WORLD UEFA EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE
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Fir Park
Referee: Michal Očenáš, Slovakia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 93.4%
Odds 1.28
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 1.83
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
93.4%
1.28
BTTS No
50.8%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
1.83
Corners O/U Under 9.5 Corners
92%
1.82
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.62
Correct Score 3-0
-
13.00
Probability Distribution
Motherwell Win 43.5%
Draw 6.6%
HJK Helsinki Win 49.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Motherwell1.4
HJK Helsinki1.61
Recent Form (Last 5)
Motherwell Motherwell
WWDLW
11 GF / 10 GA
HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki
WLDWL
45 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
1.73
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.15
3
BTTS Yes
10
4
Over 2.5
15
1.6
Shots on Goal
1.59

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Motherwell Motherwell 7 matches
HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 26 matches
Motherwell Statistic HJK Helsinki
3 Wins 13
2 Draws 5
2 Losses 8
11 Goals For 45
10 Goals Against 30
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.73
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1.15
3 BTTS Yes 10
6 Over 1.5 19
4 Over 2.5 15
2 Over 3.5 7
3 Clean Sheets 11
2 Failed To Score 5
1.6 Shots On Goal 1.59
4 Total Shots 3.73
1.4 Corners 1.45
31.6% Ball Possession 19.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Motherwell won 0 times, HJK Helsinki won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:1 from Motherwell's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.4%)
Predicted formations: Motherwell 4-2-3-1 / HJK Helsinki 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Motherwell wins 0, draws 1, HJK Helsinki wins 0
Stats
Motherwell Motherwell
HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki
Shots on Goal
0
Shots on Goal
0
Shots off Goal
0
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
0
1 Corner Kicks 1
2 Fouls 0
0 Offsides 0
0% Ball Possession 0%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Goal 0
0 Shots off Goal 1
1 Blocked Shots 0
0 Shots insidebox 0
0 Shots outsidebox 0
0 Goalkeeper Saves 0
0 Total passes 0
0 Passes accurate 0
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Motherwell
Formation
HJK Helsinki
Alex Paulsen
Alex Paulsen
Johnny Koutroumbis
Johnny Koutroumbis
Jake Girdwood-Reich
Jake Girdwood-Reich
Martin Moormann
Martin Moormann
Emmanuel Longelo
Emmanuel Longelo
Lukas Fadinger
Lukas Fadinger
Oscar Priestman
Oscar Priestman
Alex Lowry
Alex Lowry
Regan Charles-Cook
Regan Charles-Cook
Ibrahim Said
Ibrahim Said
Tawanda Maswanhise
Tawanda Maswanhise
Matej Marković
Matej Marković
Amara Nallo
Amara Nallo
Ville Tikkanen
Ville Tikkanen
Leonel Montano
Leonel Montano
Kaius Simojoki
Kaius Simojoki
Toivo Mero
Toivo Mero
Pyry Mentu
Pyry Mentu
Santeri Haarala
Santeri Haarala
Alexander Ring
Alexander Ring
Alfie Cicale
Alfie Cicale
Mads Borchers
Mads Borchers
Motherwell 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Alex Paulsen
G
22
Johnny Koutroumbis
D
3
Jake Girdwood-Reich
D
5
Martin Moormann
D
45
Emmanuel Longelo
D
8
Lukas Fadinger
M
12
Oscar Priestman
M
11
Alex Lowry
M
17
Regan Charles-Cook
F
19
Ibrahim Said
M
18
Tawanda Maswanhise
F
Substitutes
31
Jack McConnell
G
21
Matty Connelly
G
23
Ewan Wilson
D
25
Olly Whyte
M
27
Mikey Booth
M
24
Luca Ross
F
36
Lucas Weir
F
77
Willy Vogt
F
HJK Helsinki 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
44
Matej Marković
G
5
Amara Nallo
D
6
Ville Tikkanen
D
14
Leonel Montano
D
13
Kaius Simojoki
D
18
Toivo Mero
M
8
Pyry Mentu
M
29
Santeri Haarala
F
4
Alexander Ring
M
7
Alfie Cicale
M
9
Mads Borchers
F
Substitutes
1
Jesse Öst
G
12
Mitja Haapanen
G
28
Miska Ylitolva
D
3
Till Cissokho
D
22
Liam Möller
M
32
Mouhamed Gueye
M
17
Martin Kirilov
M
15
Jere Kallinen
M
20
Teemu Pukki
F
Last matches: Motherwell
09.08.26
Pre
Motherwell
Falkirk
0
0
D
06.08.26
UEF
Motherwell
HJK Helsinki
1
1
D
02.08.26
Pre
Motherwell
Hibernian
2
1
W
30.07.26
UEF
Motherwell
HB Torshavn
3
0
W
23.07.26
UEF
Motherwell
HB Torshavn
2
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Motherwell
Genk
3
4
L
05.07.26
Fri
Motherwell
Aarhus
0
4
L
16.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Hibernian
1
0
W
13.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Celtic
2
3
L
09.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Falkirk
0
1
L
26.04.26
Pre
Motherwell
Rangers
3
2
W
11.04.26
Pre
Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
1
3
L
04.04.26
Pre
Motherwell
Falkirk
2
3
L
21.03.26
Pre
Motherwell
Hibernian
0
0
D
14.03.26
Pre
Motherwell
Celtic
1
3
L
07.03.26
Pre
Motherwell
Dundee
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pre
Motherwell
Dundee Utd
2
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
Motherwell
ST Mirren
5
0
W
15.02.26
Pre
Motherwell
Aberdeen
2
0
W
Last matches: HJK Helsinki
09.08.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
1
0
W
06.08.26
UEF
HJK Helsinki
Motherwell
1
1
D
03.08.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
SJK
0
3
L
30.07.26
