SCOTLAND PREMIERSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Fir Park
Referee: S. McLean
Motherwell
Match Timeline
Heart Of Midlothian
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
15'
Elijah Just
Motherwell
25'
S. Kingsley
Motherwell
43'
L. Shankland
Heart Of Midlothian
🔄
46'
M. Leonard ↔ A. Kyziridis
Heart Of Midlothian
🟨
47'
Michael Steinwender
Heart Of Midlothian
🟨
58'
Jordi Altena
Heart Of Midlothian
🔄
63'
C. Halkett ↔ F. Kent
Heart Of Midlothian
VAR
66'
Alexandros Kyziridis
Heart Of Midlothian
🔄
72'
C. Braga ↔ P. Kabore
Heart Of Midlothian
🔄
77'
I. Said ↔ J. Koutroumbis
Motherwell
🟨
79'
Stuart Findlay
Heart Of Midlothian
🔄
86'
E. Just ↔ R. Charles-Cook
Motherwell
🔄
86'
T. Maswanhise ↔ C. Hendry
Motherwell
🔄
87'
S. Kingsley ↔ J. McCart
Heart Of Midlothian
🔄
87'
B. Spittal ↔ C. Devlin
Heart Of Midlothian

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Motherwell Win 52.6%
Draw 5.3%
Heart Of Midlothian Win 42.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Motherwell1.29
Heart Of Midlothian1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
Motherwell Motherwell
WWDLW
55 GF / 32 GA
Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian
WLDWL
62 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
1.77
0.91
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
16
BTTS Yes
16
14
Over 2.5
18
4.89
Shots on Goal
5.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Motherwell Motherwell 35 matches
Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 35 matches
Motherwell Statistic Heart Of Midlothian
15 Wins 23
12 Draws 7
8 Losses 5
55 Goals For 62
32 Goals Against 30
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.77
0.91 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
16 BTTS Yes 16
27 Over 1.5 24
14 Over 2.5 18
10 Over 3.5 10
17 Clean Sheets 16
7 Failed To Score 4
4.89 Shots On Goal 5.2
13.26 Total Shots 14.54
3.89 Corners 5.57
58.7% Ball Possession 53.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Motherwell expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Heart Of Midlothian in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Heart Of Midlothian having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Heart Of Midlothian. Heart Of Midlothian look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Motherwell Analysis

Motherwell sit 4 with 57 points after 35 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 15 wins, 12 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 55:32 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on T. Maswanhise (17 goals), E. Longelo (8 goals), E. Just (7 goals), with creative support from C. Slattery (8 assists), E. Just (7 assists), E. Longelo (4 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 10 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Heart Of Midlothian Analysis

Heart Of Midlothian come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 76 points after 35 matches. With 23 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 62:30, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by Cláudio Braga (14 goals), L. Shankland (14 goals), P. Kabore (5 goals), with creative support from Alexandros Kyziridis (6 assists), Harry Milne (6 assists), Cláudio Braga (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 9 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Motherwell won 4 times, Heart Of Midlothian won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:23 from Motherwell's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
Predicted formations: Motherwell 4-2-3-1 / Heart Of Midlothian 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Motherwell wins 4, draws 4, Heart Of Midlothian wins 7

Standings

Premiership
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 21 7 5 58:28 30 70
L W D W W
2 33 19 12 2 66:31 35 69
W L L L L
3 33 21 4 8 59:35 24 67
W W W W W
4 33 14 12 7 52:29 23 54
W L D L W
5 33 13 12 8 51:37 14 51
L W W L L
6 33 13 7 13 45:48 -3 46
L L L W L
7 33 9 13 11 45:54 -9 40
D D L L W
8 33 9 6 18 33:48 -15 33
L L W D W
9 33 8 9 16 34:53 -19 33
W L W W L
10 33 7 9 17 27:48 -21 30
W D D W L
11 33 6 10 17 37:65 -28 28
W W W W L
12 33 1 13 19 35:66 -31 16
L D L D W
Championship round
Relegation Round