Login Register
25.10.2026 14:00
Fir Park
Referee: D. Nicolson
Motherwell
Match Timeline
Heart Of Midlothian
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
24'
Malachi Walcott
Heart Of Midlothian
⚽
29'
Claudio Rafael Soares Braga · Assist: Sabah Kerjota
Heart Of Midlothian
🟨
41'
Tom Sparrow
Motherwell
🟨
57'
Sabah Kerjota
Heart Of Midlothian
🟨
59'
Jamie McCart
Heart Of Midlothian
🔄
61'
Martin Moormann ↔ Jamie·Knight Lebel
Motherwell
🔄
64'
Tomas Bent Magnusson ↔ Laurent mendy
Heart Of Midlothian
🔄
65'
Sabah Kerjota ↔ Calvin Miller
Heart Of Midlothian
🔄
65'
Jordan McGhee ↔ Jardell Kanga
Motherwell
🔄
65'
Sebastian Palmer-Houlden ↔ Eythor Bjørgolfsson
Motherwell
🟨
77'
Rogers Mato
Heart Of Midlothian
🟨
79'
Ibrahim Said
Motherwell
🟨
81'
Tawanda Maswanhise
Motherwell
🔄
82'
Tom Sparrow ↔ Stephen O'Donnell
Motherwell
⚽
86'
Calvin Miller
Heart Of Midlothian
🔄
87'
James wilson ↔ Yan Dhanda
Heart Of Midlothian
🔄
88'
Claudio Rafael Soares Braga ↔ Jerome Williams
Heart Of Midlothian
🔄
90+1'
Josh Mcpake ↔ Severin Sabri Guendouz
Heart Of Midlothian
🟨
90+3'
Yan Dhanda
Heart Of Midlothian

Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 67.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
67.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Motherwell Win 32.7%
Draw 21.9%
Heart Of Midlothian Win 45.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Motherwell1.57
Heart Of Midlothian1.66
Recent Form (Last 5)
Motherwell Motherwell
L L L L L
3 GF / 12 GA
Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian
L L D W D
8 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
1.52
1.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.81
8
BTTS Yes
15
11
Over 2.5
14
3.27
Shots on Goal
4.82

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Motherwell Motherwell 17 matches
Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 21 matches
Motherwell Statistic Heart Of Midlothian
5 Wins 8
3 Draws 5
9 Losses 8
24 Goals For 32
32 Goals Against 38
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 1.52
1.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.81
8 BTTS Yes 15
15 Over 1.5 20
11 Over 2.5 14
7 Over 3.5 7
5 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 3
3.27 Shots On Goal 4.82
8.73 Total Shots 15.35
3.53 Corners 5.94
45.1% Ball Possession 49.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Heart Of Midlothian's more proactive style and Motherwell's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Heart Of Midlothian. Heart Of Midlothian carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 16 points while Motherwell sit 10 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Motherwell have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Motherwell Analysis

With 8 points from 9 games and a place of 10, Motherwell still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 11:16 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Lowry (3 goals), S. Palmer-Houlden (2 goals), Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise (1 goals), with creative support from Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise (2 assists), T. Sparrow (2 assists), A. Lowry (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Heart Of Midlothian Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 16 points from 8 games, Heart Of Midlothian bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 19:8, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through J. McPake (3 goals), Cláudio Braga (3 goals), C. Miller (3 goals), with creative support from J. McPake (4 assists), Cláudio Braga (2 assists), C. Miller (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Motherwell won 4 times, Heart Of Midlothian won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:23 from Motherwell's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.1%)
Predicted formations: Motherwell 4-2-3-1 / Heart Of Midlothian 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Motherwell wins 4, draws 4, Heart Of Midlothian wins 7

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 9 1 2 27:10 17 28
L D W W W
2 11 7 3 1 19:9 10 24
D W D W W
3 11 6 2 3 24:17 7 20
D W L W D
4 12 5 3 4 15:12 3 18
W W W W L
5 11 5 2 4 17:13 4 17
W L D W W
6 11 4 4 3 16:16 0 16
D W D W W
7 12 3 5 4 15:19 -4 14
D D L D W
8 12 4 2 6 12:20 -8 14
L D W L L
9 12 3 3 6 14:20 -6 12
W D L L L
10 11 3 2 6 12:14 -2 11
L L W L D
11 12 2 3 7 13:28 -15 9
D L L W L
12 11 2 2 7 11:17 -6 8
D L L L D
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Premiership (Relegation Group)