UEF
HJK Helsinki
Coleraine FC
3
0
W
26.07.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
1
0
W
23.07.26
UEF
HJK Helsinki
Coleraine FC
5
0
W
18.07.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
VPS
2
1
W
11.07.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
0
2
L
27.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
0
4
L
23.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
4
0
W
17.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
3
3
D
13.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
5
2
W
30.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
1
0
W
22.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
VPS
1
2
L
16.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
2
2
D
08.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
0
1
L
04.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
1
0
W
29.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
1
1
D
26.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
3
0
W
H2H: Motherwell vs HJK Helsinki
06.08.26
H2H
HJK Helsinki
Motherwell
1
1
D
Last matches: Motherwell
09.08.26
Pre
Motherwell
Falkirk
0
0
D
23.07.26
UEF
Motherwell
HB Torshavn
2
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Motherwell
Genk
3
4
L
13.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Celtic
2
3
L
09.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pre
Motherwell
Falkirk
2
3
L
21.03.26
Pre
Motherwell
Hibernian
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pre
Motherwell
Dundee Utd
2
0
W
15.02.26
Pre
Motherwell
Aberdeen
2
0
W
11.02.26
Pre
Motherwell
Rangers
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
4
0
W
03.01.26
Pre
Motherwell
ST Mirren
2
0
W
30.12.25
Pre
Motherwell
Celtic
2
0
W
20.12.25
Pre
Motherwell
Dundee
1
0
W
06.12.25
Pre
Motherwell
Livingston
3
0
W
29.11.25
Pre
Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
0
0
D
25.11.25
Pre
Motherwell
Hibernian
2
0
W
29.10.25
Pre
Motherwell
Dundee Utd
2
0
W
18.10.25
Pre
Motherwell
Falkirk
1
2
L
27.09.25
Pre
Motherwell
Aberdeen
2
0
W
Last matches: HJK Helsinki
09.08.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
1
0
W
03.08.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
SJK
0
3
L
30.07.26
UEF
HJK Helsinki
Coleraine FC
3
0
W
11.07.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
0
2
L
23.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
4
0
W
13.06.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
5
2
W
22.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
VPS
1
2
L
08.05.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
0
1
L
29.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
1
1
D
26.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
3
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
HJK Helsinki
Djurgardens IF
2
4
L
24.07.25
UEF
HJK Helsinki
Arda Kardzhali
0
0
D
10.07.25
UEF
HJK Helsinki
NSI Runavik
0
4
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.64
Draw 3.63
Home 1.65
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.75 1.31
Over 2.0 1.39
Over 2.25 1.61
Over 2.5 1.83
Over 2.75 2.04
Over 3.0 2.40
Over 3.25 2.71
Under 1.75 3.23
Under 2.0 2.83
Under 2.25 2.26
Under 2.5 1.96
Under 2.75 1.74
Under 3.0 1.52
Under 3.25 1.42
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.20
Draw 3.70
Home 1.73
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 2.25
Home 2.25
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.60
Home 2.05
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.25
Over 2.5 1.80
Over 3.5 3.00
Over 4.5 5.00
Over 5.5 8.50
Over 6.5 13.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Under 0.5 9.00
Under 1.5 3.75
Under 2.5 2.00
Under 3.5 1.36
Under 4.5 1.14
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.81
Draw 3.91
Home 1.73
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 2.19
Home 2.20
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 2.59
Home 1.99
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.25 1.11
Over 1.5 1.22
Over 1.75 1.28
Over 2.0 1.36
Over 2.25 1.64
Over 2.5 1.85
Over 2.75 1.97
Over 3.0 2.33
Over 3.25 2.61
Over 3.5 2.88
Over 3.75 3.50
Over 4.0 4.75
Over 4.25 5.09
Over 4.5 5.45
Over 4.75 7.22
Over 5.0 8.70
Over 5.5 11.00
Over 6.5 13.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Under 0.5 10.10
Under 0.75 8.70
Under 1.0 8.80
Under 1.25 4.89
Under 1.5 3.50
Under 1.75 3.20
Under 2.0 2.77
Under 2.25 2.31
Under 2.5 1.99
Under 2.75 1.70
Under 3.0 1.50
Under 3.25 1.38
Under 3.5 1.32
Under 3.75 1.22
Under 4.0 1.12
Under 4.25 1.10
Under 4.5 1.08
Under 4.75 1.04
Under 5.0 1.02
Under 5.5 1.04
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.40
Draw 3.75
Home 1.70
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.70
Draw 2.28
Home 2.04
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.90
Draw 2.65
Home 2.10
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.21
Over 2.0 1.32
Over 2.25 1.50
Over 2.5 1.68
Over 2.75 1.87
Over 3.0 2.17
Over 3.25 2.43
Over 3.5 2.70
Over 3.75 3.25
Over 4.0 4.20
Over 4.25 4.50
Over 4.5 4.75
Over 4.75 6.00
Over 5.0 8.50
Under 1.5 3.75
Under 2.0 3.00
Under 2.25 2.33
Under 2.5 2.00
Under 2.75 1.80
Under 3.0 1.58
Under 3.25 1.47
Under 3.5 1.38
Under 3.75 1.28
Under 4.0 1.18
Under 4.25 1.15
Under 4.5 1.14
Under 4.75 1.09
Under 5.0 1.05