
4
0
W
30.08.25
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
2
2
D
14.05.25
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
3
0
W
20.12.24
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
1
1
D
18.08.24
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
1
0
W
03.02.24
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
1
1
D
26.08.23
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
2
1
W
06.05.23
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
2
0
W
23.12.22
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
2
2
D
Last matches: Kilmarnock
02.08.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Johnstone
3
4
L
04.07.26
Fri
Kilmarnock
Linfield
3
2
W
01.07.26
Fri
Kilmarnock
Glentoran
4
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
4
1
W
09.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
3
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
0
3
L
28.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Falkirk
1
5
L
21.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
04.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Rangers
1
5
L
10.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
1
1
D
30.12.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
1
2
L
27.12.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
0
0
D
14.12.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
1
2
L
03.12.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Heart Of Midlothian
1
1
D
09.11.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Celtic
0
4
L
01.11.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Falkirk
1
3
L
26.10.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Rangers
1
3
L
27.09.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
2
0
W
30.08.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
2
2
D
H2H away: Kilmarnock
24.01.26
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
4
0
L
30.08.25
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
2
2
D
14.05.25
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
3
0
L
20.12.24
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
1
1
D
18.08.24
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
1
0
L
03.02.24
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
1
1
D
26.08.23
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
2
1
L
06.05.23
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
2
0
L
23.12.22
H2H
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
2
2
D
Standings
Premiership
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 58:28 | 30 | 70 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 33 | 19 | 12 | 2 | 66:31 | 35 | 69 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 3 | 33 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 59:35 | 24 | 67 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Motherwell
Home
|
33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 52:29 | 23 | 54 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
| 5 | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 51:37 | 14 | 51 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 45:48 | -3 | 46 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 45:54 | -9 | 40 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 33:48 | -15 | 33 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 34:53 | -19 | 33 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 27:48 | -21 | 30 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 |
Kilmarnock
Away
|
33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 37:65 | -28 | 28 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
| 12 | 33 | 1 | 13 | 19 | 35:66 | -31 | 16 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
Championship round
Relegation Round