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02.09.2026 18:45
Fir Park
Referee: C. Scott
Motherwell
Match Timeline
Dundee Utd
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
14'
Emmanuel Agyei
Dundee Utd
⚽
19'
S. Palmer-Houlden · Assist: T. Sparrow
Motherwell
🔄
20'
A. Yoro ↔ D. Tait
Dundee Utd
🟨
35'
Sebastian Palmer-Houlden
Motherwell
🔄
46'
J. Knight-Lebel ↔ J. Girdwood-Reich
Motherwell
🔄
46'
M. Merghem ↔ J. Randall
Dundee Utd
🔄
57'
D. Bennie ↔ N. Farrugia
Dundee Utd
🔄
58'
Z. Sapsford ↔ L. Rose
Dundee Utd
🔄
59'
L. Fadinger ↔ D. Levitt
Motherwell
🔄
59'
S. Palmer-Houlden ↔ E. Bjorgolfsson
Motherwell
🔄
64'
W. Ferry ↔ K. Ciubotaru
Dundee Utd
⚽
65'
A. Lowry · Assist: T. Maswanhise
Motherwell
⚽
67'
D. Levitt · Assist: T. Maswanhise
Motherwell
🔄
68'
T. Sparrow ↔ S. O'Donnell
Motherwell
🔄
68'
A. Lowry ↔ W. Vogt
Motherwell

Motherwell vs Dundee Utd Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 84%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
84%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
75%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Motherwell Win 84%
Draw 8%
Dundee Utd Win 8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Motherwell1.78
Dundee Utd1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Motherwell Motherwell
D L L W D
7 GF / 10 GA
Dundee Utd Dundee Utd
W L L D L
7 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.64
Average Goals Scored
1.4
1.82
Average Goals Conceded
2
6
BTTS Yes
2
7
Over 2.5
3
2.33
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Motherwell Motherwell 11 matches
Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 5 matches
Motherwell Statistic Dundee Utd
4 Wins 1
3 Draws 1
4 Losses 3
18 Goals For 7
20 Goals Against 10
1.64 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
1.82 Avg Goals Conceded 2
6 BTTS Yes 2
10 Over 1.5 5
7 Over 2.5 3
5 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 2
2.33 Shots On Goal 4
5.33 Total Shots 16.5
2.22 Corners 4.5
37% Ball Possession 55.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Motherwell won 8 times, Dundee Utd won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:15 from Motherwell's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (92%)
Predicted formations: Motherwell 4-2-2-2 / Dundee Utd 4-3-3
H2H summary: Motherwell wins 8, draws 2, Dundee Utd wins 5

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 9 1 2 27:10 17 28
L D W W W
2 11 7 3 1 19:9 10 24
D W D W W
3 11 6 2 3 24:17 7 20
D W L W D
4 12 5 3 4 15:12 3 18
W W W W L
5 11 5 2 4 17:13 4 17
W L D W W
6 11 4 4 3 16:16 0 16
D W D W W
7 12 3 5 4 15:19 -4 14
D D L D W
8 12 4 2 6 12:20 -8 14
L D W L L
9 12 3 3 6 14:20 -6 12
W D L L L
10 11 3 2 6 12:14 -2 11
L L W L D
11 12 2 3 7 13:28 -15 9
D L L W L
12 11 2 2 7 11:17 -6 8
D L L L D
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Premiership (Relegation Group)